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Oz Blog News Commentary
MacroBusiness Thursday, May 8, 2025 - 14:00 Source

Propaganda is maddening in its resistance to all truth. The Australian. New sources of gas that have been earmarked to fix a looming east coast shortfall will not be ready in time and cost just as much as imported LNG, a report from Rystad Energy on behalf of gas pipeline operator Jemena has concluded. …But

The post For god’s sake, fix the gasmageddon appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Thursday, May 8, 2025 - 13:30 Source

Gone are the days of iron ore’s Pavlovian response to China yawnulus. In days of yore, the following would have sent iron ore nuts. BofA. ThePBOC, NFRA and CSRC jointly announced a raft of monetary, consumption, capital market, and property measures to stimulate the economy. In terms of 1) monetary easing–PBOC will cut the RRR

The post China yawnulus does nothing for iron ore appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Thursday, May 8, 2025 - 13:00 Source

Goldman’s excellent Andrew Boak is still on point. Australia’s recent CPI data showed that core inflation is now tracking well within the RBA’s 2-3% target band, with six-month annualised growth in the trimmed-mean measure decelerating 25bps to 2.5%. Compositionally, a range of wage-sensitive services items showed significant disinflation, offsetting stickiness in some government-linked administered prices.

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MacroBusiness Thursday, May 8, 2025 - 12:30 Source

Twitter (X) user Oliver in WA posted the following stunning chart showing how Australians are heavily overweight in housing (4.5 times GDP) compared to other English-speaking nations. The same can be said about Australians’ mortgage debts, which are among the highest in the world when measured against incomes or GDP. The following chart from Justin

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MacroBusiness Thursday, May 8, 2025 - 12:05 Source

We have a checklist for you. Unpack easy‑to‑implement strategies—salary sacrifice, after‑tax contributions, spouse splits, recontribution tactics, and timing moves before 30 June—to help you keep more of what you earn while boosting your retirement balance. Join us in this week’s podcast as Nucleus Wealth’s Chief Investment Officer, Damien Klassen, as we decode all these for you.

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MacroBusiness Thursday, May 8, 2025 - 12:00 Source

Alex Joiner, chief economist at IFM Investors, published the following chart showing the structural decline in private demand over the past decade, offset by the surge in public demand. Joiner’s chart paints a picture of a ‘lost decade’ for the private sector economy. Indeed, population growth averaged 1.5% over the past decade, implying per capita

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MacroBusiness Thursday, May 8, 2025 - 11:30 Source

The Market Ear on the stocks stall. Boring for longer? VIX seasonality has been a bit delayed this year, but it looks like things will be boring for some longer… Source: Vixcentral Put hate is back The crowd tends to love puts at local market lows, and hate puts at local market highs. Source: Tradingview

The post Stocks run out of puff appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Thursday, May 8, 2025 - 11:00 Source

Australian taxpayers heavily subsidise electric vehicles (EVs). First, the Fringe Benefits Tax (FBT) exemption for battery EVs and plug-in hybrids (PHEVs) is estimated to cost the federal budget more than $550 million in lost tax revenue annually. However, the FBT exemptions for PHEVs expired on April 1, 2025, implying a future reduction in budget costs.

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MacroBusiness Thursday, May 8, 2025 - 10:30 Source

DXY rebounded. AUD went into hard reverse. Leda boots are OK. Oil and old muted. Metals no bueno for growth. Miners meh. EM meh. Junk better. Yields eased. Stocks out of uff. On a day when the US and China agree to trade talks and China launches another round of yawnulus, a falling AUD is

The post Australian dollar sells as Fed says no bueno! appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Thursday, May 8, 2025 - 10:00 Source

A 2022 survey by the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace showed that Indian migrants overwhelmingly vote for Labor over the Coalition. In the 2022 federal election, Indian migrants voted 58:34 in favour of Labor over the Coalition. Chinese-Australians also seem to prefer Labor. The Tally Room found that at the 2022 federal election, almost all

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