I've spent the last month writing about the inevitable collision between ISIS and Saudi Arabia. Here are some of the articles:
Articles from Global Guerrillas
Here's an interesting US systempunkt -- a systempunkt is the point in a big network where even a small attack would cause the entire network to fail. This systempunkt would enable a prepared individual the unique ability to shut down a large part of the US without shedding a drop of blood. For example, this attack has the ability to:
For all the “4th Generation of War” intellectuals running around today saying that the nature of war has fundamentally changed, the tactics are wholly new, etc, I must respectfully say … “Not really”: Alex the Great would not be in the least bit perplexed by the enemy that we face right now in Iraq, and our leaders going into this fight do their troops a disservice by not studying (studying, vice just reading) the men who have gone before us."
Gen. James Mattis - 2013.
There's a report out today that ISIS jihadis attacked a Saudi Arabian border outpost south of Rafha (a city in southwest Iraq). The guards fled and several dozen jihadis were able to "melt into the general population" of the nearby border town.
Here's an interesting strategy that is in the near term adjacent possible. It is one of the few strategies that could make a relatively unknown hacker a multi-billionaire overnight.
NOTE: this is a non-traditional approach to thinking about warfare and ISIS. I use it, and so should you, to generate new insights into the problem. This framework explores the impact of the entrepreneurial mindset on modern warfare.
Last week I wrote that ISIS would attack Saudi Arabia this spring. This week the opportunity to attack with a high likelihood of success arrived: The King of Saudi Arabia died today. Unfortunately for the Saudi's, King Abdulla died before his Kingdom's gambit to gain control of ISIS paid off.
Here's some interesting outliers. Information that isn't easy to parse. Over the last week, local ISIS forces have:
- Publicly executed 13 teens in Mosul who were watching a soccer game (Iraq vs. Jordan).
- Rounded up 15 teen boys for raising pigeons as a hobby in Diyala. They executed three of them and burned the birds.
Why did they do this? It wasn't just because they were being strict. The key to unlocking this is found in this simple statement:
Last week, just before the Charlie Hebdo attack, ISIS sent a suicide team across the border into Saudi Arabia. Here's what happened.