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Renew Economy Wednesday, February 26, 2025 - 13:11 Source
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MacroBusiness Wednesday, February 26, 2025 - 13:00 Source

By Stephen Saunders In America, Kamala Harris = word-salad is a national meme. Australia’s Harris of Demography has been at it again, garbling at great length for The Conversation.  Americans exercise certain democratic rights to roast Harris. But Allen, along with Abul Rizvi and Laura Tingle, exists in rarefied space as an immigration whisperer to

The post Meet Liz Allen: Immigration wolf in sheep’s clothing appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Wednesday, February 26, 2025 - 12:30 Source

The ferrous complex rolled over yesterday. Scuttlebutt is straightforward. A bipartisan group of U.S. lawmakers is introducing a legislation to address the impact of Chinese-supported companies moving portions of their production to other countries to circumvent American duties. The legislation would also toughen anti-dumping rules. This comes after the U.S. announced 25% tariffs on all

The post What’s not to hate about iron ore? appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Wednesday, February 26, 2025 - 12:03 Source

The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) would be happy with Wednesday’s monthly CPI indicator from the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS). The ABS reported an annual headline CPI of 2.5% in January (versus 2.6% expected) and the policy-relevant trimmed mean inflation of 2.8% (within the RBA’s target of 2% to 3%). The following chart from

The post RBA vindicated as inflation falls within target appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Wednesday, February 26, 2025 - 12:00 Source

The Albanese government’s target of building 1.2 million homes over five years remains hopelessly out of reach. On Tuesday, the Housing Industry Association (HIA) reported that new home sales increased by 4.1% in the month of January 2025, offsetting weaker sales in November and December 2024. While sales rebounded in January, the following chart from

The post Australian homebuilders remain trapped in recession appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Wednesday, February 26, 2025 - 11:30 Source

Something I have not much focused on is the implications of the Guinean Pilbara killer mine on QLD. Simandou produces such high-quality iron ore that it can and will be used as direct injection feedstock into electric-arc furnaces (EAF). These typically use gas, not coking coal, as the reducing agent. If all of Simandou output

The post The Pilbara killer is also a QLD killer appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Wednesday, February 26, 2025 - 11:00 Source

The Australian’s Judith Sloan argues that Labor’s $22.7 billion Future Made in Australia (FMIA) policy is badly planned and badly executed. Labor has promoted FMIA as a plan to create new jobs and opportunities by maximising the economic and industrial benefits of moving towards net zero emissions. Sloan argues that it is, in fact, a

The post Expensive energy guarantees no Future Made in Australia appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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RNA

xkcd.com Wednesday, February 26, 2025 - 11:00 Source

 RNA formed the basis for life each of the five known times it arose on the early Earth.

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MacroBusiness Wednesday, February 26, 2025 - 10:30 Source

The Market Ear with the latest on the puke. That was quick SPX has gone from the upper part of the range to closing in on the lower part of the range in a few sessions. Note we are below the 100 day as of writing and RSI is at the most oversold levels in

The post BTFD? appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Wednesday, February 26, 2025 - 10:00 Source

Former immigration department bureaucrat turned influencer, Abul Rizvi, was interviewed this month by Joseph Walker. In the interview, Rizvi said the quiet part out loud and explicitly admitted that slowing population ageing comprised about “80%” of the motivation for the 2001 changes, which massively increased Australia’s intake of migrants, especially international students. Until spending about

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Renew Economy Wednesday, February 26, 2025 - 09:33 Source
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MacroBusiness Wednesday, February 26, 2025 - 09:30 Source

My god, we are helpless. Australia was unaware Chinese warships were set to conduct live-fire exercises off its east coast until its security authorities were alerted via a Virgin Australia pilot who heard radio communications about the drills, according to a top air traffic official. In short, the Chinese cruiser could have fired off nuclear-armed HN missiles

The post My god, we are helpless appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Wednesday, February 26, 2025 - 09:00 Source

Wall Street continues to flail while European stocks try hard to push forward, buoyed by more defense spending promises while the cuts in US federal spending and employment loom large amid a the Canadian/Mexican tariffs that are still on the table. The USD was pushed back by Euro and Yen again overnight while the Australian

The post Macro Morning appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Wednesday, February 26, 2025 - 07:20 Source
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Renew Economy Wednesday, February 26, 2025 - 07:18 Source
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Renew Economy Wednesday, February 26, 2025 - 07:15 Source
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MacroBusiness Wednesday, February 26, 2025 - 06:51 Source

DXY is still falling. EUR is not exactly soaring post-German election. The AUD rocket is in danger of a crash landing. Lead boots is stable. Gold and oil got puked. Another dirt bubble goes pop. Woe is miners. EM deepsuckered. Junk nailed to the floor. The bond bid is back. As stocks freak about growth.

The post Australian dollar rocket crash lands appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Wednesday, February 26, 2025 - 04:01 Source
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MacroBusiness Wednesday, February 26, 2025 - 00:10 Source

The Australian Bureau of Statistics’ (ABS) latest annual national accounts reported that Australia’s land was valued at $9.2 trillion in 2023-24, with residential land accounting for 84% ($7.7 trillion). As illustrated below, residential land values have skyrocketed from 1.1 times Australia’s GDP in 1989 to 2.9 times GDP as of 2023-24. The total value of Australia’s

The post The great Sydney land bubble appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, February 25, 2025 - 16:30 Source

Asian share markets are not doing so well as the play catchup to the risk off mood that has been dragging down Wall Street since Friday night with returning Japanese markets down the most while local shares are still heading down due to the somewhat hawkish RBA position. Meanwhile the Australian dollar is trying to

The post Macro Afternoon appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Tuesday, February 25, 2025 - 14:37 Source
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Renew Economy Tuesday, February 25, 2025 - 14:35 Source
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Renew Economy Tuesday, February 25, 2025 - 14:20 Source
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MacroBusiness Tuesday, February 25, 2025 - 13:30 Source

The Market Ear with more. What could go wrong? Steve Cohen expects a significant correction. Warren is hoarding more cash than ever. Some valuations metrics say that this is the most overvalued market ever. Hedge funds, long-onlies, retail and CTAs are all close to max long. What could go wrong…? Retail Retreat Retail investors turned

The post Is the stock bubble about to burst? appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, February 25, 2025 - 13:00 Source

Analysis shows that the federal government has made $123.6 billion worth of discretionary spending decisions in the three budgets it has handed down since taking office in May 2022. The government has also announced some $20 billion worth of election promises since the start of 2025, headlined by the $8.5 billion expenditure on Medicare. Independent

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Renew Economy Tuesday, February 25, 2025 - 12:42 Source

Yallourn power station (supplied).

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Renew Economy Tuesday, February 25, 2025 - 12:36 Source
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MacroBusiness Tuesday, February 25, 2025 - 12:30 Source

“Voluntary attendance. Online classes. Student numbers swelling”. The Guardian’s education correspondent, Caitlin Cassidy, has questioned the erosion of teaching standards at Australia’s universities, which have transformed into little more than “degree factories”: More than a dozen academics who spoke to Guardian Australia on the condition of anonymity say their work has become undervalued and underpaid,

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, February 25, 2025 - 12:00 Source

According to the Department of Education, a record 1,018,799 international students were enrolled in Australia during the year ending Q3 2024: The table below shows a breakdown of enrolments by type of institution. As you can see, vocational education and training (VET) has had the largest increase in student enrolments since 2019, from 247,467 to

The post Thousands of migrants rort visa system appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, February 25, 2025 - 11:30 Source

The Albanese government has set a fantastical target of building 1.2 million homes over five years, equating to 240,000 homes a year. As illustrated below, this is a level of construction that has never been achieved before. Current construction levels are tracking around 30% below the government’s target. The latest housing projects from the Housing

The post Australia’s housing construction target downgraded appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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