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Macro Afternoon

March 14, 2025 - 17:00 -- Admin

Asian share markets have rebounded into the final session of the trading week with mostly positive sessions across the region as traders seemingly giving up trying to decipher where the battle lines are being drawn in the ongoing trade wars started by Orangus Maximus in the Oval Office. The USD is trying to fight back

Recession-burned Kiwis flee to Australia

March 14, 2025 - 13:00 -- Admin

Statistics New Zealand released net migration data for January, showing that annual net permanent and long-term (PLT) migrant inflows declined to 32,471, continuing the declining annual trajectory. This is just above the post-2000 historical averages (30,000) but is well below the 135,500 October 2023 year peak. Annual arrivals have stabilised but annual departures hit record

Aussie consumers remain trapped in recession

March 14, 2025 - 11:00 -- Admin

The Q4 2024 national accounts from the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) suggested that households remained in recession. Real per capita household consumption declined for a record eighth consecutive quarter. This followed a record 8% decline in real per capita household disposable income. On Thursday, CBA released its Household Spending Insights (HSI) for February, which

Transition from fossil fuels, ‘slow, expensive, painful’

March 14, 2025 - 10:30 -- Admin

I posted two charts on Thursday showing the monumental task of transitioning Australia off fossil fuels. According to the federal government’s 2024 Australian Energy Update, only 9.4% of Australia’s energy consumption in FY2023 was from renewable sources. The breakdown of energy consumption by fuel source was as follows as of FY2023: Coal: 25.9% Oil: 38.9%

Pilbara killer or just killer?

March 14, 2025 - 10:00 -- Admin

I have long argued that RIO’s treasonous Simandou mine is the Pilbara and QLD killer via crashing iron roe and coking prices. Increasingly, it is also a plain and simple killer of human beings. 13 worker deaths reported at Simandou since June 2023, sources and documents say Some safety guidelines not implemented, according to sources

Stocks puke again

March 14, 2025 - 09:30 -- Admin

The Market Ear technicals still say buy! Inverse fear correction VIX is getting “sick” of the SPX move lower. Source: Refinitiv VVIX definitely not buying it VIX is muted, but VVIX is even more muted. Volatility markets showing green shoots of hope? Source: Refinitiv 12th of March = low point & turning point That’s it

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