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Articles from MacroBusiness

Australians say “no” to EVs

February 7, 2025 - 11:40 -- Admin

According to the Federal Chamber of Automotive Industries (FCAI), only 86,804 new cars were delivered in January 2025, down 3.3% from the same month in 2024. FCAI Chief Executive Tony Weber noted that “sales of hybrids and plug-in hybrid vehicles continued to grow and now make up nearly one in five new sales, representing 17.1%

The bubble inflates

February 7, 2025 - 11:20 -- Admin

The Market Ear on the Retail Army. Shorts gone Short Interest as a % share of share outstanding at depressed levels. Source: JPM Needs a bigger chart Retail sentiment at new all time highs… Source: JPM Is this time different? So are the AI leaders in a “winners’ curse” situation reminiscent of telcos in 2000,

Why hasn’t immigration solved labour shortages?

February 7, 2025 - 11:00 -- Admin

Justin Fabo from Antipodean Macro has published interesting charts from the latest NAB Business Survey showing that Australian firms continue to experience high labour shortages. Nearly half of Australian firms—close to a record high—claim that labour availability is a “minor” constraint on output. A further one-third of firms report that it is a “significant” constraint

Why Australian households are hurting

February 7, 2025 - 10:00 -- Admin

On Thursday, I presented data showing that real Australian wages have fallen by 10.3% since the Q2 2020 peak and were tracking at late 2021 levels as of Q3 2024 (latest available data). This calculation was derived by deflating the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) wage price index with the employer cost-of-living index. Separate data

Iron ore short in coming

February 7, 2025 - 09:30 -- Admin

Some pretty impressive jaws are opening in the ferrous complex. Iron ore short in coming. Seasonals are creating the opportunity as cyclones slow the Pilbara and China restocks steel. Flat going ok, long not so much. Profitability is weak, but there. Mills are restocked with ore. May shorts are the go, IMHO, though that is

Macro Morning

February 7, 2025 - 09:00 -- Admin

The latest BOE meeting saw an expected cut which buoyed European markets coupled with a resurgent Yen and hesitation around tonight’s NFP print kept the USD in a weak space overnight. Wall Street made modest gains as earnings season ramps up with Amazon in focus while the latest crude oil figures suggest a glut in

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