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MacroBusiness Thursday, February 20, 2025 - 09:30 Source

DXY is up again as King Trump romps hither and thither. AUD eased. Lead boots ahoy! Commods yawn. Miners smashed. EM pause. Junk hope. Yields stall. Stocks ATH. The court of King Trump is a circus. President Donald Trump issued his most direct threat yet to Volodymyr Zelenskiy, saying the Ukrainian president had “better move

The post Australian dollar falls to art of the deal appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Thursday, February 20, 2025 - 09:00 Source

Overnight saw the release of the latest FOMC minutes with Wall Street pushing up higher against the trend as European shares finally fell back after weeks of trending higher. The USD continues to make a comeback against the major undollars with Euro slipping although Yen is firming once more. Meanwhile the Australian dollar is holding

The post Macro Morning appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Your Democracy Thursday, February 20, 2025 - 07:18 Source

Clive Palmer and Pauline Hanson traded barbs after an attempt to unify their party fell apart, over disagreements about who should lead and bankroll their hoped-for singular right-wing populist movement.

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Your Democracy Thursday, February 20, 2025 - 06:33 Source

If national governments across the globe are prepared to put minimising the climate threat ahead of protecting the fossil fuel industry, they will have to make major changes to how the net zero concept is being applied. This will require carbon offsetting to be brought in line with its intended application, and a consequential major reduction in its use.

 

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Your Democracy Thursday, February 20, 2025 - 06:13 Source

The Trump administration’s decision to pause USAID funding has plunged hundreds of so-called “independent media” outlets into crisis, thereby exposing a worldwide network of thousands of journalists, all working to promote U.S. interests in their home countries.

 

USAID Falls, Exposing a Giant Network of US-Funded ‘Independent’ Media

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Your Democracy Thursday, February 20, 2025 - 05:39 Source

The British government is debating the possibility of an air policing mission over Ukraine, The Times reported on Tuesday. The potential deployment of Typhoon fighter jets from bases in Poland is viewed as an alternative to stationing a significant number of ground troops and would require Moscow’s consent, the report says.

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MacroBusiness Thursday, February 20, 2025 - 00:12 Source

The RBA is a paid propagandist for the immigration-led, labour market expansion economic model. This means it must lie about the wage-suppressing effects of immigration or voters will demand the model (some might say scam) is shut down. But even the best liar occasionally lets slip the truth, and yesterday’s SoMP is a great example.

The post Why the evil RBA is smashing your wages appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Thursday, February 20, 2025 - 00:05 Source

In the 2023-24 financial year, a record 3,000 construction firms in Australia were declared bankrupt (insolvent). New data from ASIC suggests that construction insolvencies have worsened in 2024-25. In the first seven months of this financial year, 1,999 construction firms were declared insolvent. This was 26% higher than the same period in 2023-24 (1,583) and

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George Monbiot Wednesday, February 19, 2025 - 23:33 Source

This is how Labour’s war on regulations will stymie its own policies. It is irrational and self-destructive.

By George Monbiot, published in the Guardian  11th February 2025

This might sound astonishing, but the UK government’s core programme now appears to be the same as Donald Trump’s: dismantling the administrative state. There’s less theatre, but the results could prove harder to contest. Absurd? Consider the evidence.

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Renew Economy Wednesday, February 19, 2025 - 19:48 Source
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MacroBusiness Wednesday, February 19, 2025 - 17:00 Source

Most Asian share markets are trading higher despite the lack of a solid lead from Wall Street overnight with the USD pushed back after lifting slightly higher over the long weekend break. More Makeup Mussolini tariff news barely moved risk markets while the RBNZ served up another interest rate cut that sent Kiwi slightly higher

The post Macro Afternoon appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Your Democracy Wednesday, February 19, 2025 - 15:28 Source

INVESTIGATION BY JULES LETAMBOUR TO COME.

WARNING: JULES COULD BE WRONG, BUT FROM THE ROUGH TEXT OF HIS REPORT (BEING REVISED AND ADDED TO) WITH ORIGINAL SOURCES, IT IS LIKELY THAT CHARLIE HEBDO IS WILLINGLY OR ACCIDENTALLY SPREADING CIA SUPPLIED DISCREDITED/FALSE INFORMATION AS TRUTH. WE ALREADY HAVE MENTIONED THAT THE MAGAZINE OFTEN PROPS UP THE SILLY MACRON GOVERNMENT... WE SHALL SEE.

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Renew Economy Wednesday, February 19, 2025 - 15:06 Source
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Renew Economy Wednesday, February 19, 2025 - 15:04 Source
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Renew Economy Wednesday, February 19, 2025 - 14:47 Source
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Renew Economy Wednesday, February 19, 2025 - 14:29 Source
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MacroBusiness Wednesday, February 19, 2025 - 13:30 Source

It has been widely reported that Australians have suffered one of the largest declines in real per capita household disposable income in the advanced world. The February Statement of Monetary Policy (SoMP) from the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) contained an analysis of the household income recession, noting that Australia has experienced “among the weakest

The post What’s driving Australia’s cost of living crisis? appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Wednesday, February 19, 2025 - 13:23 Source
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MacroBusiness Wednesday, February 19, 2025 - 13:00 Source

This week, SQM Research revealed that Australia’s rental crisis reignited, with the national vacancy rate falling to 1.0% in January, down 0.1% year-on-year. In his commentary on the results, managing director Louis Christopher suggested that a resurgence of net overseas migration may have tightened the rental market. “The sharp decrease in rental vacancies strongly indicates

The post Renters would win from lower immigration appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Wednesday, February 19, 2025 - 12:30 Source

Local gas prices are still outrageous,  above $13Gj. Electricity prices have come down with gas but also still nosebleed. With futures showing the coming price retail hikes. Finally, today, a kick-arse chart by John Kemp showing what expensive gas does to an advanced manufacturing base. Example Germany. GERMANY’s energy-intensive manufacturing output was down by 22%

The post Germany goes the way of the energy superidiot appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Your Democracy Wednesday, February 19, 2025 - 12:00 Source

Trump taking Washington out of NATO “is a realistic threat,” EMP Task Force scholar and former Pentagon officer David Pyne tells Sputnik.

He could do this "by either withdrawing US security guarantees for individual countries that oppose his peace initiatives with Russia to end the war in Ukraine, or else perhaps to threaten to pull the US out of NATO entirely," Pyne says.

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MacroBusiness Wednesday, February 19, 2025 - 11:51 Source

The Reserve Bank of Australia’s (RBA) February Statement of Monetary Policy (SoMP) forecast that the wage price index would record 3.2% growth for the year ended Q4 2024. On Wednesday, the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) released the Q4 2024 wage price index, which met the RBA’s expectations, coming in at 0.7% for the quarter

The post Australian wage growth plunges appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Wednesday, February 19, 2025 - 11:37 Source

Westpac with the note. Leading Index growth rate lifts to 0.58%, a 2½ year high. Above-trend momentum is becoming more convincing. Reads point to a gradual recovery rather than a sudden surge. All components contributing positive to growth signal. The start of 2025 has seen a continued improvement in Australia’s growth pulse. The latest rise

The post Leading index firms appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Wednesday, February 19, 2025 - 11:30 Source

MB has long questioned the shady relationship between our universities’ reliance on international student revenue and university rankings, which we label a “Ponzi scheme”. The federal government and Australian universities established a structure to attract huge volumes of full-fee-paying overseas students through two channels. First, the Australian government offers the world’s most generous student visa

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MacroBusiness Wednesday, February 19, 2025 - 11:00 Source

Since COVID, it has been clear that stock market cycles have dramatically accelerated (in truth before that as liquidity drives speed).  Each twitch in the underlying global economy is traded on high-octane moves that exaggerate minor moves in the underlying economy.  Right now, we have a broadening global stock cycle on the thesis that global

The post Fast forward stock cycle intensifies appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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xkcd.com Wednesday, February 19, 2025 - 11:00 Source

Unfortunately, KM3NeT led to the discovery of the Pauli anglerfish, which emits Cherenkov radiation to prey on neutrino researchers.

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MacroBusiness Wednesday, February 19, 2025 - 10:30 Source

If Labor loses the upcoming federal election, it will be due to two key issues: the cost of living and housing affordability. The latest True Issues survey from JWS Research shows that the cost of living (58%) and housing supply and affordability (30%) were the two issues voters wanted the federal government to focus on.

The post Voters punish Labor for cost of living, unaffordable housing appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Wednesday, February 19, 2025 - 10:29 Source
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Renew Economy Wednesday, February 19, 2025 - 10:26 Source
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MacroBusiness Wednesday, February 19, 2025 - 10:00 Source

The rotting fishhead AFR launched a stingingly politicised campaign to prevent monetary easing, and its journos and hangers-on were all wrong. Unsurprisingly. If all you can see is politics, then you’re so busy gaslighting everybody that you have no idea what is going on fundamentally. Enter Michael Stutchbury, the Rotten Fishhead himself, where the stench

The post Egg all over RBA dills appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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