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MacroBusiness Friday, October 25, 2024 - 13:30 Source

TSLombard with the note. Here we go again. The US election has a binary outcome for China macro and markets. While both candidates and parties have broadly similar structural positions on Washington-Beijing relations, policies differ widely in cyclical terms. Those differences can be categorized crudely as a Trump victory posing high economic risk but offering

The post Will China choose consumers or soldiers? appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Friday, October 25, 2024 - 13:00 Source

By Stephen Saunders: Democracy seems futile, up against Huge Australia. Not even “extraordinary developments” are likely to budge this Albo-tross. What other tactics are available?  Scorning voters, dismissing evidence, the “stakeholders” uphold Copacabana Albanese’s third-world, low-productivity, 80% population-replacement program. I’ve predicted that mega migration will persist irrespective of Election 2025. Only extraordinary developments could arrest

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Renew Economy Friday, October 25, 2024 - 12:38 Source
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Renew Economy Friday, October 25, 2024 - 12:36 Source
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MacroBusiness Friday, October 25, 2024 - 12:30 Source

The nuclear debate is afoot: The Australian Energy Regulator says the nation’s coal-fired powers stations are too decrepit to keep running until nuclear power can be operational because it will take eight to 10 years just to establish the regulatory framework for nuclear. But the opposition, which plans to roll out the first of its seven nuclear power

The post Australia too fat, dumb and corrupt for nuclear power appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Friday, October 25, 2024 - 12:00 Source

Much has been written about how Australia’s labour market and economy are being underpinned by record government spending, which hit 27.3% of GDP in Q2 2024 and is projected to continue rising. The National Disability Insurance Scheme (NDIS) has become the biggest driver of Australia’s employment growth. As illustrated in the following chart from CBA,

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MacroBusiness Friday, October 25, 2024 - 11:30 Source

They’re all liars. Dr Chalmers will tell finance ministers that under the Albanese government, inflation has halved. “We’ve recorded faster employment growth than all major advanced economies; real wages are growing again; and our two straight surpluses have helped repair the budget,” he will say. Inflation in Australia has proved to be more persistent than

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MacroBusiness Friday, October 25, 2024 - 11:00 Source

Last weekend, Victorian Premier Jacinta Allan chose the wealthy suburb of Brighton to launch her plan to take planning control away from local councils in order to create 50 activity centres designated for 20-storey high-rise apartment towers. These activity areas will also include other wealthy suburbs such as Armadale, Hawthorn, Glen Iris, Malvern, and Toorak.

The post NIMBYs are the new housing scapegoats appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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xkcd.com Friday, October 25, 2024 - 11:00 Source

The number one rule of string manipulation is that you’ve got to specify your encodings.

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The Tally Room Friday, October 25, 2024 - 10:36 Source

I have been watching the last week of counting in the ACT election, which eventually made it clear that the Greens’ Laura Nuttall would retain the final seat in Brindabella, despite her own party conceding defeat on election night, and that Liberal MP Ed Cocks would narrowly hold on against another Liberal in Murrumbidgee. I haven’t been able to actively post in part because I’m away on a family holiday.

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MacroBusiness Friday, October 25, 2024 - 10:30 Source

The Market Ear on stocks. Fast buying Coming into this week, HFs have net bought US equities at the fastest pace YTD. GS PB Grossed up Hedge fund gross leverage at 100th percentile. Looks full. MS PB Bought a lot Long/short equity hedge funds have significantly increased net exposure, risk control and CTA funds have

The post Mountains of dry powder appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Friday, October 25, 2024 - 10:00 Source

Earlier this year, former federal Treasury official Stephen Anthony warned that Victoria may ultimately require a federal “bailout” amid soaring state debt, which hit $27,729 per person in 2023-24. “Victoria is on a suicide mission to record borrowing, just as global interest rates are about to hit 5%”, Anthony warned. “Potholes can’t get filled, emergency

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MacroBusiness Friday, October 25, 2024 - 09:30 Source

SHFE was down yesterday. SGX popped overnight: Mad Dalian likewise: Steel margins have collapsed again, most notably for flat: As mills ramped output into the stimulus mirage:: Steel inventories are materially above last year now. Iron ore will rise from here as well. MySteel: The inventories of imported iron ore sintering fines maintained by the

The post Iron ore has a moment in the sun appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Your Democracy Friday, October 25, 2024 - 09:26 Source

South Korea’s president said his government “won’t sit idle” as North Korea allegedly sends troops to support Russia’s war on Ukraine, as he met with the leader of Poland to discuss expanding defence cooperation amid the ongoing conflict.

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Your Democracy Friday, October 25, 2024 - 09:12 Source

IMF upgrades Russia to world’s fourth-largest economyThe country is outperforming Japan in terms of purchasing power parity, according to the Washington-based organization

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has ranked Russia as the world’s fourth-largest economy based on purchasing power parity (PPP).      

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Your Democracy Friday, October 25, 2024 - 09:06 Source

LA Times editor quits after Harris endorsement blockedMariel Garza claims that the outlet’s refusal to back the Democratic presidential candidate could appear “sexist and racist”

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MacroBusiness Friday, October 25, 2024 - 09:00 Source

Overnight saw the release of the latest US weekly initial jobless claims which came in lower than expected, with USD selling off slightly against most of the other major currencies. Wall Street actually climbed higher after its mid week slump while European shares found a bid on solid PMI numbers. Euro had some relief from

The post Macro Morning appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Friday, October 25, 2024 - 08:02 Source

DXY finally took the day off: But AUD went no bid anyway: North Asia enjoyed a relief rally: As did the crap complex of commods, miners and EM: But not junk, which is a worry for risk: Eve though yields fell: And stocks eked out gains: Credit Agricole sums up the obvious: Based on the

The post Australian dollar goes no bid appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Friday, October 25, 2024 - 07:00 Source

The Victorian government’s plan to address the housing crisis by pushing for mid-level and high-rise apartment buildings to be developed in designated “activity centres” of Melbourne has been labelled as “not feasible to build and sell, especially at scale” by property developer Max Shifman. Shifman notes that new apartments cost significantly more to build or

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Your Democracy Friday, October 25, 2024 - 06:36 Source

Australia now has a government and parliament wanting timely transition to net zero. We have a government and parliament wanting to build Australia as the renewable energy superpower of the zero-carbon world economy. For the time being, we have favourable international settings for using our opportunity.

 

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Your Democracy Friday, October 25, 2024 - 06:08 Source

Neither Democrat Kamala Harris nor Republican Donald Trump could possibly get elected in Belarus or Russia with their empty rhetoric and personal attacks against each other, Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko said on Wednesday, calling both candidates “idiots.”

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Your Democracy Friday, October 25, 2024 - 06:04 Source

According to physicists, the two existential (live-or-die) policy-issues are to prevent a World War Three (WW3) — a war between nuclear superpowers, which would kill-off more than half of the global population within two years after the explosions — and to prevent runaway heat-up of our climate.

 

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MacroBusiness Friday, October 25, 2024 - 00:10 Source

Economists at the National Bank of Canada published research arguing that Canada was caught in a “population trap” of declining productivity and living standards. The economists noted that the nation’s population growth was “too high relative to the stock of capital available in the country”. Canada’s population increased by 1.25 million in 2023, all via

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Your Democracy Thursday, October 24, 2024 - 20:59 Source

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The Australian Independent Media Network Thursday, October 24, 2024 - 19:56 Source

A few years ago I wrote about this elective class I taught called “Oral English”. It consisted of students making short speeches, having debates and discussing various issues. Now when I say “discussing” what I actually mean is getting louder and louder until the various opposing forces were shouting at each other at which point…

The post Lidia Thorpe Stars In “The King And I”! appeared first on The AIM Network.

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MacroBusiness Thursday, October 24, 2024 - 17:00 Source

Asian stock markets are still putting in very mixed sessions, as Wall Street fell back overnight while the economic calendar finally heats up tonight although all ears and algos will likely be on more ECB and Fed speeches than anything else. The USD remains strong against all the undollars as the Australian dollar fails to

The post Macro Afternoon appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Your Democracy Thursday, October 24, 2024 - 16:55 Source

NATO, Migrants in the EU and the Coming War in Moldova

by Thierry Meyssan

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The Australian Independent Media Network Thursday, October 24, 2024 - 16:51 Source

Qantas Engineers’ Alliance Media Alert Hundreds of Qantas engineers are stepping up industrial action across all major Australian airports on Friday ahead of the Qantas AGM, as workers’ calls for fair pay have been ignored. Around 600 line maintenance engineers, responsible for critical tasks like towing and marshalling aircraft and conducting final safety checks before…

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The Australian Independent Media Network Thursday, October 24, 2024 - 16:15 Source

By Denis Hay Description Discover the 4 principles of social justice in Australia – equity, access, participation, and rights – and how Australia can achieve a fairer society. Introduction: The Diminishing Foundations of Social Justice in Australia Social justice is a cornerstone of any society striving for fairness and equality. In Australia, the four key…

The post What are the 4 Principles of Social Justice in Australia? appeared first on The AIM Network.

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The Australian Independent Media Network Thursday, October 24, 2024 - 15:57 Source

The Australian Workers’ Union, alongside the Approved Employers of Australia, is today launching a campaign to pressure the government to change rules that see guest farm workers having 35 per cent of their superannuation seized by the government on departure. The AWU is calling on Superannuation Minister Stephen Jones to urgently step in and change…

The post Campaign launched to end dodgy ‘super grab’ poisoning PALM scheme appeared first on The AIM Network.

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