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Your Democracy Saturday, January 25, 2025 - 20:04 Source

Republicans routed Democrats in the 2024 election. The coming year offers a chance for the defeated party to figure out if the last cycle was a realignment or an electoral anomaly.

There has been lots of soul-searching and finger-pointing in recent weeks; that will continue for months as Democrats sort through the results and test theories about how to win in this environment.

 

By Nia-Malika Henderson / Bloomberg Opinion

 

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Your Democracy Saturday, January 25, 2025 - 19:03 Source

The US Senate has confirmed army veteran and Fox News contributor Pete Hegseth as the next secretary of defense on Friday.

Vice President J.D. Vance arrived in the chamber and cast the tie-breaking vote, sealing Hegseth’s appointment.

Republican Senators Lisa Murkowski, Susan Collins, and Mitch McConnell broke ranks and joined the Democrats in voting no.

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Your Democracy Saturday, January 25, 2025 - 17:24 Source

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MacroBusiness Saturday, January 25, 2025 - 10:47 Source

DXY has begun its consolidation in earnest. Is it twin peaks as Trump turns soggy on China tariffs? AUD bear hunting season has started. Nice little inverse head and shoulders bottom for traders to buy. CFTC still way short. Bullish! Lead boots up and away! Gold grotesquely overbought but at least it has a falling

The post Australian dollar bear shooting season begins appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Your Democracy Saturday, January 25, 2025 - 08:58 Source

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Your Democracy Saturday, January 25, 2025 - 07:36 Source

FOR GUS Leonisky, this is a personal issue. When JFK was assassinated, Gus was visiting someone who had been working for the family. The person is long dead, but the tears are still alive. GUS has been waiting 62 years to find out WHO killed JFK…

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Your Democracy Saturday, January 25, 2025 - 06:42 Source

Donald Trump’s return to power for a second term has sent ripples across the globe. On his first day in office, he wielded executive authority with vigour, signing many executive orders, including withdrawing the US from the Paris Agreement for the second time. This move reversed the country’s climate commitments yet again, signalling Trump’s prioritisation of energy dominance and domestic interests.

 

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Your Democracy Saturday, January 25, 2025 - 05:45 Source

The inauguration of Donald Trump as the 47th President of the United States is this week’s main news story, not only in America but also in domestic Russian politics. Though all eyes on that day were fixed on Trump, it is telling that he also became the subject of intense discussions in this country, ranging from political circles to ordinary kitchen conversations. This is no anomaly — it is entirely logical.

 

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MacroBusiness Saturday, January 25, 2025 - 00:02 Source

Werribee Park     International Trump’s crypto grift is a warning– Vox The broligarchs have a vision for the new Trump term. It’s darker than you think.– Vox Which industries are most vulnerable to Trump’s immigration crackdown?– CBS Business leaders have thrown money at presidents before, but not like this– ABC The left after Trump–

The post Australia Day Weekend Wrap: 25 – 27 January 2025 appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Your Democracy Friday, January 24, 2025 - 18:03 Source
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Cheeseburger Gothic Friday, January 24, 2025 - 17:55 Source
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MacroBusiness Friday, January 24, 2025 - 16:00 Source

The big news to end the trading week here in Asia is a possible turnaround on the Trump Tariffs on Chyna with Asian stock markets lifting in general across the region while the USD was pushed significantly lower, particularly against Yen. This was helped by the expected rate rise by the BOJ in its meeting

The post Macro Afternoon appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Friday, January 24, 2025 - 15:37 Source
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Your Democracy Friday, January 24, 2025 - 14:35 Source

Just hours into his second presidency, Donald Trump was already bulldozing congressional Republicans.

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Renew Economy Friday, January 24, 2025 - 14:09 Source
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MacroBusiness Friday, January 24, 2025 - 13:00 Source

ANZ with the details. The global gas market showed tentative signs of recovery last year following recent supply side shocks. However, the market remains finely balanced. We see a few key issues dictating the market in 2025. Geopolitical issues are likely to dominate global gas markets this year, particularly Russia’s role as a gas and

The post Insane gas imports launch into global shortage appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Friday, January 24, 2025 - 12:50 Source
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MacroBusiness Friday, January 24, 2025 - 12:30 Source

Blackrock’s Larry Fink is badly upsetting the Aussie applecart at Davos. Larry Fink, CEO of @BlackRock, says developed nations with “xenophobic” immigration policies are going to have a higher standard of living than ever before. Non-xenophobic countries are going to have social problems with their new 3rd world immigrants. pic.twitter.com/XkDvBgFUsY — National Conservative (@NatCon2022) January

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Renew Economy Friday, January 24, 2025 - 12:10 Source
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MacroBusiness Friday, January 24, 2025 - 12:00 Source

This is a great idea. Coalition MPs are pushing for bolder “Australia-first” populist policies in the wake of Donald Trump’s victory in the US, as an influential conservative think-tank questions the party’s economic vision. What form does it take? The opposition’s first economic policy of the year – a tax deduction for business lunches –

The post Useless Coalition has no idea what Austraia First means appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Friday, January 24, 2025 - 11:30 Source

The latest polling from Resolve Political Monitor shows that Australians continue to dump the Albanese government over cost of living concerns and the perception that life is getting harder. According to Resolve’s polling, half of voters expect inflation to get worse in the near future and 46% expect their real wages to fall this year.

The post Why Australians no longer trust Labor appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Friday, January 24, 2025 - 11:00 Source

David Einhorn of Greenlight. We have reached the ‘Fartcoin’ stage of the market cycle. For those unfamiliar, Fartcoin is a cryptocurrency created late last year that appreciated from a nominal value to over a billion dollars. Like other cryptocurrencies, it is tradable 24 hours a day, 7 days a week. Other than trading and speculation,

The post Fartcoin fills the room appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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xkcd.com Friday, January 24, 2025 - 11:00 Source

Unfortunately, body size and bite force continue to increase.

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MacroBusiness Friday, January 24, 2025 - 10:30 Source

The Market Ear with the latest equity internals.  Stuck SPX has traded inside the same range since September last year. We still lack a new trend, but people still get bearish at range lows, as well as they tend to get bullish at range highs. You are not early chasing this squeeze. Chart shows the

The post Bulls overheat appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Friday, January 24, 2025 - 10:23 Source
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MacroBusiness Friday, January 24, 2025 - 10:00 Source

Goldman with the note. We invited Mr. Xin Zeng Meng (Senior Researcher at China Index Holdings Limited) to discuss recent observations on the China property market and his views on the policy outlook. YTD market performance and N-T outlook: Mr. Meng remains broadly constructive on a stable market outlook in 1Q25, given YTD market still

The post Chinese property sinks on appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Friday, January 24, 2025 - 09:30 Source

DXY held on. AUD firmed. CNY did not. Oil fell on Trump comments. Metals followed. Miners edged up. Who needs EM when there’s Fartcoin? Junk is really stuck. Yields lifted. Stocks too. The AUD counter-trend move continues as the market toys with less severe tariff outcomes. Citi has more. We recently flipped from bullish to

The post Australian dollar rides tariff relief appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Friday, January 24, 2025 - 09:17 Source

The Aussie flash PMI is pancaked. Flash Australia PMI Composite Output Index(1): 50.3 (Dec:50.2). 5-month high. Flash Australia Services PMI Business Activity Index(2):50.4 (Dec: 50.8). 6-month low. Flash Australia Manufacturing Output Index(3): 50.0 (Dec:45.8). 26-month high. Flash Australia Manufacturing PMI(4): 49.8 (Dec: 47.8). 12-month high. Data were collected 09-22 January 2025. Business activity in Australia’s

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MacroBusiness Friday, January 24, 2025 - 09:00 Source

Wall Street advanced once more this time the broader S&P500 officially made a new high with tech stocks pulling back as European bourses also performed well. The USD is failing to get out of its weak short term cycle against the major currency pairs with Euro lifting back above the 1.04 handle while Yen has

The post Macro Morning appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Friday, January 24, 2025 - 08:41 Source
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