Not a moment too soon, you may now find (hopefully) an expanded Western Australian election guide herewith, featuring a comprehensive overview page and a region-by-region guide to the upper house, in addition to the long-established seat-by-seat guide to the lower house.
No change this week, at all, from the Essential Research fortnight rolling average – Coalition and Labor 37% apiece, Greens and One Nation 9%, Nick Xenophon Team 3%, 53-47 to Labor on two-party preferred.
With only four more sleeps to go:
The latest Tasmanian state poll from EMRS adds a One Nation response option and records their support at 6%, driving a five-point drop in Liberal support to 35%. Nonetheless, Labor and the Greens have both gained a point to 29% and 19% respectively. Curiously, Will Hodgman has nonetheless increased his lead over Labor’s Bryan Green as preferred premier, from 50-22 to 52-20.
The latest Tasmanian state poll from EMRS records a slight moderation in the Hodgman government’s lead, with the Liberals down two points since November to 46% and Labor up two to 27%, with the Greens down two to 18%. However, Will Hodgman’s lead over Labor’s Bryan Green as preferred premier is down from 56-19 to 52-21.
A bruising result for the Coalition from Newspoll shows up as a meaty 0.7% shift on two-party preferred in the BludgerTrack poll aggregate, yielding an extra seat for Labor in each of the four largest states on the seat projection. Newspoll furnishes a new seat of leadership ratings, and the latest aggregate readings reflect it in having both leaders down on net approval, with a modest reduction in Malcolm Turnbull’s lead on two-party preferred.
Tomorrow’s Sunday Times has a poll from Galaxy, related via Twitter, showing Labor with a 54-46 lead, which is all I can tell you about it at this stage (other than that it’s more in accordance with my own perceptions that ReachTEL’s statewide results). More to follow.
With just over a week to go before election day, the latest Western Australian state poll from ReachTEL gives Labor a 52-48 lead, compared with 50-50 at its last poll a fortnight ago.
Today’s West Australian reports on a ReachTEL poll of 1706 respondents conducted for the Tourism Council across 15 marginal seats*, which – after exclusion of the 5% undecided – has Labor on 41.9% and the Liberals and Nationals between them on 36.4%, which compares with averaged results of 33.5% and 53.3% across the relevant seats in 2013. The Liberal and Nationals votes break down to 32.4% (48.1% in 2013) and 5.9% (5.2% in 2013, although it only fielded candidates in four of them).
James J relates Newspoll in tomorrow’s Australian is at 55-45 in favour of Labor, up from 54-46 three weeks ago. The Coalition is down one on the primary vote to 35% with Labor up one to 37%, the Greens steady on 10% and One Nation up two to 10%. Both leaders record decidedly weak personal ratings, with Malcolm Turnbull crashing six on approval to 29% and up five on disapproval to 59%, while Bill Shorten is down two to 30% and up two to 56%.