Blogotariat

Oz Blog News Commentary
Renew Economy Monday, October 20, 2025 - 14:17 Source
Read more Views: 105
MacroBusiness Monday, October 20, 2025 - 14:00 Source

New Zealand experienced one of the developed world’s largest rises in home values over the first 25 years of this century. However, as illustrated below by Justin Fabo from Antipodean Macro, New Zealand dwelling values have recently crashed back to 2019 levels, representing one of the largest property busts in the developed world. One year

The post Former New Zealand PM calls time on 30-year housing bubble appeared first on MacroBusiness.

Read more Views: 136
Renew Economy Monday, October 20, 2025 - 13:48 Source
Read more Views: 158
MacroBusiness Monday, October 20, 2025 - 13:30 Source

There are two main reasons why the federal government supports running a high immigration program. First, immigration benefits overall economic growth, as measured by headline GDP. Running a high immigration policy allows the federal government to pretend to be a competent economic manager, even when per capita GDP growth is poor and individual living standards

Read more Views: 102
Renew Economy Monday, October 20, 2025 - 13:16 Source
Read more Views: 98
MacroBusiness Monday, October 20, 2025 - 13:00 Source

So says Societe General. The AU unemployment rate jumped to 4.46% in September, above any of the Bloomberg survey forecasts. An upward revision to August leaves the average 3Q rate in line with the RBA’s latest SoMP view of 4.3%. However, the uptick skews risk higher for 4Q. Markets have been wrong-footed by single prints

The post RBA to make “insurance cut” appeared first on MacroBusiness.

Read more Views: 174
MacroBusiness Monday, October 20, 2025 - 12:30 Source

I agree. Though I would buy any decent pullback. The Market Ear. Easy tiger The fundamental gold story hasn’t changed: inflation hedging, rate cuts, and reserve diversification. But the tactical setup has: sentiment, positioning, and volatility all scream too crowded. Gold may still be the “right” asset — just at the wrong price, right now. Gold

The post Sell gold! appeared first on MacroBusiness.

Read more Views: 157
Renew Economy Monday, October 20, 2025 - 12:28 Source
Read more Views: 101
MacroBusiness Monday, October 20, 2025 - 12:00 Source

Are the US and China getting back together? Goldman is skeptical. Latest US-China developments: Last Friday, US Treasury Secretary ScottBessent had a “constructive”video call with Vice Premier He Lifeng and President Trump indicated that the meeting with President Xi would go ahead in South Korea later this month. Despite these positive developments, we think risks

The post Can the US and China make friends? appeared first on MacroBusiness.

Read more Views: 92
MacroBusiness Monday, October 20, 2025 - 11:30 Source

While the level of migration remains a hotly contested issue, from the nation’s halls of power to backyard BBQ debates, for the longest time, migration conceptually was considered a positive by a majority of the public. But recently, the public’s attitude on the issue has begun to shift significantly. According to polling from Essential from

The post Albo has destroyed the consensus on migration appeared first on MacroBusiness.

Read more Views: 109
Renew Economy Monday, October 20, 2025 - 11:05 Source

Engie solar robot

Read more Views: 140
MacroBusiness Monday, October 20, 2025 - 11:00 Source

I love QLD. It is the last state of Australia. But, like Australia, it can be really, really stupid. Queensland has put its southern neighbours on notice and drawn a red line through a gas reservation proposal under consideration. As federal Labor deliberates whether to restrict east coast gas exports to prevent a forecast domestic

The post QLD commits gas suicide appeared first on MacroBusiness.

Read more Views: 84
xkcd.com Monday, October 20, 2025 - 11:00 Source

Many things about Star Wars were not well planned out, but having a 37-year-old in old-age makeup play the Emperor in Return of the Jedi was such an incredible call.

Read more Views: 143
MacroBusiness Monday, October 20, 2025 - 10:30 Source

Former senior immigration department bureaucrat Abul Rizvi posted an article in Independent Australia where he explained how the Albanese government secretly increased the permanent migrant intake well above the official published level. Rizvi showed how Labor “has significantly increased the size of permanent migration compared to the situation pre-pandemic (see Table 3)”. A time series

Read more Views: 91
Renew Economy Monday, October 20, 2025 - 10:30 Source
Read more Views: 150
MacroBusiness Monday, October 20, 2025 - 10:00 Source

In 2013, the Grattan Institute, under the energy policy leadership of former Origin Energy executive Tony Wood, lobbied hard against an East Coast domestic gas reservation policy: Grattan also lobbied for Western Australia to remove its gas reservation policy: The federal government listened to Grattan as well as other lobbyists and failed to implement an

The post Never trust the Grattan Institute on energy policy appeared first on MacroBusiness.

Read more Views: 91
MacroBusiness Monday, October 20, 2025 - 09:30 Source

The ferrous complex continues to weaken as steel mill margins collapse. Production must be cut. It is a little bit. Demand is still funky. The newsflow is about piles of ore. One for the Pilbara killer. Rio Tinto has stockpiled 2 million metric tons of high-grade iron ore at its Simandou project in Guinea for

The post Pilbara killer and BHP iron ore pile up appeared first on MacroBusiness.

Read more Views: 91
MacroBusiness Monday, October 20, 2025 - 09:00 Source

Victoria disease is the phenomenon of a permanent Labor government leading to a mass-immigration-led economy without the aforethought of appropriate supply-side expansion to accommodate it. This economic model crush-loads public services amid fiscal wreckage, crowds out private sector growth, triggers housing perma-crisis, falling living standards and disenfranchised violence. Symptoms are everywhere. Private security guards patrolling

Read more Views: 79
MacroBusiness Monday, October 20, 2025 - 09:00 Source

A possible change in sentiment from the Trump regime towards China gave Wall Street a boost on Friday night with the TACO trade now in full swing. Meanwhile the USD saw a small reversal in its recent decline as Yen and Euro weakened slightly while the Australian dollar came back a little, managing to almost

The post Macro Morning appeared first on MacroBusiness.

Read more Views: 83
Your Democracy Monday, October 20, 2025 - 07:24 Source

 

In the workshops of the Ruhr, where the fire of blast furnaces was once considered Europe’s eternal companion, today reigns a cold more expensive than any raw material. An economic pause has descended in icy silence. A tombstone rests on the grave of industrial greatness, signed by Europe’s own leaders.

 

Europe’s Economic Winter Transfers the Workshop of the World to Asia’s New Furnaces

Read more Views: 85
Your Democracy Monday, October 20, 2025 - 06:55 Source

Whether it’s the Israeli Government, an international peacekeeping force, or a post-conflict reconstruction authority for Gaza chaired (grotesquely) by Donald Trump, the fate of Palestine still rests in the hands of outsiders.

 

John Feffer

Gaza has a ceasefire, now Palestine needs self-determination

 

Read more Views: 86
Your Democracy Monday, October 20, 2025 - 06:44 Source

The Gaza, the one that existed on the morning of October 7 is gone, decimated by months of saturation bombing, shelling, bulldozing and controlled demolitions. All that was familiar when I worked in Gaza has vanished, transformed into an apocalyptic landscape of shattered concrete and rubble. 

 

Requiem for Gaza

By Chris Hedges

 

Read more Views: 84
Your Democracy Monday, October 20, 2025 - 05:44 Source

US President Donald Trump has mocked the ‘No Kings’ protests, sharing several AI-generated videos on Truth Social, including footage of himself dumping what appears to be feces on the crowds.

A wave of protests against the Trump administration hit the US on Saturday, with massive demonstrations held at more than 2,500 locations across the country.

Read more Views: 88
John Quiggin Monday, October 20, 2025 - 05:04 Source

Another Monday Message Board. Post comments on any topic. Civil discussion and no coarse language please. Side discussions and idees fixes to the sandpits, please.

I’m now using Substack as a blogging platform, and for my monthly email newsletter. For the moment, I’ll post both at this blog and on Substack. You can also follow me on Mastodon here.

Read more Views: 182
MacroBusiness Monday, October 20, 2025 - 00:05 Source

The Albanese government’s Housing Accord, signed with the states at National Cabinet in 2023, set a target to build 1.2 million homes over the five years from FY2025 to FY2029. This target requires 240,000 homes to be built annually. The Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) last week released dwelling construction data for the June quarter

The post Australia braces for residential construction downturn appeared first on MacroBusiness.

Read more Views: 164
Your Democracy Sunday, October 19, 2025 - 21:35 Source

British Prime Minister Keir Starmer has urged European leaders to hatch a peace plan for Ukraine “along the lines”of US President Donald Trump’s Gaza scheme, Axios has reported, citing sources.

Read more Views: 82
Renew Economy Sunday, October 19, 2025 - 17:11 Source
Read more Views: 154
Your Democracy Sunday, October 19, 2025 - 10:51 Source

I know a few people in Europe who deliberately ignore the events that are shaping the future. They also ignore the historical origins of these events… For these lucky people, the future is inked in what we decide to do and to be, without the “big picture”. Be nice to other people, do not rock the boat and enjoy the sun while on holiday. It works.

The small group of friends in which we can share meals and wine is enough to take us to the end of our happy life. 

 

Read more Views: 164
MacroBusiness Sunday, October 19, 2025 - 09:45 Source

By Lucinda Jerogin, Associate Economist at CBA The unemployment rate ticked up to 4.5% in September. The Minutes from the September RBA Monetary Policy Board Meeting and several RBA speeches this week reinforced the more hawkish tone struck in the Statement and accompanying press conference. The CommBank Household Spending Insights Index recorded its seventh consecutive

The post The economic week ahead appeared first on MacroBusiness.

Read more Views: 152
Your Democracy Sunday, October 19, 2025 - 05:43 Source

IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva has urged nations not to impose tariffs, following US President Donald Trump’s latest measures

Speaking at a press briefing on Thursday, Georgieva said, “the largest economy in the world has chosen to use tariffs as an instrument in relations with partners.”

Read more Views: 204

Pages