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The iron ore jaws remain wide

March 28, 2025 - 11:30 -- Admin

The jaws remain wide. There is good news in steel output. Hot metal production in March increased by 56,700 tons to 2.3626 million tons month-on-month. This is well above last year for the time being. However, it is coming on the top of a very slow January and February. Worldsteel. World crude steel production for

Australia’s wealth is a mirage

March 28, 2025 - 11:00 -- Admin

I reported this week on how the nation’s residential housing stock reached a record $11,032.2 billion at the end of 2024, with the average dwelling valued at $976,800. The average dwelling value of nearly one million dollars has created a nation of paper millionaires. It is also a key reason why Australian households are ranked among

Don’t trust the budget’s migration numbers

March 28, 2025 - 10:30 -- Admin

Recall that Tuesday’s federal budget forecast a significant slowing of net overseas migration over the forward estimates. Net overseas migration is projected to slow to 335,000 this financial year, then to 260,000 in 2025-26, and 225,000 in 2026-27. As a result, Australia’s population growth forecasts have also been downgraded. Australia’s population is projected to grow

Australian dollar tied to stocks

March 28, 2025 - 10:00 -- Admin

DXY faded. AUD was stable. Lead boots are heavy. Gold is melting up. Oil is a pest. Alwyas sell copper before Goldman does. Miners meh. Em meh. More junk stress please! Curve steepened, though. Stocks fell. US pending home sales were dreadful again, while initial unemployment claims are showing no sign of DOGE damage outside

Macro Morning

March 28, 2025 - 09:00 -- Admin

More tariff fallouts overnight as the April 2 deadline looms with Trump whining about Canadian-EU collaboration in the latest round of threats, while stocks put in slight selloffs amid the low volatility reactions. The USD pulled back ever so slightly against Euro and Pound Sterling but remains firm against Yen while the Australian dollar was

RBA readies May rate cut

March 28, 2025 - 07:00 -- Admin

CBA head of Australian economics, Gareth Aird, has explained why he believes the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) will cut the official cash rate at its May monetary meeting. Aird noted that “the recent run of domestic data has on balance been a little softer than the RBA forecasts imply”. The softer readings include the

Why I am voting for Peter Dutton

March 27, 2025 - 22:35 -- Admin

I was wrong to have written off Peter Dutton and the Coalition. On Thursday night, Dutton gave his budget reply speech. And while there were some minor things I disagreed with, I believe he got the biggest policy issues right. Below are the announcements I liked, followed by those I didn’t. Liked alot: East Coast

Macro Afternoon

March 27, 2025 - 17:30 -- Admin

Noise around the latest tariff tirade from Trump, this time on cars from – well everywhere – has not really affected Asian stock markets that much relatively speaking as regional concerns outweigh the dummy spitting from the White House. The USD is lifting slightly against the major currency pairs, particularly Euro while the Australian dollar

Sell copper, buy gold

March 27, 2025 - 14:00 -- Admin

Goldman has pumped copper and is now turning. A key signal that the top is near.  The US looks set to announce copper import tariffs in the coming weeks, according to apress report. This would shorten the timeline for tariffs, which we were expecting between September and November. What is the impact on physical market

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