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Articles from MacroBusiness

Aussie rate cut hopes fade

September 18, 2025 - 14:00 -- Admin

Belinda Allen, CBA’s Head of Australian Economics, believes that the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) will only cut the official cash rate (OCR) once more in November, given the recent stronger run of economic data. This would take the OCR to 3.35%, which is close to CBA’s estimate of neutral. Market pricing has also shifted

Chinese property sinks into bottomless abyss

September 18, 2025 - 13:00 -- Admin

Iron is hovering in some restocking episode. Long steel products enjoyed a hoped-for infrastructure stimmies bounce. Flat keeps easing. CISA output rebounded in the first ten days of September. Mills are overproducing, with inventories up 5% in the period. More price falls ahead. Meanwhile, Chinese property will never bottom! Primary prices are down with too

Jobs data slams door on RBA rate cut

September 18, 2025 - 11:59 -- Admin

The only thing that may have prompted the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) to cut rates at its next monetary policy meeting is a sharp deterioration in the labour market. Alas, Thursday’s official labour force survey for August from the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) extinguished any hope of a rate cut, with the unemployment

Australia’s paralysed politics

September 18, 2025 - 11:45 -- Admin

As the rise of populist major party candidates and upstart political parties continues from London to Tokyo, many have been left wondering why Australia hasn’t seen the rise of a new third alternative. While Australia has the Greens and One Nation as third-party alternatives, they are hardly new additions to the nation’s political landscape. The

Ripple effect of Chinese EV Overinvestment

September 18, 2025 - 11:05 -- Admin

In this week’s podcast, we are digging into the overinvestment in Electric Vehicles in China, and what it means for the rest of the investment market. Join us at 12:30 today: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=s54Mm4ex4r4   Can’t make it to the live series? Catch up on the content via Podcasts or our recorded Videos. Damien Klassen is Chief Investment Officer at the

Low-skilled visas flood Australia’s labour market

September 18, 2025 - 11:00 -- Admin

Australia’s migration system is flooding the nation with low-skilled workers. The following chart from Alex Joiner at IFM Investors summarises the situation, with the overwhelming majority of net migrant arrivals arriving through pathways other than skilled visas: Even leading pro-Big Australia shills Peter McDonald and Alan Gamlen admitted that Australia’s permanent migration system is unskilled

Australia Vs India Vs China – The great climate change debate

September 18, 2025 - 10:00 -- Admin

On Monday, the federal government organisation the ‘Australian Climate Service’ published its latest National Risk Assessment detailing the potential impact of climate change on the nation. The report modelled scenarios in which global temperatures rose between 1.5°C and 3.0°C above pre-industrial levels out to 2050 and 2100. The Climate service warned that risks to communities,

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