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MacroBusiness Thursday, October 9, 2025 - 11:30 Source

A national interest policy process is one in which a well-informed government determines its policy settings via a specialist area of the bureaucracy. Next, the draft policy is released, and parliamentarians make well-understood arguments to the public via an intelligent media with its own specialists. Having fortified the polity with knowledge, the government might then

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MacroBusiness Thursday, October 9, 2025 - 11:00 Source

A new report from Oxfam claims that the capital gains tax (CGT) discount and negative gearing are “disproportionately” benefiting Australia’s wealthiest, fuelling the housing affordability crisis and inequality, and harming the federal budget. Accordingly, Oxfam has called on the government to “properly tax wealth and restore a progressive tax system that works for working people”.

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MacroBusiness Thursday, October 9, 2025 - 10:30 Source

It appears that the government-funded jobs printer of the Albo era is slowing faster than the crushed private sector economy of the Albo era can catch up. Public spending has been much more labour-intensive than private spending, given its focus on the bedpan economy. There is mounting evidence that this is resulting in a softening

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MacroBusiness Thursday, October 9, 2025 - 10:00 Source

This week’s consumer sentiment survey from Westpac revealed that Australian house price expectations are at their highest level in 15 years, following a 2.1% rise in October. Westpac also noted that “expectations are stronger still in Queensland (184)”. Queensland’s housing market has boomed following the pandemic to become the nation’s second most expensive jurisdiction after

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MacroBusiness Thursday, October 9, 2025 - 09:30 Source

In last week’s monetary policy decision, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) decided to keep the official cash rate on hold, citing resurgent inflation risks. The RBA’s statement noted that “the decline in underlying inflation has slowed”, with “recent data, while partial and volatile, suggest[ing] that inflation in the September quarter may be higher than

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The Tally Room Thursday, October 9, 2025 - 09:15 Source

The Australian Electoral Commission yesterday published the official statistics that will be used for federal redistributions in South Australia, Tasmania and the ACT. This gives us a bit more insight into what is likely to happen in those redistributions.

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MacroBusiness Thursday, October 9, 2025 - 09:00 Source

The ferrous complex remains paralysed by too much versus too much hope. Some Morgan Stanley charts illustrate the point. Steel is weak globally and abundant in China still. We are about to witness the weakest New Year restock in history, just as Chinese steel exports top out on trade wars. Iron ore is everywhere! The

The post How fast will the Pilbara be killed? appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Thursday, October 9, 2025 - 07:16 Source

What we are seeing in many markets today is exactly what I expected to see when I made my 40 cents AUD call a few years ago. American exceptionalism is alive in the AI bubble but severely crimped by anti-Trumpian capital flows. The Chinese economy is slowly dying, but propped up as it pours money

The post Australian dollar topped as iron ore enters end game appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Your Democracy Thursday, October 9, 2025 - 04:28 Source

Senior officials in Poland and the Baltic states have blasted former German Chancellor Angela Merkel after she claimed they derailed potential EU-Russia talks on Ukraine months before the escalation of the conflict in 2022.

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Your Democracy Thursday, October 9, 2025 - 04:16 Source

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MacroBusiness Thursday, October 9, 2025 - 00:05 Source

Being a renter in Australia is like competing in the Hunger Games. After borders reopened in late 2021, temporary migrants flooded into Australia in record volumes: As a result, rents surged and vacancy rates collapsed: At the end of 2024, Cotality (formerly CoreLogic) reported that the percentage of household income spent on rents hit a

The post Renters are the forgotten people appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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