United States

Legacy on the line

Inside Story - July 20, 2010 - 7:27pm

Barack Obama’s policies are starting to fall into place. So why is his approval rating so low, asks Lesley Russell

Lost in transition, or why non-leading powers should concern Beijing and Washington

East Asia Forum - June 24, 2010 - 12:04pm

Author: Ja Ian Chong, HKUST

Power transitions in international relations—real or perceived—are unsettling. This is especially so for non-leading states. Their interests depend on shifts in the international system that they cannot shape. Leading powers should, however, pay attention to how non-leading states react to expectations of change in the global political environment. Their reactions, especially when considered together, can exacerbate or moderate security dilemmas among the leading powers and has the potential to affect regional and even systemic stability.

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Obama’s America

Inside Story - June 12, 2010 - 4:49pm

Change the government and you change the country, Paul Keating once said. But eighteen months into his first term, how much has Barack Obama’s America really changed, asks Dennis Altman

Political games have no place in security policy

East Asia Forum - June 8, 2010 - 4:27am

Author: Yoichi Funabashi, Asahi Shumbun

In hindsight, the April 12 conversation between outgoing Prime Minister Yukio Hatoyama and US President Barack Obama was a watershed.

Seated beside each other at a dinner held during the Nuclear Security Summit in Washington, the two leaders talked for about 10 minutes mainly about relocating the US Marine Corps Air Station Futenma. Obama told Hatoyama he had not made any public comments until then because Hatoyama had said, ‘Trust me,’ when the two met last November. Read more »

The bosses’ attack on European living standards

en Passant - July 7, 2010 - 11:43pm

Martin Wolf described it as “a bloodbath”. The Financial Times editorial called it a “chilling read”. Britain’s budget is one of austerity, the likes of which has not been seen in generations. A 25 per cent cut in public spending; a quarter of a million or more public sector jobs to be slashed. It is just the beginning.

Already there are calls for the next budget to go further. In a country where – even before the crisis hit – over a quarter of the population was considered “breadline poor”, the establishment is crying out: “Everyone has it too good!” It is a call echoing through the corridors of power the world over. Read more »

The quiet Hanoian of Vietnamese politics

East Asia Forum - June 17, 2010 - 11:00pm

Author: Ernest Bower, CSIS

As Graham Greene hunched over his desk perched on the wisened teak floors of Hanoi’s Metropole Hotel knitting together the silky threads of naiveté and intrigue to craft his masterful tale of Alden Pyle and Thomas Fowler, he unwittingly foretold a key element of modern Vietnamese politics: what you see is not what you get. Unlike many of its Southeast Asian neighbours, Vietnam has the capacity to keep its politics behind closed doors.

Vietnam is in the middle of the most intense part of its political cycle—the socialist corollary to the last four months of US elections—the lead-up to the Communist Party of Vietnam’s (CPV) 11th National Party Congress (NPC), which will take place in late January and early February 2011. Read more »

Mathematical Model Shows What Future Flags Would Look Like as U.S. Grows

Popular Science - June 10, 2010 - 6:18am
Old Glory 51 bright stars and 13 broad stripes. Slate Magazine and an Emory University math professor have figured out how to preserve Old Glory's symmetry in case a new state is ever admitted to the Union. Slate

If Puerto Rico becomes a state, we'd have to add a 51st star to the flag. An Emory University mathematician has come up with a method to do it without disrupting Old Glory's symmetry.

The Puerto Rico Democracy Act of 2010, currently making its way through Congress, could make it it a necessity. The bill would grant the territory's residents a vote on their status, and options include statehood or independence. Read more »

Why exchange rate changes will not correct global trade imbalances

East Asia Forum - June 5, 2010 - 1:28am

Author: Ronald I. McKinnon, Stanford University

Nobody disputes that almost three decades of US trade (net saving) deficits have made the global system of finance and trade more accident-prone. Outstanding dollar debts have become huge, and threaten America’s own financial future. Insofar as the principal creditor countries in Asia (Japan in the 1980s and 1990s, China since 2000) are industrial countries relying heavily on exports of manufactures, the transfer of their surplus savings to the saving-deficient US requires that they collectively run large trade surpluses in manufactures. The resulting large American trade deficits have worsened the ‘natural’ decline in the relative size of the American manufacturing sector, and eroded the US industrial base.

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