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MacroBusiness Thursday, September 5, 2024 - 12:05 Source

There is an argument championed by Viktor Shvets that the financialisation of the world has created a flood of excess capital, which may be as high as 10 times global GDP. While there are moments where it freezes up – by the Bank of Japan most recently, but also by the bank of England last

The post MB Fund Podcast: The Flood Of Excess Capital appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Thursday, September 5, 2024 - 12:00 Source

Chief economist at IFM Investors, Alex Joiner, posted the following chart on Twitter (X) comparing Australia’s woeful labour productivity against the United States: According to Wednesday’s Q2 national accounts from the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS), Australia’s labour productivity is tracking at the same level as September 2016. That is, labour productivity has experienced no

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MacroBusiness Thursday, September 5, 2024 - 11:30 Source

Be careful what you wish for, Treasurer Jim “chicken” Chalmers. Back in July 2023, Chicken Chalmers declared: The Albanese Government has appointed Michele Bullock as the ninth Governor of the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) for a seven‑year term beginning on 18 September 2023. Ms Bullock is the right person to lead the RBA into the future and

The post Chalmers sets a match to RBA’s “first woman” appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Thursday, September 5, 2024 - 11:00 Source

Perth’s housing market has experienced a monumental boom, rising by 76% since the beginning of the pandemic in March 2020, according to PropTrack: Despite the boom, Perth dwelling values are still relatively “affordable” with a median value of $751,000 in August, versus $861,000 across the combined capital cities: This suggests that Perth dwelling values have

The post Warning signs for Perth house prices appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Thursday, September 5, 2024 - 10:30 Source

The Market Ear picks up the equity body parts. That’s gross Looking at leverage for “all hedge fund categories” we can see that gross is close to maximum (and nets a little high too). A lot of de-grossing potential if this volatility continues. JPM PI That’s really gross GS Prime data confirms that hedge fund

The post The bear roars appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Your Democracy Thursday, September 5, 2024 - 10:21 Source

Jackson Hinkle on 'Frightening' Clampdown on Alternative Media in US: All That’s Left is to Jail Us

Sputnik sat down for an interview with independent journalist, political commentator and influencer Jackson Hinkle, who shared his impressions on the sorry state of free speech in Biden's America for alternative media, as well as life in Russia's liberated territories.

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MacroBusiness Thursday, September 5, 2024 - 10:00 Source

Wednesday’s poor Q2 national accounts release from the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) should raise eyebrows within the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA). While the 1.0% annual growth in real GDP was in line with the RBA’s latest forecasts, the Bank should be concerned about the private sector economy’s embedded weakness. The 2.0% decline-from-peak in

The post Will the RBA do an about face on interest rates? appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Thursday, September 5, 2024 - 09:48 Source
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The Tally Room Thursday, September 5, 2024 - 09:30 Source

NSW local government elections are conducted using single transferable vote proportional representation, but the actual shape of the ballot paper differs depending on who runs, and whether they run as a group.

This is a somewhat elegant way to allow for the same system to produce a Senate-style grouped ballot with above-the-line voting for big urban councils, but also means that in small rural councils, where parties don’t exist, candidates run as individuals on a vertical ballot. But it can create some odd shapes when councils transition between those two states.

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MacroBusiness Thursday, September 5, 2024 - 09:30 Source

SHFE and SGX futures were slaughtered yesterday. Steel futures are at new lows and this is the leading indicator: Mad Dalian is also at new lows: Coking coal too: Scuttlebutt is cutting: “Last week’s blindly optimistic and irrational sentiment rally is now being rationally unwound, as the market once again comes to terms with the

The post Iron ore slaughtered appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Thursday, September 5, 2024 - 09:00 Source

Last night saw some interesting volatiltiy around risk markets with softer US jobs data before tomorrow night’s official US NFP print saw big drops in Treasury yields while stocks vacillated between losses and gains, with Wall Street eventually finishing unsettled and slightly lower. Commodity markets remain on a downer while the USD saw a slight

The post Macro Morning appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Thursday, September 5, 2024 - 08:32 Source

DXY faded last night: AUD held on: JPY is unwinding more carry: Oil is screwed: Another metals pimple bursts: Big miners are going to retest 2022 lows: EM has a nice head and shoulders top: But junk is still pretty happy: US yields are breaking down: Stocks look precariously double-topped: Last night’s key data was

The post Australian dollar prepares for the worst appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Thursday, September 5, 2024 - 08:00 Source

Australian home builders are in a world of pain, as evidenced by nearly 3,000 construction firms collapsing over the past year: This week, leading Victorian builder Grandeur Homes collapsed only weeks after claiming that “we are thriving”. On 21 August, news.com.au was told: “Grandeur Homes is solvent and is not in financial difficulty. The suggestion

The post Building a home in Australia is Russian Roulette appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Thursday, September 5, 2024 - 07:00 Source

Leading baby boomer commentator David Koch told Sydney radio presenter Ben Fordham that young Sydneysiders should adjust their lavish lifestyles if they want to enjoy the same housing benefits as their parents. David Koch: A younger generation wants to achieve a level of lifestyle like their parents. But then when they go out on their

The post Kochie blames young Aussies for unaffordable housing appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Your Democracy Thursday, September 5, 2024 - 06:33 Source

Canada’s National Post is refusing to comment after one of its columnists revealed himself to be a collaborator with Western-aligned intelligence agencies. A Canadian activist is now threatening to sue the paper after the confessed spy smeared him in a front page article.

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Your Democracy Thursday, September 5, 2024 - 05:38 Source

The US Department of Justice has charged two Russians it identifies as RT employees with money laundering and working as foreign agents for their alleged role in pushing video content that sowed “discord and division” in the US.

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Your Democracy Thursday, September 5, 2024 - 05:17 Source

Tech mogul Elon Musk has vowed to seek the seizure of Brazilian government assets in the US if Brazil does not return property belonging to his companies X (formerly Twitter) and Space X.

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MacroBusiness Thursday, September 5, 2024 - 00:10 Source

The Q2 national accounts release from the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) was another shocker. It revealed that Australia’s aggregate real GDP growth fell to only 1.0%, which was the lowest growth rate since the 1991 recession, outside of the pandemic: Worse, Australia’s real per capita GDP growth declined for a sixth consecutive quarter and

The post Australian living standards are collapsing appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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The Australian Independent Media Network Wednesday, September 4, 2024 - 22:44 Source

Proud Boys, Donald J. Trump, J.D. Vance Political sexual assault of Kamala Harris By Tess Lawrence Two-timing man-baby, the wannabe two time president Donald J. Trump and new bestie wannabe Veep, J.D. Vance are clearly shit-scared of Vice President Kamala Harris. That much is clear. To put it in language these red necks understand, she’s…

The post Making Kamerica Great Again! appeared first on The AIM Network.

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Renew Economy Wednesday, September 4, 2024 - 21:38 Source
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The Australian Independent Media Network Wednesday, September 4, 2024 - 19:10 Source

Arguably the Albanese Government is routinely tied up trying to explain their way out of a dilemma of their own creation. A recent example is the brouhaha around the potential Census question regarding how Australians identify themselves sexually. When some equivocation was displayed by the government, Opposition Leader Peter Dutton donned the hob-nailed workboots and…

The post Define the problem appeared first on The AIM Network.

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The Tally Room Wednesday, September 4, 2024 - 18:12 Source

After the Country Liberal Party clinched victory over the Greens in the seat of Fannie Bay, the Greens have surprisingly won the neighbouring seat of Nightcliff over former Labor chief minister Natasha Fyles.

The NTEC has only now conducted a preferential count between Labor and the Greens, seemingly with all primary votes now added to the count. With all of those distributed, the Greens beat Labor by 42 votes.

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MacroBusiness Wednesday, September 4, 2024 - 16:30 Source

A sea of red across Asian share markets as they respond to the overnight rout on Wall Street as growth concerns from China and the US through their respective manufacturing PMI surveys combined with bond market volatility is not helping risk markets overall. Commodities are taking the biggest hits but the Australian dollar remains surprisingly

The post Macro Afternoon appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Wednesday, September 4, 2024 - 15:37 Source
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Club Troppo Wednesday, September 4, 2024 - 15:17 Source

Over the past year or so I’ve read for the first time a bunch of research into the economics of mental health, along with a little on the early history of psychotherapy.

Mental health is, undeniably, a big problem in modern societies. (It may have been just as bad in earlier societies too, but the data is much worse.) If we could fix it, people would be happier, more capable and generally use more of their potential.

 

What’s struck me most?

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Renew Economy Wednesday, September 4, 2024 - 15:10 Source
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Renew Economy Wednesday, September 4, 2024 - 14:22 Source
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John Quiggin Wednesday, September 4, 2024 - 14:16 Source

In today’s AFR. It’s paywalled and I don’t have access (I’ve been promised a PDF) so here’s what I submitted, which may not be final.

Six months ago, Federal Treasurer Jim Chalmers was planning legislation to remove his own power (never used, but always available until now) to over-ride decisions of the Reserve Bank. Now, he has not only decided to retain this power, but has openly criticised the Bank’s interest rate decisions as “smashing the economy”.

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MacroBusiness Wednesday, September 4, 2024 - 14:00 Source

Stability leads to instability is China’s problem. Central planning has for so long hit growth targets via stimulus that its economy is now a debt-saturated laggard that spends so much repaying interest on unproductive assets that it can’t grow. Nowhere is this more obvious than local governments, so long the engine of outsized growth, and

The post China has hit Minsky’s iceberg appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Wednesday, September 4, 2024 - 13:57 Source
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