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Articles from En Passant

Could Jeremy Corbyn lead the Australian Labor Party?

May 20, 2019 - 06:18 -- Admin

I know. The idea of Corbyn leading the Australian Labor Party is ridiculous. For a start, he is a British MP.  Second, he has his hands full leading the British Labour Party, on the way to possibly becoming Prime Minister in the near future.

But of course, you know the reason why I have framed the question the way I have. After the election disaster on Saturday, Labor’s leader Bill Shorten resigned the leadership. Where is Labor’s Jeremy Corbyn?

What now?

May 19, 2019 - 12:58 -- Admin

The Coalition has retained government. At the time of writing it has 74 seats, Labor has 66 and various independents and minor parties, including a Green, hold another 6.

Five seats are in doubt with 4 potentially going to the Coalition. This would give it 78 seats in the new Parliament, enough to provide a Speaker and still have a majority.

Labor to win between 76 and 82 seats?

May 18, 2019 - 14:30 -- Admin

And so the last day of electioneering and voting has arrived. Thank the gods the 5 weeks of lies, rubbish, obfuscation and vagueness have finished.

Here is a list of seats to keep an eye on. It is based on the latest aggregated odds of 7 bookmakers fielding on the result and taken from information in the Australian Financial Review. Aaron Patrick in today’s Fin says:

‘Betting on seven commercial [betting] markets predicted Labor would win 83 and the Coalition 60 seats.’