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Your Democracy Thursday, March 27, 2025 - 10:02 Source

The phrase “changing world order” has become a familiar refrain in international affairs. But what’s often missed is how rapidly that change is now unfolding – and who is accelerating it.

 

Dmitry Trenin: Liberalism is dead, this is what comes afterIn Trump’s world, great powers don’t preach – they compete

BY Dmitry Trenin

 

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MacroBusiness Thursday, March 27, 2025 - 10:00 Source

The Market Ear is still looking short-term. SPX technicals SPX reversed right on the 21 day moving average. Not overly surprising given the recent squeeze. Support: 5600, resistance: 5850. Maybe we just need to range for a bit… Source: Refinitiv NASDAQ technicals Also reversing right on the 21 day. Support: 19600, resistance: 20800. Source: Refinitiv

The post AI capex bubble ready to pop? appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Thursday, March 27, 2025 - 09:30 Source

As a politician, you have got to know when to hold them and when to fold them. During a cost-of-living crisis, the last thing a politician seeking election should do is oppose tax cuts for three-quarters of the voting population. Yet, that is exactly what the Coalition did in response to Labor’s modest tax cuts

The post Coalition signs its own election death warrant appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Thursday, March 27, 2025 - 09:06 Source
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MacroBusiness Thursday, March 27, 2025 - 09:00 Source

As the April 2 deadline the ultimate round of US tariff’s beckons, the Fanta Fuhrer couldn’t help shoot early with a blanket 25% car tariff, thus dooming the domestic US car industry as the world will shift to boycott US made vehicles. Great work Donny! Trump’s Tariff Tirade beckons. European shares were able to rebound

The post Macro Morning appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Thursday, March 27, 2025 - 07:00 Source

Earlier this month, Roy Morgan released its shadow labour market report, which reported a significant increase in unemployment to 11.5% in February, with underutilisation (i.e., unemployment plus underemployment) surging to 21.7%. Roy Morgan’s underutilisation rate is the highest on record outside of the pandemic. Roy Morgan CEO Michelle Levine addressed the Mumbrella Retail Marketing Summit

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Your Democracy Thursday, March 27, 2025 - 06:16 Source

There’s a scandal exciting American mainstream media and minds, and it has to do with bombing. Yet there is an important nuance: it is not the bombing itself that is so scandalizing.

What is troubling many Americans is neither what Russian philosopher Aleksandr Dugin has rightly called the Israeli genocide of the Palestinians with US bombs and support nor the renewed American air campaign against Yemen.

 

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Your Democracy Thursday, March 27, 2025 - 05:59 Source

Labor’s pre-election budget provides well-targeted cost of living relief within the bounds of responsibility, but the restoration of living standards is some way off.

As widely anticipated Labor’s budget contained no surprises, except for the small income tax cuts. Apart from these, all the other major new policy proposals had been announced prior to the budget over the last couple of months.

 

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MacroBusiness Thursday, March 27, 2025 - 00:05 Source

Data released this month by the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) showed that the total value of Australia’s dwelling stock hit a record high of $11,032.2 billion at the end of 2024, with the average dwelling valued at $976,800. The hyperinflation of home values helps to explain why Australian households are ranked among the wealthiest

The post Australian property: an $11 trillion productivity drain appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Wednesday, March 26, 2025 - 16:30 Source

Asian stock markets are doing slightly better today given the mixed result overnight although S&P futures are looking more robust given more Trump talk about caving in on tariffs, although who knows what will actually happen as another distraction is likely soon given the recent intelligence foul up by half his Cabinet. The USD is

The post Macro Afternoon appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Wednesday, March 26, 2025 - 15:32 Source
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Renew Economy Wednesday, March 26, 2025 - 15:14 Source
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Your Democracy Wednesday, March 26, 2025 - 15:08 Source

The revelation was somewhat sudden, but it shocked the entire French government and a section of the European elite at once: to make munitions, to make cannons and airplanes, to train men and prepare them for war, it now seems undeniable that a hell of a lot of money is needed.

 

The big bucks of war...  by h16

 

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MacroBusiness Wednesday, March 26, 2025 - 14:30 Source

The fish rots from the head, they say, and Michael Stutchbury’s destruction of the AFR is great case in point. Today, he confesses. How about this? Australian supermarket shoppers have been hit by significantly lower grocery price rises than if they were living in the UK, the US, Canada or New Zealand. Yes, lower price

The post The rotten fishead confesses appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Wednesday, March 26, 2025 - 14:00 Source

The Market Ear argues for the reverse pivot today. Europe vs US is done 1. Valuation gap closed… SAP on 40x, GOOG on 18.5x, MSFT on 29x. Mag7 valuation now looking ‘cheap’ vs historic 2. Europe benefited from exodus from US tech , US tech as a sell is significantly less obvious here 3. Market

The post American stocks are back! appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Wednesday, March 26, 2025 - 13:30 Source

Wednesday’s monthly CPI indicator from the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) printed significantly below expectations. The headline CPI was only 2.4%, below market expectations of 2.5% and below the midpoint of the Reserve Bank of Australia’s (RBA) 2-3% target band. The underlying measure, trimmed mean inflation, also fell to 2.7% and is now well within

The post Inflation data green lights April rate cut appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Wednesday, March 26, 2025 - 13:21 Source
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Renew Economy Wednesday, March 26, 2025 - 13:18 Source
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Renew Economy Wednesday, March 26, 2025 - 13:15 Source
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Renew Economy Wednesday, March 26, 2025 - 13:06 Source
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MacroBusiness Wednesday, March 26, 2025 - 13:00 Source

Last week, the Albanese government pledged over $800 million in production subsidies to a green hydrogen development in remote Western Australia. This is part of an $8.7 billion federal government war chest to create incentives for green hydrogen. Labor’s Future Made in Australia (FMIA) plan, announced in 2024, provided a budget allocation of $6.7 billion

The post Bowen blows billions on green hydrogen fantasy appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Wednesday, March 26, 2025 - 12:30 Source

Earlier last month, I learned that a friend’s home one kilometre away had been the target of an attempted home invasion. The burglars hopped over a neighbour’s side fence and tried to force their way into the house via the back door. Fortunately, my friend awoke, made a ruckus, and the burglars fled. The following

The post Melbourne overrun with gangs and crime appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Your Democracy Wednesday, March 26, 2025 - 12:27 Source

Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis has a big-name supporter for a possible presidential run in 2024: Elon Musk. 

Musk came out for the sunshine state gov in a brief Twitter conversation Friday night with the account @ProudElephantUS, who asked if he would back DeSantis.

“Yes.” Musk replied, before adding, “But Twitter as a platform must be fair to all.”

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Cheeseburger Gothic Wednesday, March 26, 2025 - 12:13 Source

With everything going on in the world, it says something about me that this was the story (free link) that most engorged my rage gland today.

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MacroBusiness Wednesday, March 26, 2025 - 12:02 Source

Via the ABS. CPI analytical series Seasonally adjusted 2.4 CPI excluding volatile items* and holiday travel 2.7 Annual trimmed mean 2.7 Most are components coming off except regulated prices like education, alcohol and tobacco, and health, which will fall in due course given they are indexed to the headline benchmark, which has crashed. It’s over.

The post Monthly CPI misses again appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Wednesday, March 26, 2025 - 11:30 Source

Decent output levels are keeping iron ore supported for now. There’s nothing good happening property. Compared to December, China’s on-budget fiscal revenue and off-budget land sales revenue both weakened meaningfully in January-February, more significant than the deceleration in government spending growth. Our proprietary “augmented fiscal deficit” (AFD) metric widened slightly in February vs. December on

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Cheeseburger Gothic Wednesday, March 26, 2025 - 11:12 Source

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MacroBusiness Wednesday, March 26, 2025 - 11:00 Source

CBA’s excellent economics team has provided a comprehensive analysis of the federal budget. Below are key extracts broken down by theme. Overview: In the near term, the key economic and fiscal aggregates in the 2025-26 Budget are largely unchanged from the last official update in December, and broadly in line with our own forecasts. The

The post The ultimate federal budget breakdown appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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xkcd.com Wednesday, March 26, 2025 - 11:00 Source

'Is it worth anything?' 'I dunno, is the answer to that question worth another $5?'

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MacroBusiness Wednesday, March 26, 2025 - 10:30 Source

DXY faded a little AUD lifted a little. Lead boots are at a standstill. Gold pausing. Trump lunacy has overtaken oil as he smashes Venezuela and Iran while promising cheaper petrol. Copper is insane. This is bad for everybody except Goldman Sachs. Big miners sag on. EM yawn. Junk yawn. Yields eased. Stocks firmed. I

The post Australian dollar tortured by the orange madman appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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