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Poll Bludger Sunday, March 18, 2018 - 07:43 Source

The cards finally land in the right places for the Liberals in South Australia, despite an overall swing in Labor's favour.

The post Third time lucky appeared first on The Poll Bludger.

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The Australian Independent Media Network Sunday, March 18, 2018 - 07:04 Source

Sunday 18 March 2018 I sit before my computer fingers poised, well two of them anyway, searching for a beginning and I cannot find one. By the time people are reading this the Batman by-election and the South Australian Election will be done and dusted. Or perhaps we will have to wait and see. Both…

The post Day to Day Politics: Why did he do it? appeared first on The AIM Network.

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North Coast Voices Sunday, March 18, 2018 - 00:16 Source

“This is indeed the wealthiest retired generation ever in Australian history….

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North Coast Voices Sunday, March 18, 2018 - 00:15 Source
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The Tally Room Saturday, March 17, 2018 - 23:36 Source

I love a good electoral map, that can tell a story about how a seat’s population votes in different ways and how the balance of those communities decides who wins an election. Batman has produced a fascinating map at recent elections, with the Greens dominating south of Bell Street while Labor rules the roost to the north.

The question at this election was whether the Greens could breach Bell Street and take more of the vote north of the road. The answer is: yes, they can. But they did so while losing support in their heartland, and the swing to Labor in the south was stronger than the Greens swing in the north.

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John Quiggin Saturday, March 17, 2018 - 22:32 Source

When Malcolm Turnbull, as PM, first faced Bill Shorten, as Opposition Leader, I correctly surmised that this would be a contest between a bold and innovative leader, unafraid to put forward controversial policies if they were right for the country, and a timid pragmatist, tied down by secret deals with factional warlords, and standing for nothing. I just didn’t realise which was which.

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Poll Bludger Saturday, March 17, 2018 - 18:30 Source

Live coverage of the count for the South Australian state election.

The post South Australian election live appeared first on The Poll Bludger.

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North Coast Voices Saturday, March 17, 2018 - 18:11 Source

SA Electoral Commission - South Australian General ElectionVirtual Tally Room here - after 6.30pm Sydney time.ABC Election Coverage 2018 #SAvotes - ABC Radio ADELAIDE ...Australian Electoral Commission - Batman By-election VictoriaVirtual Tally Room

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The Tally Room Saturday, March 17, 2018 - 18:00 Source

Batman by-election results

Candidate
Party
Primary
Primary %
Swing
2PP votes
2PP %
2PP Swing

Yvonne Gentle
Rise Up Australia
0
0
0

Ged Kearney
Labor
0
0
0
0
0
0

Alex Bhathal
Greens
0
0
0
0
0
0

Kevin Bailey
Conservatives
0
0
0

Read more Views: 91
Poll Bludger Saturday, March 17, 2018 - 15:22 Source

Super Saturday, phase one: live coverage of the count for the Batman by-election.

The post Batman by-election live appeared first on The Poll Bludger.

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John Quiggin Saturday, March 17, 2018 - 14:36 Source

Thanks to everyone who the first four chapters of my book, Economics in Two Lessons. I’m continuing with policy applications of Lesson 1: Market prices reflect and determine opportunity costs faced by consumers and producers.
That will be followed by Lesson 2: Market prices don’t reflect all the opportunity costs we face as a society.

Now here’s the draft of Chapter 5. Again, I welcome comments, criticism and encouragement.

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John Quiggin Saturday, March 17, 2018 - 14:25 Source

I haven’t had time to do a proper economic analysis of Labor’s proposals on dividend imputation credits. But you don’t need an economic analysis to see that making an overt appeal to conservative voters on the issue, as Richard di Natale has just done, is a very bad move if the Greens party wants to present itself as a left alternative to Labor.

Perhaps this is poor judgement in the heat of a by-election campaign, the significance of which seems to me to be greatly over-rated by all.

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politicalowl Saturday, March 17, 2018 - 12:42 Source

The probabilities about today's elections based on the betting market odds:

SOUTH AUSTRALIAParty of next PremierLabor52%Liberal40%SA Best8%100%A hung parliament?Yes68%No32%HartleyLiberal (Tarzia)74%SA Best (Xenophon)17%Labor (Portelesi)4%Others5%

FEDERALBatmanGreens68%Labor30%Any other2%

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The Australian Independent Media Network Saturday, March 17, 2018 - 12:00 Source

If there is one particular action that is put in place by every person or agency that feels itself in need of security, power or protection, it is the almost automatic implementation of their “Fortress Mentality”. This “organic reaction” by entire dynasties, empires and individuals can be traced even in the architecture of construction of…

The post A Fortress Mentality appeared first on The AIM Network.

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Harrangue Man Saturday, March 17, 2018 - 11:58 Source

We live off on an arterial road and it means we get traffic noise.In Oz, and indeed in many places, there appear to be those that re-tool their vehicle so they become louder.We call them "cock-spanks on patrol" because they drive or ride their vehicles about to inflict noise because it makes them feel better.Unfortunately to someone whose shed backs onto the road it means I enjoy their presence more than most.I wasn't even in the shed when the chopped motorbike or de-muffled ute went past but outside having breakfast when they farted their vehicle through the otherwise pleasing ambience.

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Your Democracy Saturday, March 17, 2018 - 11:55 Source
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The Australian Independent Media Network Saturday, March 17, 2018 - 11:00 Source

By Denis Bright With its surging population growth, economic volatility and internal income divide, many of our neighbours in Papua-New Guinea (PNG) are having difficulty coping with the everyday challenges of globalization. Official economic growth rates are artificially elevated by the commercial export sectors in oil, natural gas, minerals, timber products as well as traditional…

The post Near Neighbours – PNG: New Fault-lines in the Tropics appeared first on The AIM Network.

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Harrangue Man Saturday, March 17, 2018 - 10:48 Source

"I'm out!" (avoids area).

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The Tally Room Saturday, March 17, 2018 - 10:41 Source

Polls have now opened in the South Australian state election and the federal Batman by-election, and will be opening in the state by-election in Cottesloe within the next half-hour.

This post is mostly to provide a place to discuss today’s events, but I did want to touch briefly on the two statewide polls released last night for South Australia.

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Harrangue Man Saturday, March 17, 2018 - 10:02 Source

With my not being in a normal, high-stress job means my dairy allergy has passed; I can eat cheese again.Pizza is a thing I missed since it is basically a cheese-delivery vehicle and therefore I enjoy pizza now.That is, when I can pick up a slice and transfer it to a plate or my mouth.My anxiety was up so my PTSD was up and my hand tremours were up.That's how it came to be I lost a slice of the meat pizza to the kitchen floor. It landed topping-side up but that's a nasty floor so I grunted as I bent—my muscular-skeleton system is dodgy due to prior ownership—and retrieved the slice to bin it.

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Harrangue Man Saturday, March 17, 2018 - 09:08 Source

I was yelling in a conference room when I woke, but I had been yelling about the horror I had to deal with. I woke, the bed sheet damp with anger sweat, got up and had a shower.I didn't dream just about the horror, there was a mix of personalities and predicaments including, bizarrely, a trip home via Dubbo. That last bit didn't make me mad, though. It was an add on.My psych said I'd be rubbery for at least a week after I finished with the horror and she was right.

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Global Guerrillas Saturday, March 17, 2018 - 08:25 Source

When it comes to politics, it should be of no surprise to anyone that we're in uncharted, nonlinear territory now. 

Weaponized social networks have seized control of the political process from the traditional political parties and their media gatekeepers.  They are in charge now and, more importantly, they are rapidly evolving.  Getting more powerful with each passing day.  

Here's a good example of how that evolution could could quickly (nearly overnight) go non-linear and plunge us into civil turmoil.

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En Passant Saturday, March 17, 2018 - 07:03 Source


(IMAGE: asheshwor, Flickr)

The Canberra Times is engaged in a ding-dong battle with the ACT Chief Minister, and if you believe the letters to the editor page, it has staggering levels of support. John Passant in New Matilda is not so sure.

 

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North Coast Voices Saturday, March 17, 2018 - 00:16 Source

“With no clear international achievement to his name, his major accomplishment in foreign policy has been provoking significant global backlash almost across the board.” [Journalist Andrew Hammond writing about US President Donald J. Trump in The Sydney Morning Herald, 14 March2018]

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North Coast Voices Saturday, March 17, 2018 - 00:15 Source

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MacroBusiness Saturday, March 17, 2018 - 00:01 Source

Global Macro / Markets / Investing: JPMorgan Moves Closer to Urging a Rotation Away From Equities – Bloomberg Imagine Wall Street Without Jamie Dimon and Lloyd Blankfein – Bloomberg Leveraged ETFs Are Moving Markets Again – WSJ What’s the Biggest Trade on the New York Stock Exchange? The Last One – WSJ The Bitcoin Fad

The post Weekend Reading: 17-18 March 2018 appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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George Monbiot Friday, March 16, 2018 - 23:19 Source

I have prostate cancer, but I’m happy. Here’s how.

By George Monbiot, published in the Guardian 14th March 2018

 

It came, as these things often do, like a gunshot on a quiet street: shocking and disorienting. In early December, my urine turned brown. The following day I felt feverish and found it hard to pee. I soon realised I had a urinary tract infection. It was unpleasant, but seemed to be no big deal. Now I know that it might have saved my life.

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George Monbiot Friday, March 16, 2018 - 23:19 Source

I have prostate cancer, but I’m happy. Here’s how.

By George Monbiot, published in the Guardian 14th March 2018

 

It came, as these things often do, like a gunshot on a quiet street: shocking and disorienting. In early December, my urine turned brown. The following day I felt feverish and found it hard to pee. I soon realised I had a urinary tract infection. It was unpleasant, but seemed to be no big deal. Now I know that it might have saved my life.

Read more Views: 92
Poll Bludger Friday, March 16, 2018 - 22:14 Source

A late poll from South Australia shows only that whoever ends up governing will do so from an historically low primary vote.

The post ReachTEL: Liberal 34, Labor 31, SA Best 16 in South Australia appeared first on The Poll Bludger.

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MacroBusiness Friday, March 16, 2018 - 17:21 Source

Another mixed session to end the week here in Asia with most stock markets putting in scratch sessions or minor losses as markets continued to contemplate the changes in personnel at the White House amid growing concerns the Federal Reserve will raise rates again next week. Commodities were little changed while bond yields dropped slightly.

The post Macro Afternoon appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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