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MacroBusiness Saturday, April 12, 2025 - 00:05 Source

International Reading: Trump Finally Confirms True Scope of China Tariffs—Setting Up Disaster – New Republic Is Trump Pulling Off the Biggest Financial Fraud in History? A Dire Warning – Integ Carney’s Checkmate: How Canada’s Quiet Bond Play Forced Trump to Drop Tariffs – Dean Blundell Trump burned the stock market with tariffs — then took

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MacroBusiness Friday, April 11, 2025 - 16:00 Source

You can’t stop the bond music as we see seismic shifts in global trade and risk markets with the pressure on US Treasuries building further even as the Trump regime tries to backtrack its kindergarten level economic stupidity, while the Chinese, EU and Canada deftly move the chess pieces around the table. The USD is

The post Macro Afternoon appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Friday, April 11, 2025 - 14:00 Source

This week saw the Reserve Bank of New Zealand cut the official cash rate (OCR) by 0.25% to 3.50%, as widely expected. The reduction means the OCR has now fallen by 2.0% from its peak of 5.50%. Curiously, the Reserve Bank’s commentary attached to its decision was not as dovish as expected. “Most members” saw

The post Reserve Bank to cut ‘harder and deeper’ appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Friday, April 11, 2025 - 13:30 Source

Victoria has the nation’s highest per capita debt and the lowest credit rating. The recent budget update reported that Victoria’s net debt has risen from $36 billion to $155 billion during the last decade. The state’s net debt is expected to rise to $187 billion in the three years to 2026–27. The expansion of Victoria’s

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MacroBusiness Friday, April 11, 2025 - 13:00 Source

On Wednesday, the Australian Greens announced that the abolition of negative gearing and the capital gains tax (CGT) discount will be a priority in a minority government. The Greens’ policy is as follows. Grandfather negative gearing and the 50% CGT discount to one investment property. Any properties purchased after the policy commences, or the second

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MacroBusiness Friday, April 11, 2025 - 12:30 Source

It is hard to believe that the Dutton-led Coalition now faces the prospect of losing seats at the upcoming federal election. The combination of Donald Trump’s trade war and policy own-goals like promising to ban working from home (since revoked) has sent Coalition support plummeting. The latest YouGov poll shows that Labor now leads the

The post Coalition voter support collapses appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Friday, April 11, 2025 - 12:00 Source

Sydney’s housing market is losing momentum. CoreLogic’s daily dwelling values index shows that Sydney recorded only a 0.1% rise in the past 28 days, the softest result across the five main capital city markets. Sydney’s 0.1% rise in values compares to 0.6% growth in Melbourne, 0.3% in Brisbane, 0.7% in Adelaide, 0.3% in Perth, and

The post Sydney turns house price loser appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Friday, April 11, 2025 - 11:30 Source

SGX and rebar futures have firmed a little. The Chinese ferrous PPI is weak, down 0.5% in April and 10% year on year. This will intensify as tariffs land. Goldman has downgraded China. On April 9th, President Trump announced a further increase in the tariff rate on imports from China to 125%, following the Chinese

The post How screwed is iron ore? appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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