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MacroBusiness Tuesday, April 15, 2025 - 10:00 Source

The Market Ear on the great flush. No one’s in Positioning is wrecked, volatility just snapped lower, and risk appetite has fallen off a cliff. But with buybacks set to return, vol-control exhaustion kicking in, and sentiment at extreme lows, the stage might be quietly set for a rebound no one’s ready for. Zooming out

The post Markets flushed appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, April 15, 2025 - 09:30 Source

DXY is at critical support. AUD is a bipolar maniac. Concrete boots are hanging in. Gold and oil came off. The copper market is wrecked. Mining bear market rock solid. EM bounce. Junk off the worst. Yields eased, doubtless on the Fed’s calming words Friday. Stocks firmed. Now what? DXY is unhinged from Treasuries. While

The post Australian dollar turns bipolar maniac appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Your Democracy Tuesday, April 15, 2025 - 09:06 Source

 

Whoever is an aspiring Marian Christian like the writer obviously has in his heart a deep devotion to Saint Pio of Pietrelcina who in his diary made a bitter prophetic statement about the “Christian Homeland” which unfortunately turned out to be spot on…

 

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, April 15, 2025 - 09:00 Source

Risk sentiment is slowly lifting and stock volatility moving lower but all eyes must remain on global bond markets and the USD as the big shift is happening beyond the equity market headlines. The short covering rally on Wall Street could continue for a little longer but USD is still slowly losing its reserve currency

The post Macro Morning appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Tuesday, April 15, 2025 - 08:53 Source

Minister for Energy Angus Taylor during Question Time in the House of Representatives at Parliament House in Canberra.</body></html>

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Renew Economy Tuesday, April 15, 2025 - 08:51 Source
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Renew Economy Tuesday, April 15, 2025 - 07:43 Source
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Your Democracy Tuesday, April 15, 2025 - 06:39 Source

Gas is the talk of the town, while nuclear is not, but a massive increase in solar power generation capacity has already put Australia on the fast track to a 100% renewable energy future. Solar cell engineer Andrew Blakers explains.

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Your Democracy Tuesday, April 15, 2025 - 05:04 Source

TOON TO COME

Ukraine’s Vladimir Zelensky should never have started a war with Russia, US President Donald Trump has said.

In a press conference alongside El Salvador’s President Nayib Bukele in the Oval Office on Monday, Trump commented on Zelensky’s recent offer to finance $15 billion worth of Patriot air defense batteries with the aid of Kiev’s European backers.

“He’s always looking to purchase missiles,” the US presided noted.

 

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George Monbiot Tuesday, April 15, 2025 - 04:03 Source

It’s a cast-iron relationship: the more unequal a society becomes, the better the far right does. Here’s why.

By George Monbiot, published in the Guardian  13th April 2025

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, April 15, 2025 - 00:05 Source

I have warned repeatedly that Australian housing affordability will not improve by blanketing our cities with high-rise apartments, as planned by state and federal governments. The reason is simple: it costs too much to build apartments. Therefore, they cannot be delivered at an affordable price to buyers. The exorbitant cost of apartment construction was highlighted

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Your Democracy Monday, April 14, 2025 - 23:00 Source

The American Empire is still fighting to be top dog — especially under Trump, who has inherited a declining empire from the Democrats… Some “democrat”-inclined people are still saying that the economy under Biden was solid, but in fact “Bidenomics” were on the skids, due to the increasingly unmanageable HUGE deficit being used to “finance the cushions”… 

Joining too many dots, mainly Jewish….

 

BY GUS LEONISKY

 

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Your Democracy Monday, April 14, 2025 - 18:24 Source

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Renew Economy Monday, April 14, 2025 - 17:42 Source

Finley solar farm

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Your Democracy Monday, April 14, 2025 - 16:45 Source

Mark Rutte has expressed concern regarding Russia’s space capabilities and warned that Russia might be trying to send nuclear weapons in space. Also, Bundeswehr Inspector General Carsten Breuer has stated that Russia might be ready to attack NATO by 2029 and he urged the Bundeswehr to prepare.

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MacroBusiness Monday, April 14, 2025 - 16:30 Source

Finally a relatively non-volatile trading session today although the newsflow remains weird with more Trumpian two-steps around tariffs on Chinese goods, while all eyes remain on the canary in the mine – the bond markets. The USD is still slowly weakening as it loses its reserve currency status with almost all the majors including gold

The post Macro Afternoon appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Monday, April 14, 2025 - 15:45 Source
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Renew Economy Monday, April 14, 2025 - 15:32 Source
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Renew Economy Monday, April 14, 2025 - 15:00 Source
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MacroBusiness Monday, April 14, 2025 - 15:00 Source

An oft-repeated mantra from the Trump regime is that tariffs in Trump’s first term barely affected inflation. Which is true. But the inflation environment was very different. The latest inflation data was out at the end of last week, and while it may have beaten expectations, it is not the type of inflation numbers that

The post US Inflation: Big fall in travel-related services appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Monday, April 14, 2025 - 14:26 Source
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Your Democracy Monday, April 14, 2025 - 13:49 Source

MOSCOW (Sputnik) On April 2, Trump signed an executive order introducing "reciprocal" tariffs on imports from other countries. The baseline rate was set at 10%, while dozens of countries were hit with higher rates. The duties on most countries were reversed to 10% days later to allow for trade negotiations, while those on China were hiked to 145%.

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MacroBusiness Monday, April 14, 2025 - 13:30 Source

The Trump administration’s “Liberation Day” tariffs have inflicted pain on the Australian dollar. At the close of business Friday, the Australian dollar was trading at just under 62 US cents, up from its multi-year low of 59.75 cents. The trade-weighted index (TWI), which measures the value of the Australian dollar relative to its most important

The post The great Aussie dollar crash appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Monday, April 14, 2025 - 13:00 Source

My favourite strategist is back. Macquarie strategist Viktor Shvets sees the potential for what he calls a “Lehman Brothers moment”. …Volatility indices and credit spreads are not at crisis point yet, Shvets says, but “it seems that short of abandoning current policies, the self-reinforcing loop of deleveraging – and there is no healthy deleveraging in

The post Schvets abandons the old world order appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Monday, April 14, 2025 - 12:30 Source

This election campaign has turned into a dumpster fire for Peter Dutton and the Coalition. After leading Labor on a two-party preferred basis, the Coalition collapsed in the polls, losing virtually every opinion poll since early March. The results of today’s Newspoll show little change, with the Coalition’s primary vote dropping to 35%—below the level

The post Election polling goes from bad to worse for Coalition appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Monday, April 14, 2025 - 12:00 Source

Morgan Stanley with the note. Investors are laser-focused on Beijing’s stimulus, as the record US tariff hikes and little room for near-term de-escalation mean rising downside to growth. We don’t expect immediate new stimulus. Beijing is likely to prioritize front-loading of the pre-announced Rmb2trn NPC package in 2Q.A more plausible timing for a Rmb1-1.5trn supplementary

The post What China stimulus can we expect? appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Monday, April 14, 2025 - 11:30 Source

To quote independent housing analyst Cameron Kusher, “Only in Australia would a government set up a housing fund that doesn’t build any new homes for several years and then might end up needing a bailout”. On Friday, it was reported that Labor’s signature Housing Australia Future Fund (HAFF), which was created with $10 billion of government

The post Labor’s HAFF is everything wrong with housing policy appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Monday, April 14, 2025 - 11:00 Source

Over the weekend, we saw both sides of politics ‘jump the shark’ on housing policy. The Albanese government effectively announced a state-sponsored subprime mortgage scheme by promising to allow all first home buyers to purchase a home with only a 5% deposit, with the government guaranteeing up to 15% of the loan value, thereby eliminating

The post Politicians blow world’s biggest house price bubble appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Monday, April 14, 2025 - 10:30 Source

DXY is a falling meteor. Australian dollar crash up! Concrete boots did OK. Shorts were trimmed last week. Falling DXY is pushing up commods and gold. Mining relief. EM too. Spreads still stressed. Treasures no bueno. Stocks are doing a bit better. I am still watching Treasuries for where markets are going next. The stress

The post Australian dollar crashes up into new world order appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Monday, April 14, 2025 - 10:00 Source

The Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) released data on permanent and long-term arrivals and departures to Australia last week. There were 111,740 net permanent and long-term arrivals in February, with 158,980 arriving over the quarter. The following chart from Justin Fabo of Antipodean Macro illustrates how net overseas migration appears to have rebounded strongly in

The post Migration surge pressures rental market appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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