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Articles from MacroBusiness

Unemployment going higher unless interest rates go lower

October 15, 2025 - 13:30 -- Admin

The NAB survey out yesterday was not very encouraging. The pent-up demand released by RBA rate cuts delivered a significant increase in consumer expenditure in the June quarter. However, business investment stayed low, indicating that companies were not inclined to make significant investments until they see more proof of a revival in domestic demand. Businesses

Rebounding rents creates inflation headache for RBA

October 15, 2025 - 13:00 -- Admin

Cotality’s rental data continues to deteriorate. The latest weekly market indicators report shows that rental listings have collapsed to a fresh low across the combined capital cities: Over the past year, total listings across the combined capital cities have declined by 18.6%, with double-digit falls recorded across every market: The vacancy rate across the combined

Another housing gimmick fails

October 15, 2025 - 12:30 -- Admin

The Guardian’s Luca Ittimani asks why state and local government plans to convert empty office buildings into apartments to ease the housing crisis have not come to fruition: Momentum to create homes out of empty offices has faded even as office vacancies rise and housing shortages intensify. Developers have not submitted a single application to

Why Australians are ‘rich’

October 15, 2025 - 12:00 -- Admin

Australians are consistently ranked among the wealthiest people on earth. The 2025 UBS Global Wealth Report ranked Australians second in the world for median wealth, with the typical Australian having a net worth of US$268,424. Australia had 1,904 US dollar millionaires in 2025, according to UBS. However, Australia stands out from most other nations, as

Iron ore wakes in fright

October 15, 2025 - 11:30 -- Admin

For the life of me, I don’t know why anybody wants to be long iron ore here but hey, that’s how markets work sometimes. Steel prices continue to fall, though long products are falling faster than flat products, which is key to some market resilience, as it helps hold up blast furnace output over electric-arc

Not out of the bear’s den

October 15, 2025 - 10:30 -- Admin

The biggest problem is the systemic long. Any decent shock gives VaR implosion. Fragile SPX futures basically reversing the bounce from yesterday. 6600 is the big short term level. The 50 day comes in right on that level. A close below, and 6500 is the next support, followed by the 100 day at 6400. A

The case against RBA rate cuts strengthens

October 15, 2025 - 10:00 -- Admin

This month, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) decided to hold the official cash rate at 3.60%, citing resurgent inflation risks. The RBA’s statement alongside its decision noted that “the decline in underlying inflation has slowed”, with “recent data, while partial and volatile, suggest[ing] that inflation in the September quarter may be higher than expected

How to fix Santos, crash gas prices and avoid sovereign risk

October 15, 2025 - 09:30 -- Admin

An MB reader has sent this excellent proposal for resolving the East Coast gas crisis by shutting down GLNG without creating sovereign risk. There’s a possible win/win/win scenario that could be negotiated Suitors for GLNG take a look at the books and run—I think the contingency liability not currently sitting on the Santos balance sheet

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