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Renew Economy
Monday, November 10, 2025 - 11:07
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MacroBusiness
Monday, November 10, 2025 - 11:00
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OMG. The economists are panicking. “Interest rate cuts are off the table,” Mr Bloxham said. “The problem is that productivity is so weak that supply is constrained. So as input costs such as labour and energy rise there is no equal increase in output.” UBS economist George Tharenou said the underlying inflation rate would overshoot The post Panicked Chalmers to restore energy rebates appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
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Renew Economy
Monday, November 10, 2025 - 10:41
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The Tally Room
Monday, November 10, 2025 - 10:30
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The first expansion of parliament was passed in 1948, and came into force at the 1949 election. It was also the largest increase we’ve seen, either proportionally or in raw numbers. The House and Senate were each expanded by two thirds – the House grew from 74 to 121, while the Senate grew from 36 to 60. This blog post follows the model of my previous analysis of the 1984 parliamentary expansion, and will likewise be the first of two parts. |
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MacroBusiness
Monday, November 10, 2025 - 10:00
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Like other advanced nations, Australia is facing pressures from an ageing population. The federal government has tried to mitigate these ageing pressures by running a high immigration policy to mitigate labour shortages and increase the number of taxpayers. Former senior immigration department bureaucrat Abul Rizvi believes that Australia’s annual net overseas migration will average 300,000 |
MacroBusiness
Monday, November 10, 2025 - 00:05
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The housing market appears to have lost some momentum due to the recent inflation shock and expectations that the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) will keep interest rates on hold for the foreseeable future. Cotality’s daily dwelling values index continues to show the strongest growth in over two years, measured on a rolling 28-day basis: The post Reality check sucks FOMO out of housing market appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
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THE BLOT REPORT
Sunday, November 9, 2025 - 13:28
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I have been reading the book ‘The Great Wave’1 by Michiko Kakutani which was given to me by a mate who thought I would enjoy it. Kakutani is an American Pulitzer Prize winning literary critic and writer2. The book is subtitled ‘The era of radical disruption and the rise of the outsider’1. While the first 60 or so pages have been interesting, there have been a few sections on that road which piqued my interest. One of these was a paragraph (on p. 45) quoting Jaron Lanier3, who was a “pioneer in the development of virtual reality and a member of Silicon Valley’s founding generation”1. |
MacroBusiness
Sunday, November 9, 2025 - 08:53
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By Harry Ottley, economist at CBA: The RBA left the cash rate on hold at 3.60% as widely expected.The post-meeting communication was not quite as hawkish as we had expected. The data flow was mixed with home price rises accelerating and building approvals improving but household spending looking a touch softer than expected. Offshore, soft The post The economic week ahead appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
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Renew Economy
Saturday, November 8, 2025 - 07:45
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MacroBusiness
Saturday, November 8, 2025 - 00:05
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International Reading: Tesla shareholders approve Elon Musk’s $1 trillion pay package – CNN ‘As Ugly and Cruel As It Gets’: Trump Fights Order to Fully Fund November SNAP Benefits – Common Dreams The US national debt has just passed $38 trillion — and economists say they might never recover – News.com Tariff refunds are now The post Weekend Reading and MB Media Appearances appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
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Renew Economy
Friday, November 7, 2025 - 17:46
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MacroBusiness
Friday, November 7, 2025 - 16:30
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Asian equities are not doing well as markets start agitate over AI amid tonight’s looming US jobs report with the recent strength in the USD about to be tested. Continued volatility over trade wars amid the challenge to the Trump regime’s tariffs in the US Supreme Court are not helping either. The Australian dollar remains The post Macro Afternoon appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
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THE BLOT REPORT
Friday, November 7, 2025 - 16:05
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As conservative commentator David Frum said several years ago: “If conservatives become convinced that they can not win democratically, they will not abandon conservatism. They will reject democracy”1. |
Renew Economy
Friday, November 7, 2025 - 14:12
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Renew Economy
Friday, November 7, 2025 - 14:00
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MacroBusiness
Friday, November 7, 2025 - 14:00
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When the Luxon government came to power in late 2023, it came with a promise to reinstate negative gearing as it previously was and reduce the holding period required for an investment property to be sold tax-free. Under the Ardern government, the duration an investor was required to hold a property for the gains to The post New Zealand property investor demand rockets appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
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MacroBusiness
Friday, November 7, 2025 - 13:30
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Australians have suffered the deepest decline in real wages in recorded history. As of the June quarter of 2025, Australian real wages were tracking 6.0% below their June 2020 peak, at roughly the same level as December 2011. The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) released its Statement of Monetary Policy (SoMP) this week, which contains The post Australia’s real wage depression appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
Renew Economy
Friday, November 7, 2025 - 13:28
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MacroBusiness
Friday, November 7, 2025 - 13:00
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The US jobs market is being buffeted by a number of forces. reduced government spending; tarrif shocks to margins recouped through labour efficiencies; investment uncertainty owing to the orange madman; and AI. The BLS labour market data is still down, but Revelio has a decent correlation with the NFP (roughly 0.75%), and it just printed The post AI job shock begins in America appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
MacroBusiness
Friday, November 7, 2025 - 12:30
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The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) released its Statement of Monetary Policy (SoMP) this week, which revised its medium-term unemployment rate forecast to 4.4%, up from 4.3%. As illustrated below by Alex Joiner from IFM Investors, the RBA’s unemployment rate forecast to the end of 2027 is below the current unemployment rate of 4.5%: Thus, The post RBA still delusional on unemployment appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
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MacroBusiness
Friday, November 7, 2025 - 12:00
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The Deloitte Investment Monitor for the September quarter is out. Releasing the latest edition of the quarterly Investment Monitor report, Deloitte Access Economics Partner and lead author, Stephen Smith, said: “The value of projects in the Investment Monitor database is just under $1.2 trillion in September, which is 7% higher than a year ago. “As The post Infrastructure winddown exacerbates jobs bust appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
Renew Economy
Friday, November 7, 2025 - 11:51
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MacroBusiness
Friday, November 7, 2025 - 11:30
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We’ve suddenly lurched from AI is unstoppable to a growth scare as jobs data weakens. The Market Ear. Wishing & hoping & thinking & praying AI mentions on earnings calls have exploded tenfold. Retail traders are back chasing the Mag7. Tech giants are borrowing record sums to fund data centers. For now, optimism is profit The post Stocks blow off the froth appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
Friday, November 7, 2025 - 11:24
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MacroBusiness
Friday, November 7, 2025 - 11:00
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The Grattan Institute was at it again this week, claiming that Australia could magically solve its housing shortage if governments only permitted three-storey buildings to be allowed on any residential block in any suburb. “The key problem is that state and territory land-use planning systems say ‘no’ to new housing by default, and ‘yes’ only The post YIMBYs deliver fake property boom appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
xkcd.com
Friday, November 7, 2025 - 11:00
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MacroBusiness
Friday, November 7, 2025 - 10:30
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The ferrous jaws must close. CIAS output for the last ten days of October crashed 9.8% with steel profitability. CISA steel inventories fell even faster, down 11.8% to 14.63mt. Yet steel could still not get a bid. The MacroMicro series, the source of which is not disclosed, rose in the past week. MySteel data for The post Iron ore at the cliff’s edge appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
MacroBusiness
Friday, November 7, 2025 - 10:00
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Weak job market signals kicked the DXY rally in the teeth. AUD fell anyway on growth worries. CNY up. Gold is trying to base. AI metals were mixed. Miners popped. EM too. Junk is holding. Bonds rallied after dodgy US jobs data. Stocks are blowing the froth off. Adding to a potential reversal in The post Australian dollar rocket refuses to launch appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
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MacroBusiness
Friday, November 7, 2025 - 09:30
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The Australian right is tearing itself apart over net zero. This is so foolish, and the answer is so simple. In fact, the party took the policy to the last election. The only reason this fight is still happening is that the energy transition is failing on affordability. This is giving climate and energy sceptics The post Gas cartel delivers Labor permanent power appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
MacroBusiness
Friday, November 7, 2025 - 00:05
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One month ago, I argued that the Australian Treasury’s modelling of Labor’s 5% deposit scheme for first home buyers was proof that Treasury had become a propaganda arm of the federal government. Under Labor’s First Home Guarantee scheme, which came into effect at the beginning of October, virtually all first home buyers can purchase a The post RBA skewers Treasury housing propaganda appeared first on MacroBusiness. |








