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Oz Blog News Commentary
MacroBusiness Wednesday, June 4, 2025 - 00:05 Source

Greens leader Larissa Waters has indicated that its party room has yet to decide whether it will support the federal government’s proposed superannuation tax reforms. The Greens are set to hold the balance of power in the Senate from 1 July, so Labor will depend on their votes to pass legislation. The Greens had expressed

The post Retired bureaucrats attack Labor’s superannuation reforms appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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George Monbiot Tuesday, June 3, 2025 - 19:42 Source

Keir Starmer has accidentally given us four years in which to build a new political system. We should seize the chance.

By George Monbiot, published in the Guardian 27th May 2025

This feels terminal. The breaches of trust have been so frequent, so vast and so decisive that the voters Labour has already lost are unlikely to return. In one forum after another, I hear the same sentiments: “I voted for change, not the same or worse.” “I’ve voted Labour all my life, but that’s it for me.” “I feel I’ve been had.”

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Renew Economy Tuesday, June 3, 2025 - 17:35 Source
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MacroBusiness Tuesday, June 3, 2025 - 17:14 Source

Tonight I will be appearing on DFA Live with Martin North from 8.00pm AEST, where we will discuss everything to do with the housing market and economy. The YouTube feed is below. I hope to see you there.

The post Join me tonight on DFA Live with Martin North appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, June 3, 2025 - 16:30 Source

A lot of macro events and geopolitics hit risk markets today but was mostly absorbed outside of currencies as the USD hit a six week low on a combination of the burgeoning world wide trade war started by the Trump regime and the growing slowdown in the domestic US economy. The latest Chinese manufacturing figures

The post Macro Afternoon appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Tuesday, June 3, 2025 - 14:31 Source
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Renew Economy Tuesday, June 3, 2025 - 14:26 Source
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Renew Economy Tuesday, June 3, 2025 - 14:26 Source
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MacroBusiness Tuesday, June 3, 2025 - 14:00 Source

The NSW and Victorian governments are urging the Albanese government to use its large election mandate to revamp the GST system. The then Turnbull government agreed in 2016 to what has been dubbed a ‘sweetheart deal’ with Western Australia, which is slated to cost taxpayers $60 billion over 11 years. This deal set a floor

The post Victoria cries poor after receiving $7.5b in extra GST appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Tuesday, June 3, 2025 - 13:59 Source
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Renew Economy Tuesday, June 3, 2025 - 13:56 Source
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MacroBusiness Tuesday, June 3, 2025 - 13:30 Source

We have a terrible living standards problem owing to our immigration-led, labour market expansion economic model, which devours productivity. On the other hand, we have a technological breakthrough that is all about productivity (in theory, anyway). There are two versions of AI developing – those with global tech businesses who already have a foot in

The post Let AI destroy the Aussie economy appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, June 3, 2025 - 13:00 Source

Melbourne’s auction market has rebounded strongly, recording an average final auction clearance rate of 67% in May, the strongest result since mid-2023. As illustrated in the following chart, the bounce in Melbourne’s auction clearance rate has been accompanied by a corresponding rise in dwelling values, which increased by 0.8% in May, according to PropTrack. The

The post Bargain hunters target Melbourne housing appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Tuesday, June 3, 2025 - 12:55 Source
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MacroBusiness Tuesday, June 3, 2025 - 12:30 Source

Via ANZ. ANZ-Indeed Australian Job Ads fell 1.2% m/m in May, following a downwardly revised 0.3%m/m decline in April. In trend terms, the series was down 0.6% m/m. ANZ-Indeed Australian Job Ads is now at its lowest level since March 2021, but has remained in a tight range of 114 to 117 (rounded to the

The post Job ads still fading appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, June 3, 2025 - 12:10 Source

This is a good decision. The Fair Work Commission has awarded an increase of 3.5% to up 2.6 million workers on minimum award rates to allow for low-paid workers to catch up on real wage cuts suffered during the pandemic. The increase will lift the national minimum wage from $24.10 an hour, or $915.90 a

The post Real wages get welcome boost appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Tuesday, June 3, 2025 - 12:09 Source
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MacroBusiness Tuesday, June 3, 2025 - 12:00 Source

NSW Premier Chris Minns aims to alleviate Sydney’s housing crisis by expediting the supply of shoebox apartments. Minns last week accused previous governments of being “timid” due to “the NIMBY [Not In My Backyard] backlash” but argued that the conversation had changed to “opening the gates to more urban consolidation and development”. “I think Sydneysiders

The post Minns gaslights Sydneysiders on housing crisis appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, June 3, 2025 - 11:30 Source

I have been bullish on gold for a year or more. The Market Ear sets us up. Decision time in gold Gold is back flirting with the short term negative trend line. The bounces on the 50 day and the long term trend were once again schoolbook examples of buying dips in strong trends. A

The post Not too late for gold? appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, June 3, 2025 - 11:00 Source

Cotality (formerly CoreLogic) has reported a tightening in rental vacancy rates over recent months. This tightening is illustrated below by Justin Fabo from Antipodean Macro. Vacancy rates have tightened across the board and are tracking below 2% across all capital city markets. Despite the lower vacancy rates, Cotality reported a moderation of annual asking rents

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, June 3, 2025 - 10:30 Source

It’s bloody painful, but slowly iron ore is being ground down. The PMIs were no help at all. The NBS manufacturing PMI increased from 49.0 in April to 49.5 in May. The new export order sub-index, which dropped from 51.8 in March to 49.2 in April, climbed to 49.8 in May. But, the NBS construction

The post Iron ore ground down with steel appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, June 3, 2025 - 10:00 Source

The official Q1 CPI inflation print from the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) showed that the policy-important trimmed mean inflation rate declined to 2.9% year-on-year, within the Reserve Bank of Australia’s (RBA) inflation target of 2% to 3%. RBA Governor Michele Bullock’s media appearance following last month’s 0.25% rate cut suggested that she was less

The post Australia’s inflation continues to fall appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, June 3, 2025 - 09:30 Source

DXY is breaking down again. AUD at the top of the range.   Lead boots no more. Gold poised for more. Oil bought the fact. Metals are eyeing DXY. Nothing can save big miners. EM meh. Junk is worried. Yields are up as DXY is down. Markets HATE Trump tariffs. Stocks eked out gains. The

The post Australian dollar hits ceiling as US economy hits wall appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, June 3, 2025 - 09:00 Source

It was all about the TACO trade overnight as Wall Street rallied on an extension of Chinese tariff pauses despite a lot of vitriol between Trump and the Middle Kingdom about breaking the recent trade deal. Meanwhile the Trump regime is still waiting on “best offers” from other nations with a new Wednesday deadline which

The post Macro Morning appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Cheeseburger Gothic Tuesday, June 3, 2025 - 08:56 Source

I was reading the early reports of Ukraine’s drone strikes on Russian strategic bomber bases, wondering ‘where have I read this before/?’

And then I remembered.

I didn’t read it. I wrote it a couple of years ago. In Zero Day Code. Chapter 17.

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Renew Economy Tuesday, June 3, 2025 - 08:33 Source
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MacroBusiness Tuesday, June 3, 2025 - 08:00 Source

Wind power has become a significant contributor to the electricity supply in Australia. As of September 2024, Australia had an installed wind capacity of around 13.3 GW. Wind power accounted for 13.4% (or 31.9 TWh) of Australia’s total electricity production in 2024. The Albanese government has set a target of producing 82% of Australia’s electricity

The post The fundamental problem with renewables appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, June 3, 2025 - 00:05 Source

Cotality’s (formerly CoreLogic) latest housing affordability report showed that the cost of purchasing and renting a home in Sydney was the worst on record at the end of 2024, as well as the highest in the nation. As illustrated above, Sydney’s dwelling value-to-income rate was 9.8 at the end of 2024. It required a typical

The post Sydney’s housing market eats its young appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Monday, June 2, 2025 - 21:20 Source
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The Tally Room Monday, June 2, 2025 - 20:12 Source

For this podcast Ben interviews two scrutineers about their experience in the recounts: Adelaide, a Liberal scrutineer from Bradfield, and KJ, an independent scrutineer from Goldstein. Ben also discusses the recount procedures he saw in Bradfield last week and the latest count updates from Monday afternoon.

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