MacroBusiness
Thursday, May 1, 2025 - 08:00
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The Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) Q1 CPI release revealed that housing inflation is slowing rapidly, contributing to lower trimmed mean inflation. CPI rental inflation rose by 1.2% in Q1 but moderated to 5.5% growth annually. The annual rate of growth was down from the peak of 7.8% in Q1 2024. The following chart from The post Housing a welcome drag on inflation appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
Your Democracy
Thursday, May 1, 2025 - 07:40
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Your Democracy
Thursday, May 1, 2025 - 07:31
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The mainstream Western media and global, alternative media outlets have been delivering a remarkable converging stream of blistering commentary since 2 April on what is now widely called, even by The Economist, Trump’s tariff tantrum.
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Your Democracy
Thursday, May 1, 2025 - 05:55
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The Irish-language hip hop trio Kneecap is being investigated by British counterterrorism police following a controversial appearance where the group performed in front of the words “FUCK ISRAEL, FREE PALESTINE” during a music festival in the United States.
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John Quiggin
Thursday, May 1, 2025 - 05:08
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Back in 2022, after my first encounter with ChatGPT, I suggested that it was likely to wipe out large categories of “bullshit jobs”, but unlikely to create mass unemployment. In retrospect, that was probably an overestimate of the likely impact. But three years later, it seems as if an update might be appropriate. |
MacroBusiness
Thursday, May 1, 2025 - 00:05
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Australia’s productivity growth has averaged just 0.2% a year over the last decade. Labor’s first budget in 2022 included the assumption that productivity growth would average 1.2% over the long-term. The Coalition contends that annual GDP would be about $250 billion higher if productivity had grown at this pace, while annual tax revenue would have The post Australia is trapped in a productivity death spiral appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
Your Democracy
Wednesday, April 30, 2025 - 18:54
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Days away from the Federal Election, Opposition Leader Peter Dutton has yet to offer the voting public any reason to elect him, writes Dr Alex Vickery-Howe. |
Core Econ
Wednesday, April 30, 2025 - 18:23
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Understanding Business Building Insurance: Comprehensive Protection for Your Premises and Assets “Explore Business Building Insurance: an all-around shield for your premises & assets. Understand & secure your enterprise now!” |
Renew Economy
Wednesday, April 30, 2025 - 16:59
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MacroBusiness
Wednesday, April 30, 2025 - 16:30
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Some interesting local and Chinese reports were absorbed by markets in Asia today, with all eyes really on Friday’s US non farm payroll print and of course, any more waffles coming from the Oval Office about “deals” around Trump’s tariffs. The latest Chinese manufacturing PMI prints weren’t grim as expected but still so a sharp The post Macro Afternoon appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
Renew Economy
Wednesday, April 30, 2025 - 15:06
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Renew Economy
Wednesday, April 30, 2025 - 15:02
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Renew Economy
Wednesday, April 30, 2025 - 14:56
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Renew Economy
Wednesday, April 30, 2025 - 14:54
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Renew Economy
Wednesday, April 30, 2025 - 14:50
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Renew Economy
Wednesday, April 30, 2025 - 13:47
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MacroBusiness
Wednesday, April 30, 2025 - 13:30
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Elderly parent visas are Australia’s most costly and should be abolished. Around 8,500 permanent parent visas are issued every year. The 2023 Migration Review from the Australian Treasury estimated that each parent visa costs Australian taxpayers $393,000: The Treasury has estimated that each parent permanent migrant costs $393,000 over their remaining lifetime in Australia. Older |
MacroBusiness
Wednesday, April 30, 2025 - 13:00
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The Albanese government announced on the weekend that it will increase the application charge on student visas from $1,600 to $2,000 if Labor is re-elected. The change will not affect arrangements for Pacific Island and Timor-Leste applicants. The visa fee increase is forecast to deliver $760 million to the budget over the forward estimates. “We The post Increasing student visa fees is sound policy appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
MacroBusiness
Wednesday, April 30, 2025 - 12:30
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The latest polling from Resolve Political Monitor shows Labor leading the Coalition 53% to 47% in two-party terms. Anthony Albanese also leads Peter Dutton by 47% to 31% as preferred Prime Minister. However, Resolve notes that Labor’s primary vote “remains weaker than it was at the last election, down from 32.6% to 3%, highlighting the The post Peter Dutton prays for an election miracle appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
MacroBusiness
Wednesday, April 30, 2025 - 11:47
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The Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) has released the all-important Q1 2025 CPI inflation print. Headline inflation rose by 0.9% over the quarter and by 2.4% year over year. The result was slightly ahead of analysts’ expectations of a 2.4% annual increase. The more policy-important trimmed mean inflation printed at 0.7% in Q1 2025, in The post Aussie inflation print greenlights May rate cut appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
MacroBusiness
Wednesday, April 30, 2025 - 11:30
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The ferrous complex is not well. As the trade shock begins. Morgan Stanley. Our Asia Economists see China’s 2Q GDP growth tracking below 4.5% Y/Y (vs. 5.4% Y/Y in1Q) as more hard data points are showing that tariffs are affecting activity: container throughput is declining, freight shipping prices to the US are slumping, and China’s The post Iron ore at the edge appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
MacroBusiness
Wednesday, April 30, 2025 - 11:00
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According to the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS), Victorians pay the highest state and local taxes in the nation. Victorians suffered a 40.5% increase in state and local government taxes since 2020-21, the largest increase in the nation. Victoria’s state taxes as a share of gross state product have also increased to 6.08%, the highest The post Victoria swings axe amid “catastrophic budget” appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
MacroBusiness
Wednesday, April 30, 2025 - 10:30
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The Market Ear on diving US leading indicators. Post crisis lows VIX at the lowest levels since the early April panic. Note the aggressive VVIX implosion, as well as the latest little bid in VVIX. Volatility is not dirt cheap, but early long volatility positions/hedges are starting to screen attractive again. Our full volatility The post Here comes the recession appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
MacroBusiness
Wednesday, April 30, 2025 - 10:00
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The composition of Australia’s international student enrolments has changed drastically over the past 20 years. In December 2005, 288,579 overseas students were studying in Australia. China (63,695) dominated enrolments, with India (24,644) in a distant second position. The Department of Education didn’t even list Nepal. Nine years later, in December 2014, 452,965 overseas students enrolled in |
xkcd.com
Wednesday, April 30, 2025 - 10:00
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MacroBusiness
Wednesday, April 30, 2025 - 09:30
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DXY struggles on. AUD is holding support. Lead boots plod on. Oil is pointing the way for growth. Metals meh. Mining meh. EM meh. Junk has entered autobid as equities rise. And yields fall. VIX down means stocks up with robots. Deutsche says DXY is stuffed. DB tracks two near real-time measures of US capital The post Australian dollar rides greenback revulsion appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
Your Democracy
Wednesday, April 30, 2025 - 09:02
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People are being asked to vote for the Coalition on the grounds that it is better at managing the economy. But the current evidence does not back up that claim. For generations, the Liberal Party has asserted that it is better than Labor at managing the economy. This election, Peter Dutton has repeated this message more than ever.
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MacroBusiness
Wednesday, April 30, 2025 - 09:00
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A better night on Wall Street due to better earnings reports and by absorbing the Canadian general election outcome. The USD was able to push back slightly against most of the majors although Pound Sterling remains at a new three year high amid the growing UK/EU detente on trade. The Canadian Loonie firmed slightly on The post Macro Morning appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
Your Democracy
Wednesday, April 30, 2025 - 08:23
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Of all the people I meet on my short swing through America’s midwest, the gruff man who lived at a roadside ranch called Hog’s Haven near the Minnesota-Iowa border might have said it best. |
Your Democracy
Wednesday, April 30, 2025 - 07:31
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Defense Minister Boris Pistorius said he was skeptical about Russian President Vladimir Putin's May 8-10 cease-fire in Ukraine.
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