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Articles from MacroBusiness

Australia’s renewable ‘revolution’ will be costly

May 21, 2025 - 10:00 -- Admin

I explained last week why Australia’s energy costs will inevitably soar as the nation replaces traditional baseload generation with renewables in pursuit of Labor’s 82% renewable energy target. The reasons for the high cost of renewable energy are straightforward. They depend on the weather; therefore, they are intermittent and have low load factors. Renewables need

Macro Morning

May 21, 2025 - 09:30 -- Admin

Although the macro newsflow was relatively light on overnight it was all about the bond and currency markets as the latest Canadian inflation numbers following yesterday’s cut by the RBA led to further introspection on the trajectory of the ECB, which has led to the USD being pushed back across the board. US sovereign debt

Markets dial up rate cut forecasts

May 21, 2025 - 08:40 -- Admin

The media release accompanying the Reserve Bank of Australia’s (RBA) 0.25% cut to the official cash rate (OCR) on Tuesday was a fairly vanilla affair that took a neutral stance. The release noted that risks to inflation have become “more balanced”, that policy is now “somewhat less restrictive”. The RBA also remained “cautious about the

Victoria leeches off NSW

May 21, 2025 - 08:00 -- Admin

Last year, former federal Treasury official Stephen Anthony warned that Victoria may need a federal “bailout” due to increasing state debt, which reached $27,729 per person in 2023-24. “Victoria is on a suicide mission to record borrowing, just as global interest rates are about to hit 5%”, Anthony warned. “Potholes can’t get filled, emergency departments

Why Australia sucks at building homes

May 21, 2025 - 00:05 -- Admin

Australian Industry Group’s analysis of data from the Productivity Commission underlines the downturn in the nation’s housing sector. The Ai Group’s report shows that while labour productivity across the economy has increased by 24% over the last decade, this metric has fallen by 14% in relation to overall housing construction over the same period, and

Macro Afternoon

May 20, 2025 - 16:30 -- Admin

Risk markets in Asia are somewhat mixed in reaction to the flat sessions on Wall Street overnight with the Friday night cut by ratings agency Moody on US debt still reveberating, particularly within bond markets. The Trump regime is still failing to make deals with Japan which is seeing further strength in Yen while today’s

RBA cuts by 0.25%. Remains coy on forward guidance.

May 20, 2025 - 14:41 -- Admin

As widely expected by financial markets and economists, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) lowered the official cash rate (OCR) by 0.25% to 3.85%. In coming to its decision, the statement noted that “inflation continues to moderate”, with “annual trimmed mean inflation (2.9%) was below 3% for the first time since 2021 and headline inflation

Australia faces energy inflation shock

May 20, 2025 - 14:00 -- Admin

Treasurer Jim Chalmers has not ruled out extending the federal government’s $6.8 billion energy rebates again. It was originally meant to expire in mid-2025, but has been extended for another six months. “From budget to budget, we see if we can do more”, Chalmers has said. Some members of Prime Minister Anthony Albanese’s Economic ­Inclusion

Property crash saves iron ore

May 20, 2025 - 13:30 -- Admin

Steel sagged while iron ore firmed. April output for steel fell back to earth. But it is still largely EAF that is pancaked, protecting iron ore. The property bust absorbs more long steel which was EAF focused. China is never going decarbonise steel at this rate.

The Coalition collapses

May 20, 2025 - 13:00 -- Admin

Australia faces an extended period of Labor Party rule following the collapse of the federal Coalition. National’s leader David Littleproud today announced that the party has separated from the Liberal Party for the upcoming federal election. Littleproud said that he and incoming Liberal leader Sussan Ley tried unsuccessfully to reach an agreement: “This morning after

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