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Renew Economy Tuesday, February 11, 2025 - 12:56 Source
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MacroBusiness Tuesday, February 11, 2025 - 12:30 Source

New data from Ray White, published in News.com.au, suggests that property investors continue to flee Victoria following state government land tax hikes. Ray White claimed that investors owned more than one-third of the 4332 Melbourne homes the agency auctioned in the 12 months to February 6, 2025, and 32.2% of regional Victorian homes auctioned. Ray White

The post Investor pain is first home buyers’ gain appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Tuesday, February 11, 2025 - 12:29 Source
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MacroBusiness Tuesday, February 11, 2025 - 12:00 Source

Steel profitability is just about gone. CISA has solid output to start the year. The main price driver right now is seaborne uncertainty. Several storms across Australia’s north have damaged port infrastructure and disrupted shipments of iron ore and coal, with more rainfall threatening to saturate the operations of miners including Rio Tinto Group. But

The post Pilbara killer moving fast appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, February 11, 2025 - 12:00 Source

Opposition is building against Peter Dutton’s plan to reinstate a “golden ticket” visa for wealthy investors who commit $5 million to enter Australia. These visas were abolished by the Albanese government one year ago. Dutton announced his intention at a Liberal Party fundraiser last month after a migration agent, Min Li, requested he reinstate the

The post Australia must axe all retirement visas appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, February 11, 2025 - 11:30 Source

A new energy shock is brewing as a cold European winter stalks Australia. European gas storage is falling the fastest since 2021. Prices are reacting, at two-year highs unseasonably. LNG imported to Australia is about $26Gj at these prices. Still nearly double today’s local prices. The cartel appears to be playing dead heading into the

The post Gas cartel plays dead going into election appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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John Quiggin Tuesday, February 11, 2025 - 11:02 Source

This is a follow-up to my previous post on the end of US democracy and its implications. Here I will discuss how what’s left of the democratic world can respond.

Surprisingly in many ways, the military part of dispensing with the US is the easiest bit, in each of its major areas of operation: Europe, Taiwan, and the broader Asia-Pacific region including Australian and New Zealand.

As regards Europe, NATO would be massively stronger with the US (100 000 troops in Europe) out and Ukraine (Zelensky claims 800 000) in. 

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, February 11, 2025 - 11:00 Source

Victoria is the most indebted state in Australia, with the lowest credit rating. Victoria’s net debt is projected to skyrocket in the coming years, which is expected to result in additional credit rating downgrades. When these downgrades occur, interest payments will skyrocket, increasing costs for Victorians and resulting in more taxes and less funding for

The post Victorian taxpayers trapped in no-win situation appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Tuesday, February 11, 2025 - 10:50 Source
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Renew Economy Tuesday, February 11, 2025 - 10:45 Source
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MacroBusiness Tuesday, February 11, 2025 - 10:30 Source

The Market Ear on ludicrously overbought gold. Gold – on the road to 3k Unstoppable gold continues surging today again. As we have been pointing out recently: gold is overbought, but there is room for it to move even higher before we reach the upper part of the channel (comes in around $3k). Source: Refinitiv

The post Golden bubble inflates appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Cheeseburger Gothic Tuesday, February 11, 2025 - 10:12 Source

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, February 11, 2025 - 10:00 Source

Current market pricing has ascribed a 93% probability that the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) will cut the official cash rate at next week’s monetary policy meeting. CBA’s head of Australian economics, Gareth Aird, ascribes an 80% probability of a 0.25% rate cut next week. Aird noted that the Q4 24 trimmed mean CPI came

The post Has RBA slain the inflation dragon? appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, February 11, 2025 - 09:30 Source

DXY is firm. AUD too. Not lead boots. Commods ripped. Miners not so much. EM yawn. Sooner or later, junk will either rally or kill the wider bull. Curve steepened. Stocks have another crack ATH. I’m not sure why the sudden surge in commodities. Lifting global PMIs, for the most part. With some tariff hedging

The post Australian dollar joins commodity burst appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Your Democracy Tuesday, February 11, 2025 - 09:14 Source

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, February 11, 2025 - 09:00 Source

Another round of Trump Tariffs overnight saw risk markets largely shake off the volatility even though the EU is gearing up to be next in sight as the global trade war heats up. Wall Street bounced back after watching the Superb Owl and absorbing the slightly weaker than expected jobs print on Friday night with

The post Macro Morning appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Your Democracy Tuesday, February 11, 2025 - 05:54 Source

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Your Democracy Tuesday, February 11, 2025 - 05:30 Source

Last Friday 79 nations signed a statement condemning the announcement 24 hours earlier by genocide enabler US President Donald Trump, that he was imposing sanctions on officials of the International Criminal Court because they had issued a warrant for the arrest of architect of genocide of the Palestinian people, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu.

 

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, February 11, 2025 - 00:05 Source

Alan Kohler penned another article decrying Australia’s housing crisis, which he argues is driven by “lip service, hypocrisy, and an investment culture”. Kohler notes that the Albanese government’s target of building 1.2 million homes over five years is a “lost cause”. “The number of housing approvals has declined, not increased!”. “Since mid-2024, when the five

The post Australian housing is a misery machine appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Tuesday, February 11, 2025 - 00:05 Source
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Your Democracy Monday, February 10, 2025 - 19:46 Source

According to George Bernard Shaw, the most popular method of distributing wealth is the method of the roulette table.

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Renew Economy Monday, February 10, 2025 - 18:30 Source
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Cheeseburger Gothic Monday, February 10, 2025 - 17:33 Source

Even though I didn’t drive, I was still pretty worn out by the time I got back from the film festival panel on the weekend. Luckily, Jane had made chicken Provençal, which was a nice thing to come home to. She’d opened a bottle of Chardonnay for the recipe—Allendale, I think—so I had a glass with dinner. It was the first bottle of wine we’d opened in about six months. Anyway, it was nice. We ate, had a drink, and then I sort of drifted around, not doing much of anything.

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MacroBusiness Monday, February 10, 2025 - 17:30 Source

Asian share markets are somewhat positive despite another spray of tariff demands from the Orange Mussolini with Chinese shares brushing off the reciprocal reactions as the trade war heats up domestically, affecting Australian exports. Luckily the local economy is broad, diverse and robust to deal with cuts to primary exports…..Anyway, the USD gapped higher against

The post Macro Afternoon appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Your Democracy Monday, February 10, 2025 - 15:12 Source

Rise up people and fast. Tyrant Trump and his Musk-driven gangsters are launching a fascistic coup d’état. Much of everything you like about federal/civil service for your health, safety, and economic well-being and protections is being targeted.

 

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Renew Economy Monday, February 10, 2025 - 14:47 Source
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Renew Economy Monday, February 10, 2025 - 14:45 Source
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Renew Economy Monday, February 10, 2025 - 14:32 Source
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Renew Economy Monday, February 10, 2025 - 14:02 Source

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MacroBusiness Monday, February 10, 2025 - 14:00 Source

It’s a very big debate for asset allocators by very big people that I respect on both sides.  In the boom camp is Steve Blitz at TSLombard. January employment data and the revisions have a simple message – the economy has been picking up steam since mid-24, a charge now fueled by a 100BP cut

The post Is the US about to boom or to bust? appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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