Courtesy of GhostWhoVotes, the full results of Galaxy’s marginal seat polling, which will be published in tomorrow’s News Limited tabloids, can be found here.
Let me make a number of points first, which I’ll illustrate with reference to the Queensland seats:
(a) It’s not “the biggest poll ever” – it’s a series of polls of marginal seats in different states, each with a sample of 800 covering a number of electorates. The aggregate numbers at state and national level would be meaningless.
(b) What’s crucial in interpreting the findings is which seats have been surveyed, and the fact that where (as with Queensland) there are 4 sampled, the individual seat samples are tiny. Additionally, if the seats are geographically and demographically diverse, reading too much into the aggregate of the marginals can be misleading.
Let’s take a look at Queensland, by way of illustration. Read more »
