Blogotariat

Oz Blog News Commentary

Articles from MacroBusiness

Iron ore no beuno

May 1, 2025 - 12:00 -- Admin

Ferrous complex no bueno. Strangely, the indicators are going the other way, with the steel PMI firming. And other marginal indicators like steel order books doing OK too. Goldman. Commentary on 2025 sales stabilization is becoming more prevalent, albeit divergent across players: (i)A key pillar of the steel structure sector order growth turning positive in

Harry Triguboff plays Australians for fools

May 1, 2025 - 11:30 -- Admin

Billionaire Meriton founder ‘Highrise’ Harry Triguboff is the master of manipulation. For decades, Triguboff has persuaded politicians to implement policies favourable to his financial interests, including mass immigration. The interview below from 2006 illustrates this point, with Triguboff arguing that Sydney’s population needed to reach 20 million by 2050, with Australia’s population at 150 million.

How Melbourne transformed into a house price oasis

May 1, 2025 - 11:00 -- Admin

According to CoreLogic’s April home value index, Melbourne is the nation’s cheapest major capital city property market. Melbourne’s median dwelling value was $786,158 at the end of April 2025, $119,605 (13% lower) than the national capital city median. The improved affordability of Melbourne’s housing market comes after five years of relative stagnation. As seen in

Rallying on fumes

May 1, 2025 - 10:30 -- Admin

The Market Ear on the rally. Not too bad The 6 day SPX streak has actually been rather impressive. As John Flood writes: “Since 1970, S&P 500 up 6 days in a row with returns of over 7% has only happened 12 times. Post yesterday’s close we locked in # 13. We are due for a

The post Rallying on fumes appeared first on MacroBusiness.

Record construction bankruptcies worsen housing shortage

May 1, 2025 - 10:00 -- Admin

The latest State of the Land Report 2025 from the Urban Development Institute of Australia (UDIA) forecasts that the nation’s housing crisis will worsen as demand from population growth (immigration) continues to outrun housing construction: UDIA’s long-run analysis of national population and dwelling growth highlights a serious divergence in new dwelling supply not keeping pace

Australian dollar bunkers down

May 1, 2025 - 09:30 -- Admin

The US share markets were mixed on Wednesday after data showed the US economy contracted in the March quarter for the first time in three years. The decrease underscored concerns about the impact of US tariffs and the global trade war on growth. The Dow Jones index rose by 142 points, or 0.4%, and the

Macro Morning

May 1, 2025 - 09:00 -- Admin

The latest US GDP print for Q1 came in worse than expected, sending Wall Street down 2% at one stage before the hopium set in as markets recovered towards the close on reports of a possible Canadian deal with the new PM. The USD was mixed against the majors with some return to strength against

Housing a welcome drag on inflation

May 1, 2025 - 08:00 -- Admin

The Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) Q1 CPI release revealed that housing inflation is slowing rapidly, contributing to lower trimmed mean inflation. CPI rental inflation rose by 1.2% in Q1 but moderated to 5.5% growth annually. The annual rate of growth was down from the peak of 7.8% in Q1 2024. The following chart from

Australia is trapped in a productivity death spiral

May 1, 2025 - 00:05 -- Admin

Australia’s productivity growth has averaged just 0.2% a year over the last decade. Labor’s first budget in 2022 included the assumption that productivity growth would average 1.2% over the long-term. The Coalition contends that annual GDP would be about $250 billion higher if productivity had grown at this pace, while annual tax revenue would have

Macro Afternoon

April 30, 2025 - 16:30 -- Admin

Some interesting local and Chinese reports were absorbed by markets in Asia today, with all eyes really on Friday’s US non farm payroll print and of course, any more waffles coming from the Oval Office about “deals” around Trump’s tariffs. The latest Chinese manufacturing PMI prints weren’t grim as expected but still so a sharp

Pages