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MacroBusiness Tuesday, October 1, 2024 - 13:30 Source

The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) released its half-yearly Financial Stability Review (FSR), which noted that around one-in-20 Australian borrowers have a cashflow shortfall: “In addition to cutting back their spending to mostly essential items and trading down in quality for some goods and services, these households have had to make other difficult adjustments to

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Renew Economy Tuesday, October 1, 2024 - 13:12 Source
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MacroBusiness Tuesday, October 1, 2024 - 13:00 Source

Newspoll with the analysis. Labor’s primary vote has fallen to 30 per cent in NSW, marking a historical low with a swing against the Albanese government potentially enough to cost it three to four seats in the largest state alone. An exclusive demographic and state by state Newspoll analysis shows Labor facing a partial rebellion

The post Ruinous Albo delivers the end of Labor appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Tuesday, October 1, 2024 - 12:56 Source
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MacroBusiness Tuesday, October 1, 2024 - 12:30 Source

You won’t see another short squeeze this violent for a very long time. The Market Ear. Beyond parabolic The CSI 300 is up some 27% from recent lows. We have a hard time remembering when an index went from trading way below the 200 day moving average, to way above it. Beyond impressive. Refinitiv 40%

The post A Chinese short squeeze straight out of Japan appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Tuesday, October 1, 2024 - 12:14 Source
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Renew Economy Tuesday, October 1, 2024 - 12:07 Source
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MacroBusiness Tuesday, October 1, 2024 - 12:00 Source

The Albanese government delivered a second consecutive budget surplus, as illustrated below by Justin Fabo at Antipodean Macro: The underlying cash budget balance recorded a surplus of $15.8 billion (0.6% of GDP) in 2023-24, which was larger than forecast in the May Budget. Massive personal tax receipts from the rapidly expanding labour market (read: immigration)

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, October 1, 2024 - 11:56 Source

The Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) has released retail sales data for August, which jumped by a strong 0.7% over the month to be 3.1% higher year-on-year: The result smashed economists’ expectations of a 0.4% monthly increase. As shown in the table above, the rise was driven by durable goods sales, which increased by 0.8%

The post Retail sales bounce reduces chance of interest rate cuts appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, October 1, 2024 - 11:30 Source

These were from yesterday. In its regular meeting today (29 September) chaired by Premier Li Qiang, the State Council focused on the implementation of “launching a basket of incremental easing measures” (“研究部署一揽子增量政策的落实工作”), and reiterated the pledge to “strive for the full-year growth targets”, echoing President Xi’s call in the SeptemberPolitburo meeting. Specifically, Premier Li pledged

The post More China stimmies, not enough appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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The Australian Independent Media Network Tuesday, October 1, 2024 - 11:25 Source

University of South Australia Media Release When it comes to what people think about sharks, ‘Jaws’ has a lot to answer for. So while older generations shudder at the sound of the infamous two-note tuba alternation, what do younger generations think of sharks? That’s exactly the question being asked by researchers at the University of…

The post ‘Jaw-some’ new research: What do kids think about sharks? appeared first on The AIM Network.

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, October 1, 2024 - 11:00 Source

Westpac with the note. The Westpac Card Tracker Index* has been relatively steady through September, holding at 135.4 in the latest week ended September 21. The data continues to point to a lacklustre spending response to the ‘stage 3’ tax cuts and other fiscal support measures that came into effect from the start of July.

The post Consumer still fearful appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, October 1, 2024 - 10:30 Source

Since MB drove BREE, the old and inept Australian government commodity forecaster, out of business, the Office of the Chief Economist took over the job and has done much better. BREE was always far too bullish and OCE has been much more realistic. However, its latest update is not so good. Overall, it has gotten

The post Aussie commodity forecaster loses its head appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, October 1, 2024 - 10:00 Source

The Productivity Commission with the report. A year has passed since the ‘COVID-19 productivity bubble’ and Australian productivity growth appears to have reverted to the same stagnant pattern as before the pandemic, despite the very different economic conditions. Labour productivity declined by 0.8% for the whole economy in the June 2024 quarter (an increase of

The post Chalmers’ productivity sinkhole deepens appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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The Australian Independent Media Network Tuesday, October 1, 2024 - 09:54 Source

Anura Kumara Dissanayake, known with convenient laziness as AKD, became Sri Lanka’s latest president after a runoff count focusing on preferential votes. The very fact that it went to a second count with a voter turnout of 77% after a failure of any candidate to secure a majority was itself historic, the first since Sri…

The post Presidential Marxism: AKD and the Sri Lankan Elections appeared first on The AIM Network.

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, October 1, 2024 - 09:52 Source

DXY is holding. EUR is poised for beakout: AUD is putting in a series of candles: North Asia is fading: Oil held on as the Levant burns: Metals flamed out: Miners topped: EM too: Junk is a one way bull train: Yields firmed: Stocks too: The news is European inflation is cooked now too and

The post Australian dollar to peak as Europe cuts rates appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, October 1, 2024 - 09:30 Source

SHFE and SGX were outright hysterical yesterday but the latter flamed out overnight: There’s no improvement in steel mill margins here: However, there was improvement in the Steel PMI: Don’t ask me if the short squeeze is over. It is one the craziest I have seen. With China on holiday for a week, maybe the

The post Iron ore face ripper reverses appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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The Tally Room Tuesday, October 1, 2024 - 09:30 Source

This is a very quick blog post as I am catching up on stuff that has been happening while moving house. On the very day that I moved house, nominations were announced for the ACT election.

I won’t be doing a lot on this specific candidate announcement, but the final lists of candidates have now been published on my election guide.

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, October 1, 2024 - 09:00 Source

Last night saw a general absence of tier one economic prints but some key speeches from Fed members including Chair Powell which netted a gain for USD and a selloff in Treasuries as he indicated two more rate cuts are likely on the way. Wall Street followed the very soft mood in Europe but a

The post Macro Morning appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Cheeseburger Gothic Tuesday, October 1, 2024 - 08:49 Source

New neighbours moved in next door and I fear they are a share house. Yes, yes, I am aware of the hypocrisy. But I'm also aware of what having a share house next door to you means.

For one thing, it means I had to get a sleep mask. The last owners installed a security lighting system as part of their very dodgy effort to add a bit of value to the property, and this thing goes off all night long. Possums, cats, birds, the wind in the willows, any kind of movement at all and we get prisoner-of-war camp searchlights beaming directly in through the bedroom window.

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, October 1, 2024 - 08:00 Source

CoreLogic’s September housing market report shows that the national rental index increased by only 0.1% over the September quarter, the smallest change over a rolling three-month period in four years. Rents fell in Sydney (-0.5%), Brisbane (-0.2%), and Canberra (-0.8%) during the quarter, and rental growth slowed in most other capitals. Rents in Melbourne and

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Your Democracy Tuesday, October 1, 2024 - 07:38 Source

In the Progressive International's 38th Briefing of 2024, we bring you news from Lebanon and the spiraling illogic of “de-escalation by escalation”. If you would like to receive our Briefing in your inbox, you can sign up using the form at the bottom of this page.

1978. 1982. 2006. 2024.

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The Australian Independent Media Network Tuesday, October 1, 2024 - 07:15 Source

Quit Nukes / The Australia Institute Media Release A new report has found that despite claiming not to invest in ‘controversial weapons’ 13 of the top 14 Australian super funds are still investing in nuclear weapons companies, in some cases even in an option described as ‘responsible’.  One of the 14, Hostplus, has excluded nuclear…

The post Big Super is still investing in nuclear weapons: report appeared first on The AIM Network.

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, October 1, 2024 - 07:00 Source

Stephen Wu, senior economist at CBA, has published research showing how Australians are overwhelmingly using the extra disposable income from the Stage 3 tax cuts to pay down debts. Wu notes that the growth in total salaries and wages paid into CBA bank accounts has picked up since the tax cuts took effect in July.

The post Frugal Aussies use tax cuts to pay down debts appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Your Democracy Tuesday, October 1, 2024 - 01:50 Source

For years now, Fox News and other right-wing media have warned about an invasion of “illegal aliens” into the United States that supposedly threatens national security.

Donald Trump catapulted himself to the presidency in 2016 by vowing to crack down on illegal immigration and to build a border wall, which the Biden administration has extended.

 

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Your Democracy Tuesday, October 1, 2024 - 01:25 Source

The following speakers shared their insights on Saturday afternoon in Kingston, New York on how to restore the peace and freedom that has been robbed from us by politicians… 

  • Roger Waters,  activist, bassist, a founder of Pink Floyd.
  • Judge Andrew Napolitano, constitutional expert, and host of Judging Freedom podcast.

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Your Democracy Tuesday, October 1, 2024 - 01:14 Source

Britain goes full Orwell accusing Putin of imperialismForeign Secretary David Lammy launched into a weird rant against Russia, accusing it of the crimes Britain has committed...

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, October 1, 2024 - 00:10 Source

The National Bank of Canada has released stunning data showing the extent to which government spending is holding up Canada’s economy while still shrinking at an alarming rate per capita. According to the National Bank of Canada, per capita “GDP has seen a cumulative decline of 3.9% since its peak in 2022, the first time

The post Canadian and Australian economies live off the public teat appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Monday, September 30, 2024 - 20:02 Source
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Renew Economy Monday, September 30, 2024 - 20:00 Source
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