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MacroBusiness Wednesday, September 4, 2024 - 13:30 Source

About time. I’ve been humiliating Goldman’s commodity calls for two years. Now it has fully embraced the MB view. More selective, less constructive. While our 2024 Deficits Basket performed well this year, a softening of cyclical support to commodities leads us towards a more selective tactical approach to commodity investing. To be clear, we strongly

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MacroBusiness Wednesday, September 4, 2024 - 13:00 Source

The always good fun Albert Edwards at Societe General. We have always exhorted our readers to watch Japan closely as it has consistently been a forerunner of major market moves (eg the late 1990s tech bubble started to deflate first in Japan). Until the implosion of the yen carry trade in early August, there was

The post Albert Edwards: More crash to come appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Wednesday, September 4, 2024 - 12:30 Source

In the short term, gas imports into eastern Australia may lower prices. There is such a glut of global gas coming that the price ought to crash. Goldman: Europe’s scars from the 2022 energy crisis have yetto fully heal, as illustrated by its still depressed industrial activity, and its vulnerability to natural gasand electricity price

The post The false allure of gas imports appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Wednesday, September 4, 2024 - 12:00 Source

Australia’s Q2 GDP was worse than economists expected, growing by only 0.2% over the quarter to be up only 1.0% year-on-year: The result missed analysts’ expectations of a 0.3% quarterly rise. It meant that Australia’s annual GDP growth rate fell to its lowest level since December 1991, outside of the pandemic. Australia’s population continues to

The post Australia’s economic growth crashes to 33-year low appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Wednesday, September 4, 2024 - 11:30 Source

The Albanese government has been trying to focus on one thing — the cost-of-living crisis. Labor identifies the cost-of-living as the central concern among voters. However, new polling from RedBridge suggests that Labor is failing miserably to connect with voters on the cost-of-living issue, with only 24% of Australians surveyed stating that they could name

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Renew Economy Wednesday, September 4, 2024 - 11:28 Source
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MacroBusiness Wednesday, September 4, 2024 - 11:00 Source

The Housing Industry Association (HIA) has blamed restrictive planning for Australia’s falling dwelling construction rate. “House approvals are taking far too long to get through local councils and exacerbating Australia’s worsening housing and rental shortages”, claimed Mike Hermon, HIA Executive Director, Planning & Environment. “Planning systems across the country are buckling under the weight of

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Renew Economy Wednesday, September 4, 2024 - 10:46 Source
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MacroBusiness Wednesday, September 4, 2024 - 10:30 Source

The GDP partials released on Tuesday by the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) showed that public sector spending is driving Australia’s economy. Total public demand is expected to contribute 0.4 ppt to the quarterly change in GDP, easily the largest contributor to the expected 0.3% quarterly growth: The lion’s share of public sector activity stems

The post Australia’s public sector booms, private sector busts appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Wednesday, September 4, 2024 - 10:00 Source

Most opinion polls have federal Labor and the Coalition roughly neck-and-neck, with a hung parliament looking increasingly likely. We also know from the latest RedBridge polling that the Albanese government is failing to connect with voters over the cost-of-living, with only 24% of Australians surveyed stating that they could name a single thing that had

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xkcd.com Wednesday, September 4, 2024 - 10:00 Source

In my reboot, Dennis the Menace was just trying to send Mr. Wilson a nice comet, but accidentally wiped out his dinosaur garden.

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MacroBusiness Wednesday, September 4, 2024 - 09:30 Source

Australian politics is full of mise en abyme, the endless regress of self-referentiality into a meaningless abyss. Nobody better exemplifies this than Treasurer Jim “chicken” Chalmers who is so inept and cowardly that he has to lie about being so, the reasons for it, and then lie about those lies as well! Take today: Speaking

The post Treasurer Chalmers lies about lying appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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The Tally Room Wednesday, September 4, 2024 - 09:30 Source

Voters in ten NSW local councils won’t just be electing councillors this month, but will also be voting on questions put on the ballot by their council. In eight councils, they’ll be considering binding referendums that would change the council’s constitution. In two other councils there will be non-binding polls (or plebiscites) on policy issues. There are 14 distinct questions across those ten councils.

As a follow-up to my 2021 blog post, I am going to run through each of these questions.

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Your Democracy Wednesday, September 4, 2024 - 09:21 Source

THE ELIMINATION SERIES FOR THE AMERICA’S CUP— THE OLDEST SPORTING TROPHY IN THE WORLD APART FROM TRYING TO PULL KING ARTHUR'S SWORD EMBEDDED IN A STONE — IS IN “FULL SWING”… THIS EVENT LIKE ALL SPORTS EVENT IS A HIVE OF SPONSORS WHO WANT SOME BANG FOR THEIR BUCKS…

 

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Cheeseburger Gothic Wednesday, September 4, 2024 - 09:12 Source

I was just chatting with Jason, and he mentioned he was off to enjoy a delicious burrito for dinner. By weird coincidence, I’d just finished a delicious burrito for breakfast.

This bad boy from Doc Brown in West End.

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MacroBusiness Wednesday, September 4, 2024 - 09:00 Source

The late start to the trading week as US markets reopened is one most would like to restart again as risk aversion due to possible slower growth across China and the US from their respective PMI prints sent everything down overnight. Commodities led the way as USD shored up against the majors, with Wall Street

The post Macro Morning appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Wednesday, September 4, 2024 - 08:30 Source

SHFE and SGX were both hammered yesterday. The jaws are closed: Dalian is at the cliff: Coking coal is over it: Big miners crashed 5% apiece in New York: Scuttlebutt is informative: China’s manufacturing activity sank to a six-month low in August, an official survey showed, pressuring policymakers to press on with plans to direct

The post Iron ore miners crash appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Wednesday, September 4, 2024 - 08:00 Source

CoreLogic’s latest dwelling value results showed that the major capital city markets are two-speed, with Sydney and Melbourne recording slow or negative growth. By contrast, Perth, Adelaide, and Brisbane continue to boom: The growing supply of homes for sale in Melbourne and Sydney has contributed to the slowing of dwelling values. The following table from

The post Australia’s two-speed housing market appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Your Democracy Wednesday, September 4, 2024 - 07:45 Source

Editing a book about the media and the war in Ukraine taught me first-hand lessons about censorship. It also confirmed that the Western media’s pro-elite bias is as strong as ever. At an academic conference in Europe in the summer of 2023, I witnessed how several audience members shouted at one of the speakers. That’s not how such meetings are supposed to go. They should be much less eventful.

 

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Your Democracy Wednesday, September 4, 2024 - 06:23 Source

Macron called a dissolution of the Assembly and emergency elections on the eve of summer, hoping that this would allow him to finish his term by governing with the RN. The plan did not go as planned, and for the past two months, he has been doing everything he can to erase his failure and stay in power.

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MacroBusiness Wednesday, September 4, 2024 - 05:32 Source

DXY is up and away! AUD turned to mush: If JPY rises much more, things could get ugly: Oil gapped into madness: Metals melt-up once again turns metals meltdown: Miners crashed: EM is your mumma: Junk gave us a reason to worry: Yields bidly: Stocks not: The trigger for the hard reversal was a weak

The post Australian dollar goes from gold to goo appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Your Democracy Wednesday, September 4, 2024 - 04:23 Source

FOR MANY YEARS ON THIS SITE, WE HAVE EXPOSED THE “AMERICAN DREAM” CON WHICH IS LEADING TO A COMPLETE DYSTOPIA, THAT IS ADVERTISED TO US AS A FANTASTIC UTOPIA...:

 

A new book and two new exhibitions explore the concept of the American Dream – and how it came to represent both a utopia and a dystopia.

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MacroBusiness Wednesday, September 4, 2024 - 00:10 Source

On Friday, Statistics Canada released data showing that the nation’s real GDP expanded at an annualised rate of 2.1% in Q2 2024, beating the consensus estimate of a 1.8% increase. The previous quarter’s result was also revised up from 1.7% to 1.8%. On the surface, Canada’s economy is growing at a solid pace. However, pulling

The post Canada and Australia paper over failing economies appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Tuesday, September 3, 2024 - 22:00 Source
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Renew Economy Tuesday, September 3, 2024 - 21:01 Source
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Your Democracy Tuesday, September 3, 2024 - 17:03 Source

Russia won WWII, not the West – Roger WatersThe Pink Floyd co-founder has recognized the USSR’s role in defeating Adolf Hitler

The world owes the Soviet people a debt of gratitude for defeating the Third Reich, musician Roger Waters has told RT in an exclusive interview.

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, September 3, 2024 - 16:30 Source

Asian share markets are fairly directionless as they await the lead from a closed Wall Street that will likely reopen tonight slightly in the red with all eyes on this Friday’s US jobs report. Before that we get the latest ISM manufacturing print whereas today there was a sneak peek in Australian GDP figures, which

The post Macro Afternoon appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Tuesday, September 3, 2024 - 14:33 Source
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Renew Economy Tuesday, September 3, 2024 - 14:11 Source
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MacroBusiness Tuesday, September 3, 2024 - 14:00 Source

Westpac with some nice data. So firstly, the credit cycle. The situation here remains relatively benign. The end of COVID-era special treatments and the sharp rise in mortgage rates – the ‘fixed rate cliff’ included This saw mortgage arrears climb in 2022 and 2023. However, arrears have retraced a little lower over the first half

The post Household bankruptcies contained, business busts boom appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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