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Articles from Poll Bludger

BludgerTrack: 52.7-47.3 to Labor

November 14, 2016 - 07:01 -- Admin

Bit late with this one due to the distractions of last week, but the latest reading of the BludgerTrack poll aggregate records discernible movement to Labor after a period of stasis, with both Newspoll and Essential Research recording 53-47 leads to Labor. Labor is up three on the seat projection, with gains in New South Wales, Victoria and Queensland. Both pollsters produced leadership ratings this week, but they haven’t made much difference to the relevant aggregates.

Galaxy: 51-49 to Labor in Queensland

November 13, 2016 - 02:13 -- Admin

Brisbane’s Sunday Mail newspaper today brings a poll showing the Labor government with a 51-49 lead on two-party preferred, after the last such poll in August showed a dead heat. A steady One Nation vote of 16% continues to crowd out primary vote support for the major parties, with Labor up two to 35% and the Liberal National Party down one to 37%, and complicates determining two-party preferred results.

Presidential election wash-up

November 11, 2016 - 06:16 -- Admin

Donald Trump’s victory was a close-run thing, achieved by the grace of winning margins of 1.2% in Pennsylvania, 1.0% in Wisconsin and 0.3% in Michigan. The New York Times is still projecting that Hillary Clinton 0.2% lead on the raw popular vote will resolve at 1.2%, which presumably has something to do with an incomplete vote in Washington state.

United States elections live

November 9, 2016 - 11:08 -- Admin

12.52pm ET. Clinton grimly hanging on in New Hampshire on the NYT projection, with Trump having a slight edge on the vote. It also has also all but called it for him in Pennsylvania.

12.20pm ET. A tightening has been evident in Pennsylvania and Michigan, but the big shock of Wisconsin looks all but sure to win it for Trump. However, Clinton looks no less sure of winning the popular vote, by a margin currently projected at a bit over 1%.

Presidential election tracker: Clinton 47.7, Trump 43.9

November 9, 2016 - 03:47 -- Admin

As election day dawns in the United States, the latest reading of the election tracker is final and definitive, and it has both candidates slightly lower on the national vote compared with yesterday’s reading: Hillary Clinton from 48.6% to 47.7%, and Donald Trump from 44.2% to 43.9%. So far as the electoral college projection is concerned, the safest thing to say is that at least one state-level upset will be required to breach a Clinton firewall of 272 votes versus 266 for Trump.