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MacroBusiness Thursday, July 31, 2025 - 12:12 Source

Who would want to be a traditional brick-and-mortar retailer in Australia? Not only are they dealing with intense competition from online behemoths like Amazon, Temu, and Shein, but they are still facing sagging sales growth. The latest retail trade data from the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) highlights the point, with retail sales volumes rising

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Prosper Australia Thursday, July 31, 2025 - 11:47 Source

Summary To improve productivity Australia needs to shift taxes off work and enterprise and onto the economic rents from land, natural resources, and monopolies. This principle should be at the heart of any economic reform agenda. Income tax should be rebalanced to favour productive effort over unearned gains, beginning by scrapping CGT concessions. States should […]

The post Economic Reform Roundtable submission first appeared on Prosper Australia.

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MacroBusiness Thursday, July 31, 2025 - 11:00 Source

The ferrous complex is in a stark reversal. The driver is a supply-side rationalisation of steel output, but it is vague. Goldman. On the macro policy stance, the Politburo required that macro policy should remain pro-growth, and its intensity should be strengthened at an appropriate time (“持续发力、适时加力”). Policymakers reiterated their pledge for implementing a “more

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MacroBusiness Thursday, July 31, 2025 - 00:05 Source

The Q1 national accounts release from the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) showed that real per capita GDP decreased by 0.2% over the quarter. This was the ninth fall in per capita GDP in eleven quarters. The chart below compares the present decrease in real per capita GDP to previous episodes stretching back to the

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MacroBusiness Wednesday, July 30, 2025 - 16:30 Source

Asian share markets are generally weaker across the board as risk markets try to absorb the impact of the latest trade “deal” from the Trump regime while also anticipating some pretty big macro and economic releases in the coming session.  Wall Street is the only light of hope for the bubble boys although we have

The post Macro Afternoon appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Wednesday, July 30, 2025 - 14:00 Source

Via the always excellent Charlie McElligott at Nomura. From Left-Tail To Risk-Tail… 1). The “Trump Collar” helped to compress then collapse realized Volatility off the most extremely 100%ile levels April / May, as the market reconditioned to his reaction function (selling the call at the highs with emboldened tariff rhetoric, but long the put into

The post Do hedge now appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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