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EMRS: Liberal 35, Labor 29, Greens 19 in Tasmania

March 6, 2017 - 15:53 -- Admin

The latest Tasmanian state poll from EMRS adds a One Nation response option and records their support at 6%, driving a five-point drop in Liberal support to 35%. Nonetheless, Labor and the Greens have both gained a point to 29% and 19% respectively. Curiously, Will Hodgman has nonetheless increased his lead over Labor’s Bryan Green as preferred premier, from 50-22 to 52-20.

BludgerTrack: 53.5-46.5 to Labor

March 5, 2017 - 06:33 -- Admin

A bruising result for the Coalition from Newspoll shows up as a meaty 0.7% shift on two-party preferred in the BludgerTrack poll aggregate, yielding an extra seat for Labor in each of the four largest states on the seat projection. Newspoll furnishes a new seat of leadership ratings, and the latest aggregate readings reflect it in having both leaders down on net approval, with a modest reduction in Malcolm Turnbull’s lead on two-party preferred.

WA election minus two weeks

February 27, 2017 - 06:33 -- Admin

Today’s West Australian reports on a ReachTEL poll of 1706 respondents conducted for the Tourism Council across 15 marginal seats*, which – after exclusion of the 5% undecided – has Labor on 41.9% and the Liberals and Nationals between them on 36.4%, which compares with averaged results of 33.5% and 53.3% across the relevant seats in 2013. The Liberal and Nationals votes break down to 32.4% (48.1% in 2013) and 5.9% (5.2% in 2013, although it only fielded candidates in four of them).

Newspoll: 55-45 to Labor

February 26, 2017 - 21:55 -- Admin

James J relates Newspoll in tomorrow’s Australian is at 55-45 in favour of Labor, up from 54-46 three weeks ago. The Coalition is down one on the primary vote to 35% with Labor up one to 37%, the Greens steady on 10% and One Nation up two to 10%. Both leaders record decidedly weak personal ratings, with Malcolm Turnbull crashing six on approval to 29% and up five on disapproval to 59%, while Bill Shorten is down two to 30% and up two to 56%.

BludgerTrack: 52.8-47.2 to Labor

February 26, 2017 - 04:29 -- Admin

A bit of a blip towards the Coalition in this week’s reading of the BludgerTrack poll aggregate, which only has a new Essential Research result to go on. This translates into extra seats for the Coalition in Victoria and Queensland. The only other feature of the result worth remarking on is that it’s still onwards and upwards for One Nation.

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