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Oz Blog News Commentary
MacroBusiness Friday, May 2, 2025 - 13:30 Source

This week’s CPI data from the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) confirmed that the post-pandemic inflation surge is firmly in the rearview mirror. Australia’s policy-relevant underlying inflation fell to 2.9% in Q1 2025, to be tracked within the Reserve Bank of Australia’s (RBA) target range of 2% to 3%. The pace of disinflation was also

The post The post-pandemic inflation surge is over appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Friday, May 2, 2025 - 13:00 Source

The federal election campaign has seen both sides promise to use the federal budget to deliver another house price boom. Labor has undertaken to establish a state-sponsored subprime mortgage scheme by allowing all first-time home buyers to purchase a home with only a 5% down payment, with the government (taxpayers) guaranteeing 15% of the borrowers’

The post House price crash “a thing of beauty” appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Friday, May 2, 2025 - 12:58 Source
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Renew Economy Friday, May 2, 2025 - 12:56 Source
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Renew Economy Friday, May 2, 2025 - 12:54 Source
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Your Democracy Friday, May 2, 2025 - 12:43 Source

After months of tense negotiations, Ukraine and the US ink a minerals deal

Washington has long demanded compensation for the billions in aid it's given to Kyiv. 

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New Politics Friday, May 2, 2025 - 12:31 Source

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MacroBusiness Friday, May 2, 2025 - 12:30 Source

Saul Kavonic, head of energy research at MST Marquee, is about as as conflicted as any analyst in Australian commentary. The teals and Greens are sheltered from the realities of our regions and industries that drive our economy. Under a minority government, their ideologically-driven energy agenda risks taking us further away from engineering realities. They

The post Greens energy policy can save Australia appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Friday, May 2, 2025 - 12:00 Source

Australia has some of the most generous post-study work rights for overseas students, as shown in the table below. These generous post-study work rights are especially sought by “students” from South Asia, who prioritise post-study work rights and prospects for permanent residency over most other considerations. Last week, higher education expert Andrew Norton released research

The post Australia has a graduate visa problem appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Cheeseburger Gothic Friday, May 2, 2025 - 11:51 Source

I’m in Sydney today and over the weekend. I’m supposed to be staying at the Novotel, but there are about 87 Novotels in Sydney, including a City Centre Novotel and a Central Sydney Novotel (which is actually in Haymarket).

Currently sliding between alternate Novotel’s, and feeling as though I am in danger of losing contact with my alpha site universe.

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MacroBusiness Friday, May 2, 2025 - 11:30 Source

The ABC this week published an article explaining how the Australian Greens have rebranded into the “party of renters”. The ABC noted that Greens leader Adam Bandt has been appearing at press conferences wearing a T-shirt saying “FIGHTING FOR RENTERS” and the party’s top priority this election is fighting for renters rights. “We’ve got people

The post The Greens hoodwink Australian renters appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Friday, May 2, 2025 - 11:00 Source

Proponents of mass immigration claim that it improves living standards by increasing productivity and ameliorating the aging of the population. For example, modelling by McDonald and Temple in 2010 claimed that an annual migration intake between 160,000 and 220,000 is best for Australia and would increase GDP per capita by 12% more in 2053 versus

The post Does immigration improve living standards? appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Friday, May 2, 2025 - 10:30 Source

Short squeeze on deck. The Market Ear. Nasty McElligott sums it up well. This is the scenario nobody (few) wanted: “…positioning and leverage exposure de-risked, Macro-Bearish and underweighted the “Mag8” U.S. Equities in general vs R.O.W. …but now suddenly, it’s MegaCap Tech Secular Growth which is awkwardly then leading to the Upside , in a

The post Short squeeze on deck appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Friday, May 2, 2025 - 10:00 Source

CoreLogic’s snapshot of housing affordability across Australia showed that the percentage of gross annual household income required to service the median rent hit a record high of 32.9% at the end of December 2024: In a similar vein, PropTrack’s latest rental affordability report showed that Australian households at the end of 2024 could afford to rent

The post One chart sums up Australia’s rental crisis appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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xkcd.com Friday, May 2, 2025 - 10:00 Source

Unstoppable force-carrying particles can't interact with immovable matter by definition.

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MacroBusiness Friday, May 2, 2025 - 09:30 Source

DXY is looking for a short squeeze. AUD is holding so far. Lead boots are Ok. Oil is a favour to all. Metals say no to growth. Big miners = big bear. EM yawn. Junk says no to growth. Warning! The curve flattened. Stocks partying on VIX compression. Which is driving the DXY bid. Oversold!

The post Australian dollar jaws tear investors apart appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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The Tally Room Friday, May 2, 2025 - 09:30 Source

I don’t have another idea for today’s blog post, so why don’t we use this as a thread for everyone to make their final predictions.

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Your Democracy Friday, May 2, 2025 - 09:05 Source

Ex-GOP Senator and Republican Jewish Coalition chair Norm Coleman proclaimed with a straight face that Jews control the world during a Jerusalem conference featuring a speech by Israeli PM Benjamin Netanyahu. 

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MacroBusiness Friday, May 2, 2025 - 09:00 Source

The Trump regime continues to goose the stock market with non-existent reports of trade deals with “hundreds of countries” while the economic reality continues to set in as the latest initial jobless claims spiked while the ISM manufacturing survey went into contraction territory. Trump may need to up his Macca’s order as well as the

The post Macro Morning appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Friday, May 2, 2025 - 08:00 Source

The narrative that renewables are cheaper than baseload power is a myth. Building an intermittent renewable electricity system will be incredibly expensive and inevitably increase power bills. The global empirical evidence is clear: the higher the share of renewables in an energy system, the higher the electricity cost: The reasons should be obvious. Renewables have low

The post Why renewables will increase energy costs appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Your Democracy Friday, May 2, 2025 - 07:59 Source

US President Donald Trump has forced Kiev to sell off Ukraine’s mineral wealth for continued military aid, former Russian President Dmitry Medvedev has said.

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Renew Economy Friday, May 2, 2025 - 07:57 Source
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Renew Economy Friday, May 2, 2025 - 07:42 Source
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Your Democracy Friday, May 2, 2025 - 05:56 Source

If I were attorney-general of the Commonwealth after Saturday’s election there is one person I would seek to emulate, the Whitlam era’s Lionel Murphy.

Murphy, the most reformist attorney-general in Australian history. Think legal aid, the Family Law Act, trade practices legislation and an attempt to pass a human rights act. His brief period in office, 1972 to early 1975, when he took up a seat on the High Court, was impressive in its scope.

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Your Democracy Friday, May 2, 2025 - 04:58 Source

New record temperature of 29.3C in London, Met Office confirms

A temperature of 29.3C has been recorded at Kew Gardens in London, just over 1C higher than the record-beating temperature recorded there earlier today, the Met Office confirms. 

The highest temperature recorded in Wales was 27.4C at Cardiff Bute Park.

https://www.bbc.com/news/live/cwy0mwvx04lt

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Your Democracy Friday, May 2, 2025 - 04:48 Source

US National Security Adviser Mike Waltz has been fired, Fox News reported on Thursday, citing its sources. The White House has not made any public comments on the issue.

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MacroBusiness Friday, May 2, 2025 - 00:05 Source

The total value of Australia’s housing stock was $11.3 trillion as of March 31, 2025, according to CoreLogic, with the average home worth exactly $1 million. The surge in average home values to $1 million has notionally made Australians some of the wealthiest people on earth. For example, the UBS Global Wealth Report ranked Australian

The post Australia’s housing bubble impoverishes nation appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Your Democracy Thursday, May 1, 2025 - 21:42 Source

Canada’s April 28 federal election was dominated by Trump’s global trade war and his vow to use “economic force” to transform Canada into America’s 51st state. 

After a campaign in which all the parties trumpeted bellicose Canadian nationalism, the Liberals, under their recently-minted leader, the former central banker and blue-chip corporate executive Mark Carney, were able to retain power.

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Renew Economy Thursday, May 1, 2025 - 18:09 Source
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MacroBusiness Thursday, May 1, 2025 - 17:00 Source

Risk markets are still running on hopium as US officials admit there’s no talking going on whatsoever with China (who are having a week long holiday anyway – call back later Donny!) while the Bank of Japan held fire in today’s meeting which sent Yen selling off and stocks lifting higher. The latest trade data

The post Macro Afternoon appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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