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Renew Economy Friday, August 15, 2025 - 09:29 Source
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MacroBusiness Friday, August 15, 2025 - 09:00 Source

This time an inflation print actually got traders worried on Wall Street with the latest US PPI coming in hot overnight showing that the tariff “push” is slowing coming through the US economy. The USD got off the ropes against all the majors, pushing most of them down with rollovers as Euro lost more than

The post Macro Morning appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Friday, August 15, 2025 - 08:00 Source

In February, on ABC’s Q&A, Prime Minister Anthony Albanese stated that the government was cutting immigration and relieving pressure on the housing market by reducing international student numbers. Albanese noted that the student visa system was being “abused”. On Thursday, the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) released net permanent and long-term arrivals data for June, which

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Your Democracy Friday, August 15, 2025 - 07:28 Source

The Wall Street Journal reports on Tuesday that U.S. President Donald Trump's White House is keeping an eye on the Smithsonian Museum to ensure that its exhibits on display for the United States' 250th anniversary "align with" the president's personal "interpretation of American history."

 

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Your Democracy Friday, August 15, 2025 - 06:36 Source

Those who accuse the Albanese Government of breaking with a historic Labor position of opposing recognition of a Palestinian state are wrong.

Labor has a long-held ambition of a two-state solution to the Palestinian Israeli conflict.

 

Craig Emerson

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Your Democracy Friday, August 15, 2025 - 05:55 Source

 

Donald Trump has had meetings with EU leaders, NATO and Zelensky yesterday. He has reassured the Europeans that he won’t negotiate Ukraine’s territory with Vladimir Putin, ahead of the Alaska meeting. The EU leaders are willing to remove sanctions on Russia following a 15 day ceasefire, but they’re not willing to negotiate territory before that. It is being reported that Donald Trump will incentivise Vladimir Putin by offering Alaska’s natural resources.

 

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Your Democracy Friday, August 15, 2025 - 05:22 Source

 

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MacroBusiness Friday, August 15, 2025 - 00:05 Source

Alongside this week’s 0.25% interest rate cut from the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA), it noted that it expects to lower the cash rate “gradually”. Financial markets are currently tipping one more rate cut this year, followed by another in early 2026. This would take the official cash rate to 3.10%, 1.25% below its recent

The post Why Australian interest rates will plunge appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Thursday, August 14, 2025 - 21:25 Source
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Your Democracy Thursday, August 14, 2025 - 19:05 Source

The so-called "coalition of the willing" has opposed any restrictions on the Ukrainian armed forces as part of the deal on settling the Ukraine conflict ahead of the meeting between Russian President Vladimir Putin and US President Donald Trump, a joint statement read.

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MacroBusiness Thursday, August 14, 2025 - 16:30 Source

Asian share markets were doing well until US Treasury Secretary Bessent stuck his foot in his mouth calling on the BOJ to lift rates while local markets surged on a stronger than expected July unemployment print. The USD is still losing out against most of the majors as Euro nearly lifts above the 1.17 handle

The post Macro Afternoon appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Thursday, August 14, 2025 - 15:21 Source
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Renew Economy Thursday, August 14, 2025 - 14:27 Source
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Renew Economy Thursday, August 14, 2025 - 14:21 Source
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MacroBusiness Thursday, August 14, 2025 - 14:00 Source

This is an important story. The Australian. The US Defence Department is aiming to integrate Australia and other Asian allies into a stronger collective defence framework focused on deterring Beijing and safeguarding Taiwan, warning that partners in the Indo-Pacific must not “sit back while the ­Europeans are stepping up.” As Canberra and Washington prepare to

The post Pentagon drops bomb on Albo the coward appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Thursday, August 14, 2025 - 13:30 Source

The Housing Industry Association (HIA) has launched a preemptive attack on moves to curb investor tax concessions, such as negative gearing and the 50% capital gains tax (CGT) discount. Chief economist Tim Reardon claimed that “investors are vital to the goal of increasing housing stock”, claiming that “investors typically supply around a third of all

The post Housing industry nonsensical on negative gearing appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Thursday, August 14, 2025 - 13:00 Source

Thank god, other states are fighting off Victoria disease. A controversial plan to stave off looming east coast gas shortfalls by underwriting new LNG import terminals has been indefinitely delayed as interstate disagreements and a broader overhaul of the market could push back the need for overseas sources. The Victorian-led proposal, which has yet to

The post Will the gas cartel create an Australian civil war? appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Thursday, August 14, 2025 - 12:27 Source

The August Statement of Monetary Policy (SoMP) from the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA), released on Tuesday, forecast that the unemployment rate would decline back to 4.2% before rising gradually to 4.3% over the forward estimates. Today, the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) released the July Labour Force survey, which posted a bounce back in

The post Unemployment falls in line with RBA appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Thursday, August 14, 2025 - 12:21 Source
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Renew Economy Thursday, August 14, 2025 - 12:12 Source
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MacroBusiness Thursday, August 14, 2025 - 12:00 Source

At the end of 2024, CoreLogic (now Cotality) estimated that Australians were paying a record percentage of their income to rent the median property. According to Cotality’s most recent quarterly rental report, national median rents have risen by 43% over the last five years, causing the average tenant household to pay an additional $10,350 per

The post Migration rebound dire news for Australian tenants appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Thursday, August 14, 2025 - 11:30 Source

The robots are all in on the AI bubble, but humans are not. The Market Ear. Much more room Equity allocation according to FMS has risen, but we are way below extreme levels. Source: BofA Still depressed Goldman’s equity sentiment indicator of positioning remains depressed. Source: GS Refusing Non dealers continue to refuse buying the

The post AI bubble to the moon! appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Thursday, August 14, 2025 - 11:00 Source

Last week, the ABC reported that within the Albanese government there were two very different approaches to the productivity round table scheduled for later this month. “One camp doubts that a cautious Albanese has much inclination to take on a controversial new policy—and questions whether “consensus” can be achieved with business and unions appearing poles

The post Can Labor survive continued inaction from Albo? appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Thursday, August 14, 2025 - 10:30 Source

The ferrous complex continues on its merry seasonal way. We ought to be near some kind of top here. The price is high enough to draw Indian ore back into the seaborne market, which will immediately have to be pushed back out again once Simandou starts up in November. The seasonal patterns, which are very

The post Iron ore bumps the upper limit appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Thursday, August 14, 2025 - 10:00 Source

Australia’s economy suffered a lost decade in the 2010s amid the collapse in per capita GDP and productivity growth. This decade is shaping up as another lost decade, with the economy trapped in a long per capita recession amid the worst labour productivity growth in the advanced world. The August Statement of Monetary Policy (SoMP)

The post Another lost decade beckons for Australians appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Thursday, August 14, 2025 - 09:30 Source

We’ve gone from avoiding the only productivity question that matters, the impacts of mass immigration on capital shallowing. To a vested interest scramble. To the do-nothing PM shutting it all down. It’s a farce, as it was always going to be, and now we’re focused on just one thing: meeting the centrally planned dwelling construction

The post Productivity roundtable turns housing hampster wheel appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Thursday, August 14, 2025 - 09:05 Source
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Renew Economy Thursday, August 14, 2025 - 09:03 Source

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MacroBusiness Thursday, August 14, 2025 - 09:00 Source

A staid night on the economic calendar with Wall Street closing at new record highs while European stocks played catchup as it seems the impact of US inflation is being discounted sharply by market players while the Fed continues to signal caution. The USD remains on the ropes against all the majors with Euro hitting

The post Macro Morning appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Your Democracy Thursday, August 14, 2025 - 06:41 Source

The ANZUS Treaty is America’s instrument of political, diplomatic, and military coercion. And it is a clear and present danger to the strategic security of Russia and friends of the Russian people.

 

ANZUS and the dangers to Russia

BY Simon Westwood

 

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