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Peter Martin Friday, July 1, 2022 - 14:50 Source

Homeowners will face mortgage rates near 5.5% in a little over a year, according to a survey of 22 leading Australian economists.

The Conversation’s 2022-23 forecasting survey predicts an increase in the Reserve Bank’s cash rate from its present 0.85% to a peak of 3.1% by next August.

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Peter Martin Wednesday, June 15, 2022 - 14:37 Source

The really bizarre thing about calls for a UK-style windfall profits tax on gas is that Australia’s already got one.

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Peter Martin Wednesday, June 1, 2022 - 13:52 Source

A recession in the US usually brings on a recession in the rest of the world, although not always in Australia.

Australia has escaped such a recession twice in the past 50 years.

We avoided the early-2000s so-called tech-wreck recession, and we avoided the so-called “great recession” during the global financial crisis.

Amid ominous talk about yet another US-led global recession, there’s a chance we could escape for a third time.

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Peter Martin Wednesday, May 25, 2022 - 13:45 Source

Stand by for something “reckless and dangerous”.

That’s what former prime minister Scott Morrison said Prime Minister Anthony Albanese would be if he asked the Fair Work Commission to grant a wage rise big enough to cover inflation. It would make Albanese a “loose unit” on the economy.

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oecomuse Friday, May 20, 2022 - 22:43 Source

You may find this hard to believe, but the 2016 federal election campaign was a full fortnight longer than this one. I remember journalists from the campaign bus complaining afterwards that Malcolm Turnbull was moribund and lazy, booking a single daily event.

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Peter Martin Wednesday, May 18, 2022 - 13:05 Source

The last week of campaigns used to be frantic, behind the scenes. In public, right up until the final week, the leaders would make all sorts of promises, many of them expensive, with nary a mention of the spending cuts or tax increases that would be needed to pay for them.

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Peter Martin Wednesday, May 11, 2022 - 12:36 Source

The Reserve Bank is pushing up interest rates to take money out of our hands.

The first increase in the current round will add about A$65 a month to the cost of paying off a $500,000 mortgage.

The second will add a bit more. If, as the bank’s forecasts assume, there are another four such increases this year, that’s a further $275 a month, and so on.

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