Blogotariat

Oz Blog News Commentary
MacroBusiness Friday, September 5, 2025 - 08:00 Source

Financial markets have extinguished hopes of the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) delivering a rate cut at the September monetary policy meeting. Their pessimism is warranted given the stronger-than-expected recent run of data from the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS). The trimmed mean CPI inflation indicator for July rose materially, increasing by 0.6% to 2.7%.

The post Kiss goodbye to another rate cut appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Friday, September 5, 2025 - 07:28 Source
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Your Democracy Friday, September 5, 2025 - 02:55 Source

The SCO has condemned Israel and the US for their attack on Iran in June. In a joint statement, they said that such aggressive actions against civilian targets, including nuclear energy infrastructure, which resulted in civilian deaths, constitute a gross violation of the principles and norms of international law and infringe on Iran’s sovereignty.

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Your Democracy Friday, September 5, 2025 - 02:40 Source

 

A meeting of Ukraine’s western European backers, known as the ‘coalition of the willing’, at the Elysee Palace in Paris on Thursday has brought together European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen, Vladimir Zelensky, and the leaders of Belgium, Poland, Finland and France.

Kiev has been pressing the West to provide security guarantees that could serve as a substitute for NATO’s collective defense since the US effectively blocked Ukraine’s bid to join the bloc.

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Renew Economy Friday, September 5, 2025 - 01:19 Source
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MacroBusiness Friday, September 5, 2025 - 00:05 Source

The Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) on Wednesday released the national accounts for Q2 2025, which revealed stronger-than-expected growth. Analysts had tipped a 0.4% rise in headline GDP, and the RBA had forecast 0.5% growth. However, a 0.6% rise was recorded, led by household spending. Household spending per capita rose by 0.5% in Q2, the

The post Australia’s GDP rebound masks deeper economic problem appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Thursday, September 4, 2025 - 17:17 Source
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MacroBusiness Thursday, September 4, 2025 - 17:00 Source

Asian share markets were quite mixed with local stocks regaining some of their losses on interest rate speculation that the Fed is likely going to pull a put if tomorrow night’s NFP comes in bad as expected. Meanwhile bond markets are trying to recover with many long dated yields across the UK, Japan and USA

The post Macro Afternoon appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Your Democracy Thursday, September 4, 2025 - 15:36 Source

I am going to cover two different issues here today, but both pertain to Donald Trump. I am not a Trump Derangement Syndrome (TDS) person. I do not reflexively dislike President Trump, but I find myself more disturbed about his foreign policy and his military actions, which counter his professed claim to be seeking peace. Let’s start with the attack on an alleged Venezuelan boat on Monday by the US Navy… It was a criminal act by US forces in my view.

 

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Renew Economy Thursday, September 4, 2025 - 15:09 Source

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Renew Economy Thursday, September 4, 2025 - 14:53 Source
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Renew Economy Thursday, September 4, 2025 - 14:38 Source

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MacroBusiness Thursday, September 4, 2025 - 14:00 Source

Friday’s NFP is a massive release for markets. BofA offers its preview. August payrolls:re-acceleration? We expect Aug payrolls to rise by 90k (consensus:75k, Jul: 73k). Although initial claims increased during the survey week, the four-week average remained at modest levels and not far from the July average (Exhibit 2). Also, continuing claims declined during the

The post US jobs to rebound? appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Thursday, September 4, 2025 - 13:56 Source
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MacroBusiness Thursday, September 4, 2025 - 13:30 Source

Last week, my local WhatsApp group exploded with footage of an attempted daylight carjacking a few hundred metres from my home in Ashburton. The footage made national news. It was the third type of event close to my home in the past month, the others being one successful and one attempted home invasion and car theft.

The post Crime wave sweeps GTA Melbourne appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Thursday, September 4, 2025 - 13:00 Source

Australia is starting to resemble 1984’s Ministry of Truth. First, the Albanese government performed a policy-180 and announced that Australians under the age of 16 would be banned from viewing YouTube. Prime Minister Anthony Albanese also wants to expand Australia’s draconian media restrictions globally. Albanese indicated that he will advocate Australia’s world-first social media age

The post Welcome to Albo’s Ministry of Truth appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Thursday, September 4, 2025 - 12:30 Source

We should not be surprised. It was obvious in 2021/22 that Labor had no compass for Australian strategic policy in the national interest. Not to mention the longer-term campaign by greybeards of the party to sell us to Beijing. Back then, when China unleashed its trade coercion attack, Labor could not wait to blame Australia

The post Immortan Dan to lock down Australia permanently appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Cheeseburger Gothic Thursday, September 4, 2025 - 12:19 Source

I'm still deep in the seventh level of proofreading hell on WW 3.2, doing my last pass while I wait for Chris Pepper to send me his nitpicks.

I just spent a couple of minutes staring at this passage of text, trying to figure out what was wrong with it.

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Renew Economy Thursday, September 4, 2025 - 12:03 Source

valley of the winds landscape

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MacroBusiness Thursday, September 4, 2025 - 12:00 Source

Join us in this week’s podcast as Nucleus Wealth’s Chief Investment Officer, Damien Klassen, looks at deepening problems in long bond yields and what they mean for valuations in the stock market Can’t make it to the live series? Catch up on the content via Podcasts or our recorded Videos. Damien Klassen is Chief Investment Officer at the Macrobusiness

The post MB Fund Podcast: The Global Bond Rout appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Thursday, September 4, 2025 - 12:00 Source

The Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) population data is a lottery. The population figures in the Q3 and Q4 2024 national accounts releases (here and here) diverged significantly from the official quarterly population data issued a few weeks later. Therefore, population numbers implied in the quarterly national accounts (and other releases) can and do get

The post Australia’s population growth rebounds appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Thursday, September 4, 2025 - 11:30 Source

The fix is in for Australian gas. The deeply corrupt Albanese government is undertaking a review of gas policies with both hands tied behind its back, having already ruled out the only policy that makes sense: retrospective reservation for QLD gas exporters. What we are seeing instead, again, is performative democracy in which everyone pretends

The post Build the LNG import terminals! appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Thursday, September 4, 2025 - 11:00 Source

Yesterday’s GDP figure has markets very upset. There is nothing like a strong economy to kill overvalued securities prices these days. They needn’t fear. The Aussie consumer is not “back”. Yesterday’s GDP was boosted by one-offs, and the gas cartel will take care of the rest of the year. Household consumption grew 0.9% in the

The post The Aussie consumer is not “back” appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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The Tally Room Thursday, September 4, 2025 - 10:42 Source

There’s been a lot of talk about expanding the size of Australia’s federal parliament in the last few years. Some of us have been talking about this for a lot longer, but it has seemed feasible since Labor took power in 2022.

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MacroBusiness Thursday, September 4, 2025 - 10:40 Source

Australia’s home building sector appears to be one giant contradiction. On one hand, Australia possesses the strongest level of new dwelling completions per capita in the Anglosphere and one of the highest levels in the entire developed world. In fact, Australia has been in an absolute ascendancy over its Anglosphere rivals for the last 40

The post The collapse of Australian home building appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Thursday, September 4, 2025 - 10:20 Source

The ferrous complex continues its great levitation. At least, iron ore does. Steel is stuffed. Ask yourself, why are steel prices tumbling when production is shut in for Beijing’s warmongering parade? Too much steel, with more coming when the parade ends, as the last of the margin expansion of the past few months is devoured.

The post Iron ore bears gather appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Thursday, September 4, 2025 - 10:14 Source
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MacroBusiness Thursday, September 4, 2025 - 10:00 Source

This week, the Albanese government announced that the permanent migrant intake would remain at 185,000 places in 2025-26, with 132,200 places set aside for ‘skilled migrants’. When the 20,000 humanitarian intake and 3,000 Pacific Engagement Visas are added, Australia’s permanent migrant intake has effectively been set at 208,000. It is important to point out that,

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MacroBusiness Thursday, September 4, 2025 - 09:30 Source

The following chart from Justin Fabo at Antipodean Macro shows that Australia’s productivity growth has lagged other advanced nations since 2018. Wednesday’s Q2 national accounts release confirmed that the nation’s productivity remains stillborn, with non-farm labour productivity rising 0.3% in Q2 but was slightly lower over the year and remained around 2017 levels.   While

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MacroBusiness Thursday, September 4, 2025 - 09:00 Source

Overnight saw the USD fall back as the latest jobs opening and Fed Beige Book painted a further slowing picture of the US economy as the Trump regime’s sales taxes, grift and general lack of ability in operating a modern government continue to take a hold. Wall Street liked it nonetheless as did bond markets

The post Macro Morning appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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