Blogotariat

Oz Blog News Commentary

Articles from MacroBusiness

Between a crook and a codger

February 19, 2024 - 12:30 -- Admin

Australians are very poorly served by Canberra, which should be razed with everybody still in it. But spare a thought for the Americans who are served by their own brand of capital city scum. On the one hand, is criminality: Donald Trump and his real estate company suffered a major defeat in New York’s civil

Geopolitics is not a risk to markets

February 19, 2024 - 12:00 -- Admin

Bloomberg used to be good. Now it’s a hysteria machine: Investors and firms are flagging that the war in the Middle East poses a major risk for earnings as boycotts dampen sales and Red Sea shipping chaos threatens their supply chains. Those headwinds pose a danger to the record rally in US stocks, according to

No, Australian interest rates are much more restrictive than elsewhere

February 19, 2024 - 11:30 -- Admin

The AFR’s Jonathan Kearns argues that Australia’s interest rates are not as restrictive as those of other nations and are not high enough to tame inflation. Accordingly, Australia is unlikely to experience the ” immaculate disinflation” that will be experienced elsewhere and will have to keep rates higher for longer. “The basic metric for monetary

Axe falls on fake international students

February 19, 2024 - 11:00 -- Admin

The AFR’s Julie Hare reported over the weekend that “foreign students are leaving Australia in droves after visa crackdown”: “Net migration for international students was down 55% in the latter part of 2023 as departures far outpaced arrivals in the last two months of the year”, Hare wrote. “Australian Bureau of Statistics data shows that

The true cause of Australia’s rental crisis

February 19, 2024 - 10:30 -- Admin

CBA economist Harry Ottley has published a chart pack that illustrates the dire consequences of record net overseas migration on Australia’s rental market. Residential building approvals have collapsed across the major jurisdictions: House commencements have also collapsed: Apartment commencements have likewise collapsed: The next chart summarises the situation at the national level, with approvals, commencements,

Fix gas, fix everything

February 19, 2024 - 09:30 -- Admin

All we need is a proper gas reservation regime on the East Coast to supply our own super cheap gas to ourselves ahead of giving it all away to China, and this goes away: The energy industry has hit back at a proposed system allowing state governments to seek temporary extensions for [coal] power station

Macro Morning

February 19, 2024 - 09:00 -- Admin

Friday night saw the follow up release of the US PPI inflation print that also came in hotter than inspected but didn’t garner the same reaction earlier in the week with the USD relatively steady and bond markets also calm. Wall Street fell back a little but remains near a record high with European stocks

Bubble quivers as US inflation reheats

February 19, 2024 - 08:30 -- Admin

The Market Ear on the big stretch. Finally, stretched The GS sentiment indicator that measures positioning across various investors finally crawled back to “stretched” which should indicate lower returns going forward. Not a sell-signal per se, but “in the zone”. Goldman Et tu Bull-Bear? Can we get a nice “betrayal of the bulls” sell signal

Greens: Immigration has minimal impact on housing market

February 19, 2024 - 00:10 -- Admin

If you want a textbook example of why the Australian Greens cannot be trusted, check out the below lies from housing spokesperson Max Chandler-Mather on Sunday’s ABC Insiders program. Chandler-Mather point blank lied that record immigration has had minimal impact on the nation’s housing market. He has also called for an even larger intake, claiming

Pages