It appears the Kamala Harris polling honeymoon is over: It is across the board: Betting markets have Trump ahead again: Swing states are too close to call: All a bit odd given what is happening to oil. In my view, the debate is all Harris’s to lose. Everybody knows Trump. She needs to nail it
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The hostility the Grattan Institute has shown VIC on energy policy bespeaks a deep hatred of the state. First, back in 2013, Grattan recommended that QLD be allowed to export all of its gas without domestic reservation. This was always going to be worst for VIC, given it is cold and needs heating, and we
Super Members Council Media Release The Coalition’s support for paying super on Commonwealth Parental Leave Pay is very welcome – but its bid to make it optional undermines the whole policy intent of boosting the retirement savings of new mums and is a concerning departure from bipartisan principles of universality and compulsion. The cash-out proposal…
The latest NAB business survey, released on Tuesday, revealed that Australia’s labour market has continued to soften. As illustrated in the following charts from Justin Fabo at Antipodean Macro, reported hiring by Australian businesses declined in August to be around average: The trend rise in capacity utilisation also points to an ongoing rise in the
I have warned repeatedly that the Grattan Institute’s immigration “research” and work program is funded by the pro-Big Australia Scanlon Foundation, which was founded by real estate entrepreneur and rich lister Peter Scanlon: As John Masanauskas from the Herald-Sun explained in 2009 (link no longer active): MAJOR investor and former Elders executive Peter Scanlon hardly
The RBA really should give up trying to predict the future. It doesn’t have the brain power for it. After weeks of the central bank telling us on every occasion it will not cut rates this year, along comes an oil crash: For Australia, this has the bonus of pressuring the gas cartel at the
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In a turn up for the books, steel rose yesterday while iron ore fell: Mad Dalian is at new closing lows this morning: As is coking coal: The trigger may have been Chinese trade data which had soft iron ore imports on the month (and still rising inventories): And a rebound in steel exports: Crashing
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Last week I wrote an analysis piece about the different shape of ballot papers in different parts of New South Wales – the urban areas and some large rural councils have above-the-line voting, small rural councils have a single column of ungrouped candidates, and there are some councils in between with a transitional mode.
I wanted to understand a bit more about below-the-line voting, at least in the places where a “line” exists.
I noted on Monday how first home buyers were being crowded-out by investors and upgraders: The relative weakness of first home buyer demand is attributable to stretched affordability, reflected in the average loan size for first home buyers being well below upgraders and investors: Housing Minister Clare O’Neil posted on Twitter (X) that one in
An unsettled risk complex overnight in the absence of economic events but looking through to tonight’s all-important US CPI print and probably just as volatile Presidential debate. Oil prices slumped to a three year low while Wall Street pressed forward with its rebound, albeit only led by tech stocks. European markets failed to follow through
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