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Oz Blog News Commentary
MacroBusiness Wednesday, March 5, 2025 - 11:50 Source

The Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) has released the national accounts for Q4 2024, which revealed that the economy has finally emerged from its longest recorded per capita recession. The Australian economy grew by 0.6% in Q4 2024 and 1.3% year-on-year. In per capita terms, the economy grew by 0.1% in Q4, the first increase

The post Australian economy emerges from recession appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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The Tally Room Wednesday, March 5, 2025 - 11:35 Source

Ben is joined by John Carey to discuss how you design an electoral system for a new democracy – what factors are most important to producing a healthy and sustainable democracy, and how might those requirements change over time?

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MacroBusiness Wednesday, March 5, 2025 - 11:30 Source

From Energy Quest, which finally tells the truth. The gas flows south are small compared to the total east-coast domestic demand of about 500 petajoules, but this does not tell the whole story. Southern state gas demand, particularly in Victoria, grows substantially (triples) during winter as there are about 2 million households in Victoria that

The post The gas answer is so easy appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Wednesday, March 5, 2025 - 11:00 Source

Last year, the electric vehicle (EV) ‘revolution’ hit a wall. Sales of battery electric vehicles (BEVs) stalled in 2024, whereas sales of hybrid vehicles continued to boom. According to the Australian Automobiles Association’s Electric Vehicle Index, only 91,293 BEVs were sold last year, an increase of only 4.7% on the  87,217 BEVs sold in 2023.

The post Electric vehicle industry panics as subsidies unwind appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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xkcd.com Wednesday, March 5, 2025 - 11:00 Source

Your homeowner's insurance might cover it, but be sure to check the subductible.

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MacroBusiness Wednesday, March 5, 2025 - 10:30 Source

Oversold. Definitely. The Market Ear. Huge SPX is trading below range lows as of writing. Note we are below the 200 day moving average (SPX continuous futures), and the 50 day is about to cross the 100 day (inverse cross compared to December 2023). These are longer term moving averages, but we wouldn’t be surprised

The post Battered stocks what Trump wants appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Your Democracy Wednesday, March 5, 2025 - 10:01 Source

There are no rules — and should be no judgement — about how International Women's Day should be marked.

Not everyone's a fan of pink cupcakes and special breakfasts full of women who are a little bit crying on the inside from having to get it together even earlier than usual.

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MacroBusiness Wednesday, March 5, 2025 - 10:00 Source

Developers have ridiculed the Minns government’s plan to fix the state’s housing crisis with a Parisian-style medium-density housing blitz. The transport-oriented development (TOD) scheme, launched by the Minns government, allows low-to mid-rise developments within 400 metres of 37 train or metro stations across Sydney. However, industry leaders claim that homeowners band together to drive up

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MacroBusiness Wednesday, March 5, 2025 - 09:30 Source

DXY is falling. EUR rising. AUD follows the latter. Held back by CNY. Surely time’s up for oil. Commods meh. Miners meh. EM meh. If spread widen, look out below. Yields held on. Stocks fluctuated. The market is well short AUD again. Options are not the main driver of value, but they are an indicator.

The post Australian dollar joins European Union appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Wednesday, March 5, 2025 - 09:00 Source

Wall Street crumbled again overnight as the realisation has set in that the Don in the Oval Office is hell bent on upending the global trade order, as Canada hit back with their own tariffs. The EU is pushing for a near trillion Euro boost in defence spending which sent the Euro soaring against the

The post Macro Morning appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Your Democracy Wednesday, March 5, 2025 - 07:26 Source

Together with many Jews here and around the world, I’m proud to stand with you once again in solidarity with Palestine. On this occasion, I want to talk about the growing hysteria about antisemitism.

 

Peter Slezak’s Gaza rally speech: ‘We face one of the greatest moral tests of our time’    By Peter Slezak

 

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Your Democracy Wednesday, March 5, 2025 - 06:39 Source

The petulant demand of tribute to the Trump empire and his transactional ethos surely now challenges the agreed balance sheet between Australia and America.

Comments last week by Prime Minister Anthony Albanese on vital defence issues made clear how confused — and indeed downright misinformed — our highest political and defence force leaders are.

 

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Your Democracy Wednesday, March 5, 2025 - 06:22 Source

Witnessing the extraordinary cage fight this week between Volodomyr Zelenskyy and Donald Trump in the Oval Office provided an eye-popping glimpse into what is normally kept behind closed doors when world leaders meet to nut out matters of great consequence.

 

Ukraine deal: Beware of Americans bearing gifts    By Eugene Doyle

 

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Your Democracy Wednesday, March 5, 2025 - 05:16 Source

I do not believe that Russia, China or the United Kingdom or for that matter the United States or France should dictate Irish foreign policy or should dictate when we do or do not deploy troops.

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MacroBusiness Wednesday, March 5, 2025 - 00:10 Source

It’s almost as if they think nobody is watching. Cramming more classrooms into existing schools would be necessary to save Victoria’s cash-strapped government billions of dollars on building critical new campuses, according to the state’s peak infrastructure body. Infrastructure Victoria says the state will need to build another 60 government schools in the decade to

The post Crush loaded Victoria turns to slum schools appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Wednesday, March 5, 2025 - 00:05 Source

Australia’s housing market is heating up following the Reserve Bank of Australia’s (RBA) 0.25% interest rate cut last month and expectations of further reductions this year. As illustrated in the following chart, CoreLogic’s daily dwelling values index has rebounded strongly, driven by Sydney and Melbourne. At the aggregate 5-city level, dwelling values have risen by

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Your Democracy Tuesday, March 4, 2025 - 20:44 Source

Volodymyr Zelensky has met King Charles III at Sandringham, after attending a summit of European leaders on ending the war in Ukraine.

As the Ukrainian president arrived at the King's Norfolk residence, local residents, some holding Ukraine flags, gathered outside the estate to witness his entrance by helicopter.

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Renew Economy Tuesday, March 4, 2025 - 19:31 Source
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Renew Economy Tuesday, March 4, 2025 - 19:28 Source
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Renew Economy Tuesday, March 4, 2025 - 19:25 Source
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Renew Economy Tuesday, March 4, 2025 - 17:56 Source
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MacroBusiness Tuesday, March 4, 2025 - 17:00 Source

Asian share markets are reeling again as King Trump goes full swagger with his tariff threats, shooting the US consumer in both feet with confirmed tariffs on Canada, Mexico and China. The retaliations have been swift, so we’re off to a trade war! This has seen confidence evaporate in the USD just as we ramp

The post Macro Afternoon appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Tuesday, March 4, 2025 - 15:42 Source
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Renew Economy Tuesday, March 4, 2025 - 15:13 Source
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Renew Economy Tuesday, March 4, 2025 - 15:11 Source
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MacroBusiness Tuesday, March 4, 2025 - 14:00 Source

Wages should be firm according to the latest Indeed job ad index. ANZ-Indeed Australian Job Ads declined 1.4% m/m in February, but this follows an upwardly revised 1.3% m/m rise in January. In trend terms, the series was down 0.3% m/m. ANZ-Indeed Australian Job Ads is down 9.2% annually. The series is just 0.9% higher

The post Inflation gauge collapses below lunatic RBA target appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Tuesday, March 4, 2025 - 13:47 Source
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MacroBusiness Tuesday, March 4, 2025 - 13:30 Source

Last month’s interest rate cut from the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) was about as hawkish as possible. The RBA’s statement explicitly noted that the decision to cut the official cash rate by 0.25% was ‘line-ball’ with upside risks to inflation remaining: “However, upside risks remain. Some recent labour market data have been unexpectedly strong,

The post RBA cools April rate cut hopes appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, March 4, 2025 - 13:00 Source

Why wouldn’t they be, living through a depression that cannot be named? Goldman. Slightly more sanguine on China macro and market outlooks, but more concerned on the US growth outlook Thanks to the latest DeepSeek and Artificial Intelligence (AI) related developments, some green shoots in the property sector (e.g., home sales and prices in large

The post The Chinese are depressed appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Cheeseburger Gothic Tuesday, March 4, 2025 - 12:59 Source

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