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Renew Economy Tuesday, March 4, 2025 - 19:28 Source
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Renew Economy Tuesday, March 4, 2025 - 19:25 Source
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Renew Economy Tuesday, March 4, 2025 - 17:56 Source
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MacroBusiness Tuesday, March 4, 2025 - 17:00 Source

Asian share markets are reeling again as King Trump goes full swagger with his tariff threats, shooting the US consumer in both feet with confirmed tariffs on Canada, Mexico and China. The retaliations have been swift, so we’re off to a trade war! This has seen confidence evaporate in the USD just as we ramp

The post Macro Afternoon appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Tuesday, March 4, 2025 - 15:42 Source
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Renew Economy Tuesday, March 4, 2025 - 15:13 Source
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Renew Economy Tuesday, March 4, 2025 - 15:11 Source
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MacroBusiness Tuesday, March 4, 2025 - 14:00 Source

Wages should be firm according to the latest Indeed job ad index. ANZ-Indeed Australian Job Ads declined 1.4% m/m in February, but this follows an upwardly revised 1.3% m/m rise in January. In trend terms, the series was down 0.3% m/m. ANZ-Indeed Australian Job Ads is down 9.2% annually. The series is just 0.9% higher

The post Inflation gauge collapses below lunatic RBA target appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Tuesday, March 4, 2025 - 13:47 Source
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MacroBusiness Tuesday, March 4, 2025 - 13:30 Source

Last month’s interest rate cut from the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) was about as hawkish as possible. The RBA’s statement explicitly noted that the decision to cut the official cash rate by 0.25% was ‘line-ball’ with upside risks to inflation remaining: “However, upside risks remain. Some recent labour market data have been unexpectedly strong,

The post RBA cools April rate cut hopes appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, March 4, 2025 - 13:00 Source

Why wouldn’t they be, living through a depression that cannot be named? Goldman. Slightly more sanguine on China macro and market outlooks, but more concerned on the US growth outlook Thanks to the latest DeepSeek and Artificial Intelligence (AI) related developments, some green shoots in the property sector (e.g., home sales and prices in large

The post The Chinese are depressed appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Cheeseburger Gothic Tuesday, March 4, 2025 - 12:59 Source

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Renew Economy Tuesday, March 4, 2025 - 12:47 Source
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MacroBusiness Tuesday, March 4, 2025 - 12:30 Source

The latest quarterly retail sales data from the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) revealed that real per capita sales increased by 0.4% in Q4 2024, the highest growth rate since Q1 2022. January’s retail sales data have been released, which rose by 0.3% over the month, in line with economists’ expectations. Over the year, retail

The post Rebound in Aussie retail sales continues appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Tuesday, March 4, 2025 - 12:14 Source
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MacroBusiness Tuesday, March 4, 2025 - 12:00 Source

What do you do when the food sector gets together to tell the truth about the government’s failures? Fix the problems? No! Pay them off. The Australian. The food sector has united to ­accuse the Albanese government of failing to act on rising prices ­despite a growing number of working Australians going hungry, warning that

The post Aussies starve as gas cartel chokes food supply appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, March 4, 2025 - 11:30 Source

The Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) on Monday released the Q4 2024 Business Indicators, which showed that non-mining company profits have never been higher (excluding the pandemic spike). Despite the stellar profits, Australian Industry Group (AIG) CEO, Innes Willox, attacked what he labelled a “wages blowout”, which is placing “mounting pressure on business balance sheets”:

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, March 4, 2025 - 11:00 Source

Gerard Minack stating the obvious with his usual savoir-faire. Australia returns to mediocre growth Australia is recovering from a year when policy tightening snuffed out private sector growth.  The recovery will likely be uneven reflecting still-tight monetary policy.  Trend per capita growth will remain mediocre because low investment and high population growth unsurprisingly lead to

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, March 4, 2025 - 10:30 Source

Iron ore was clubbed below $100 yesterday but bounced a bit overnight. The China steel PMI is weak, especially new orders. The NPC is weighing as well. Iron ore slumped below $100 a ton for the first time since mid-January as some steel mills curbed production to ensure blue skies during the government’s upcoming policy

The post Iron ore clubbed like a baby seal appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Tuesday, March 4, 2025 - 10:01 Source
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MacroBusiness Tuesday, March 4, 2025 - 10:00 Source

ANZ CEO Shayne Elliot described Victoria as “one of the toughest” places to do business. It is easy to see why. The Victorian government introduced a payroll tax surcharge in the 2021-22 State Budget as part of a mental health and wellness levy, but only for businesses with a payroll of $10 million or more.

The post Companies sound alarm on failing Victorian economy appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, March 4, 2025 - 09:30 Source

Increasingly, it appears DXY is topped and EUR bottomed. AUD follows EUR but it will be held back by CNY this time. Gold up. Is oil about to do what it should, finally? Chinese demand growth is dead. OPEC to go ahead with production increase. Bonus chart! There is room for lower oil. Commods meh.

The post Australian dollar rises with Germany appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Tuesday, March 4, 2025 - 09:20 Source
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MacroBusiness Tuesday, March 4, 2025 - 09:00 Source

Wall Street crumbled overnight as the realisation has set in that the Don in the Oval Office is hell bent on creating a recession in the US with the slew of tariffs that are now going to go ahead against almost every single major trading partner. The latest ISM print didn’t help either while European

The post Macro Morning appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, March 4, 2025 - 08:00 Source

Last month, Justin Fabo from Antipodean Macro posted the following chart tracking labour productivity across major advanced nations. As you can see, Australia’s labour productivity growth has been among the worst in the advanced world after recording zero improvement since 2016. Last week, the Reserve Bank of Australia’s (RBA) Michael Plumb delivered a speech to a

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Renew Economy Tuesday, March 4, 2025 - 07:53 Source
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Renew Economy Tuesday, March 4, 2025 - 00:15 Source
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MacroBusiness Tuesday, March 4, 2025 - 00:05 Source

Metricon Homes CEO Brad Duggan warns that Australia cannot house its growing population, and believes the federal government must adopt a “wartime response” to the housing crisis. Based on current construction rates, Duggan adds that the government’s target of building 1.2 million homes in the five years from mid-2024 will likely fall about 300,000 short.

The post Australian housing chiefs ignore too many Indians appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Monday, March 3, 2025 - 21:14 Source
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Renew Economy Monday, March 3, 2025 - 18:23 Source
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