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MacroBusiness Thursday, June 12, 2025 - 13:30 Source

Last week’s Q1 national accounts release from the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS), revealed that real per capita home consumption has been negative for seven consecutive quarters on an annual basis, down 2.4% from its peak. The fall in household spending occurred despite a 1.8% increase in real per capita household incomes in the year

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MacroBusiness Thursday, June 12, 2025 - 13:00 Source

ANZ doesn’t think so. Heightened global trade uncertainty has been driving gold’s rise toward USD3,500/oz. While noise around US tariffs persists,we believe the market will gradually become desensitized to new announcements. As this occurs, macro economic data are likely to take over as the primary catalyst. Market expectations of the level of US tariffs have

The post Gold exhausted? appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Thursday, June 12, 2025 - 12:30 Source

NSW Premier Chris Minns wants to solve Sydney’s housing crisis by accelerating the supply of shoebox apartments. A few weeks back, Minns argued that previous governments had been “timid” due to “the NIMBY [Not In My Backyard] backlash” and claimed the public conversation had shifted to “opening the gates to more urban consolidation and development”. “I

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MacroBusiness Thursday, June 12, 2025 - 12:05 Source

The biggest narrative in world markets surrounds the US. On one hand, the US economy has been growing strongly, is resilient and has seen significant productivity growth. On the other, it is being assailed by a raft of economic uncertainties, from tariffs, to domestic demand, capital expenditure plans, tourism, higher interest rates, higher wage growth

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MacroBusiness Thursday, June 12, 2025 - 12:00 Source

Stats New Zealand released data showing that net overseas migration (NOM) fell to 21,300 for the year ending April 2025, a decline from 90,900 a year earlier. This represented a 2½ year low for NOM, driven by slowing arrivals of non-NZ citizens and elevated departures. “Easing arrivals and strengthening departures of non-NZ citizens and still-sizeable

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MacroBusiness Thursday, June 12, 2025 - 11:30 Source

Following the recent practice bombing of every major Australian city by a nuclear-capable flotilla of Chinese warships, Japan has notified allies that Xi’s coming south in other ways as well. Japan said it observed two Chinese aircraft carriers and supporting warships operating simultaneously near remote Japanese islands in the Pacific Ocean for the first time,

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MacroBusiness Thursday, June 12, 2025 - 11:00 Source

The “Stats Guy”, Simon Kuestenmacher, is a well-known immigration shill. For years, he has spread propaganda in support of Big Australia immigration. Last year, Kuestenmacher claimed that Australia’s skills shortages would grow unless net overseas migration remained at a historically high level. In February, Kuestenmacher stated that “Australia is running out of workers and increasingly faces

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MacroBusiness Thursday, June 12, 2025 - 10:30 Source

We are approaching the buy-everything blowoff of the rally. The Market Ear. Getting there SPX and NASDAQ both approaching huge resistance area. At least a pause? Source: LSEG Workspace Source: LSEG Workspace That was quick Strongest comeback in 75 years… Source: DB The Russell revival Russell futures continue pushing higher post the break out. The

The post Stock frenzy grows appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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The Tally Room Thursday, June 12, 2025 - 10:00 Source

The Australian Electoral Commission conducts a two-party-preferred vote in every seat, which is a count between Labor and the leading Liberal or Nationals candidate. In seats where the two-candidate-preferred vote is not Labor vs Coalition, they do the count later. With 35 seats now “non-classic”, the AEC needs to conduct those notional 2PP counts in more and more seats.

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MacroBusiness Thursday, June 12, 2025 - 10:00 Source

Victoria’s power grid is on heightened alert after an unexpected outage at the state’s second-largest coal-fired power station, which has elevated concerns that colder weather could strain the market and drive up wholesale electricity prices: EnergyAustralia, which owns the Yallourn power station in the Latrobe Valley, has confirmed one of the plant’s four units is

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Your Democracy Thursday, June 12, 2025 - 09:42 Source

Hours after being deported from Israel, Greta Thunberg accused the country of kidnapping her and her fellow activists in international waters, adding that she had refused to sign a document stating that she had entered Israel illegally.

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MacroBusiness Thursday, June 12, 2025 - 09:30 Source

DXY is still sinking. But AUD did as well. Lead boots are struggling. Oil nutso on Middle East was rumours and the machine bid. Metals meh. Miners meh. EM breakout. Needs lower DXY to roll. Junk liked US inflation. So did yields. Stocks stopped. The FT has rumours. It was not clear what caused the

The post Australian dollar shot down by rumours of war appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Thursday, June 12, 2025 - 09:00 Source

A weaker than expected US inflation print overshadowed the not-a-deal US-China trade talk announcement from the Trump regime that looks almost exactly like a return to the early April settings. Wall Street couldn’t swing either of these events as positive with European shares also continuing their pullback as the USD fell back against most of

The post Macro Morning appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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