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Articles from Poll Bludger

Photo finishes: lower house

March 14, 2017 - 04:20 -- Admin

The ABC computer is now listing five seats in doubt, having today called Geraldton for Liberal and Kalgoorlie for Labor. One of the doubtful is the Nationals-versus-Liberal contest of Kalgoorlie, where the ABC computer is projecting a comfortable Liberal winning margin of 4.2%. However, this is based on a speculative preference estimate, as no notional two-party count is being conducted, so we won’t know exactly what’s happened here until the end of the count.

Upper house call of the board

March 12, 2017 - 08:26 -- Admin

The Labor landslide looks to have carried over to a better-than-expected result in the Legislative Council, where Labor and the Greens seem likely to win half the 36 seats between them. Depending on how things pan out in Mining and Pastoral, that will be either Labor 15 and Greens three, or Labor 14 and Greens four.

EMRS: Liberal 35, Labor 29, Greens 19 in Tasmania

March 6, 2017 - 15:53 -- Admin

The latest Tasmanian state poll from EMRS adds a One Nation response option and records their support at 6%, driving a five-point drop in Liberal support to 35%. Nonetheless, Labor and the Greens have both gained a point to 29% and 19% respectively. Curiously, Will Hodgman has nonetheless increased his lead over Labor’s Bryan Green as preferred premier, from 50-22 to 52-20.