It’s Election Day 2019 and our final prediction is the same as it has been since August 2016: Labor will win this election, and it should win well.
There are many practical and technical factors that point towards a
Labor victory and, if the Liberal–National Party somehow manages to stand on
the victor’s podium on Saturday night, it will be one of the most astonishing
and remarkable election wins in Australian political history.
It’s the final week of Election 2019 and Labor is still in the best position to win the election.
We’re into the final week of the 2019 election campaign and, if it was a simple contest of ideas, the Labor Party would be confident of achieving a landslide victory. Labor has appeared as a government-in-waiting for most of this campaign, offering a large suite of policy ideas and programs, and the most detailed policy costings from any Opposition since the Coalition’s Fightback! package released during the 1993 election.
Five-letter word; to
egg on. That was my
first cryptic crossword clue many years ago and after staring and thinking
about what the answer could possible mean, the double-entendre finally clicked, and I’ve been a fan of the cryptics ever
since. And the answer? More on that later.
We’re into the final two weeks of the 2019 federal election campaign, and two opinion polls released today still point towards a Labor victory.
The monthly Ipsos shows a two-party preferred vote of
52 per cent to the Australian Labor Party, and 48 per cent to the Liberal–National
Party.
The 2019 election is on, but to look forward, we always need to look back, and we go far back into the archives to look at the events of elections from 1992 and 1993.
It’s the end of the first week of the federal election campaign
and, already, we have the mainstream media telling everyone within earshot that
this is a ‘boring’ campaign, and the electorate is ‘disillusioned’ and ‘jaded’
with the two main political parties.
Some election campaigns are fairly straightforward. The prime minister sets a date, and both parties sell their policies. There’s a lot of talk about economic management, fairness, justice, some international relations and, maybe some specific issue concerning the electorate. The major candidates tend to be pretty honest and the public makes a choice one way or the other, usually returning the government of the day.
It’s
always unwise to make predictions about who is likely to win any election, but
if Scott Morrison does end up on the victory podium on the evening of 18 May,
it will be one of the most unlikely victories seen in Australian politics.