Short squeeze on deck. The Market Ear. Nasty McElligott sums it up well. This is the scenario nobody (few) wanted: “…positioning and leverage exposure de-risked, Macro-Bearish and underweighted the “Mag8” U.S. Equities in general vs R.O.W. …but now suddenly, it’s MegaCap Tech Secular Growth which is awkwardly then leading to the Upside , in a
CoreLogic’s snapshot of housing affordability across Australia showed that the percentage of gross annual household income required to service the median rent hit a record high of 32.9% at the end of December 2024: In a similar vein, PropTrack’s latest rental affordability report showed that Australian households at the end of 2024 could afford to rent
DXY is looking for a short squeeze. AUD is holding so far. Lead boots are Ok. Oil is a favour to all. Metals say no to growth. Big miners = big bear. EM yawn. Junk says no to growth. Warning! The curve flattened. Stocks partying on VIX compression. Which is driving the DXY bid. Oversold!
The Trump regime continues to goose the stock market with non-existent reports of trade deals with “hundreds of countries” while the economic reality continues to set in as the latest initial jobless claims spiked while the ISM manufacturing survey went into contraction territory. Trump may need to up his Macca’s order as well as the
The narrative that renewables are cheaper than baseload power is a myth. Building an intermittent renewable electricity system will be incredibly expensive and inevitably increase power bills. The global empirical evidence is clear: the higher the share of renewables in an energy system, the higher the electricity cost: The reasons should be obvious. Renewables have low
The total value of Australia’s housing stock was $11.3 trillion as of March 31, 2025, according to CoreLogic, with the average home worth exactly $1 million. The surge in average home values to $1 million has notionally made Australians some of the wealthiest people on earth. For example, the UBS Global Wealth Report ranked Australian
Risk markets are still running on hopium as US officials admit there’s no talking going on whatsoever with China (who are having a week long holiday anyway – call back later Donny!) while the Bank of Japan held fire in today’s meeting which sent Yen selling off and stocks lifting higher. The latest trade data
Commerzebank with the note. Manufacturing PMIs showed initial damage The official manufacturing PMI fell to contraction territory at 49.0 in April from 50.5 in March, the lowest since December 2023 (Chart 1). The decline was due to a drop in production and new orders which both fell into contraction territory. In particular, new export orders
Professor Peter McDonald is Australia’s leading flip-flopper on immigration (for example, see here, here and here). In 1999, Peter McDonald co-authored a parliamentary research paper, which concluded that it is “demographic nonsense to believe that immigration can help to keep our population young”, claimed that “levels of annual net migration above 80,000 become increasingly ineffective
Join us in this week’s podcast as Nucleus Wealth’s Chief Investment Officer, Damien Klassen, and Chief Economist Leith van Onselen as they examine the economic impacts of Dutton vs Albanese vs a hung parliament. Do you need to position your portfolio ahead of the election? Can’t make it to the live series? Catch up on the