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MacroBusiness Thursday, November 6, 2025 - 13:00 Source

The Market Ear on a market trying to find sanity. Muted fear The sell-off has stretched across several sessions, yet volatilities have remained orderly, a stark contrast to October’s sharp spike. The VIX reaction so far is muted, a “fearless” unwind where complacency lingers and volatility still refuses to show up. With little fear The

The post Stocks try to find sanity appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Thursday, November 6, 2025 - 12:30 Source

For a long time, I have bewailed the rise of fake left and its obsession with culture war issues like genitals, Palestine and racism. The substitution of this grab bag of identity politics for issues of class has led directly to the rise of the populist right in the shape of Donald Trump as American

The post Trump births American real left appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Thursday, November 6, 2025 - 12:05 Source

ANZ has a few nice charts showing how labour costs have nothing to do with the recent inflation pop. The Q3 trimmed mean inflation print is likely to have been a ‘one-off’. Several factors point to that conclusion, including business survey price and cost measures, the tendency for Q3 inflation prints in recent years to

The post RBA panic merchant to cut deeper appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Thursday, November 6, 2025 - 12:00 Source

In this week’s podcast, Nucleus Wealth’s Chief Investment Officer, Damien Klassen, examines the political storm hitting the healthcare sector — how comments and policy risks from Trump and RFK Jr. are weighing on valuations, whether today’s beaten-down prices could present a long-term buying opportunity, or if lasting damage to the sector’s economics and social licence

The post MB Fund Podcast: Vaccinate or Evacuate? appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Thursday, November 6, 2025 - 11:30 Source

In 2023, the Victorian government committed to delivering 80,000 new homes annually for the next decade, with a target of 2 million by 2051. To achieve its target, the government has implemented an authoritarian plan to seize control of planning from local governments and create 50 activity zones designated for high-density apartments. The government last week

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MacroBusiness Thursday, November 6, 2025 - 10:30 Source

Steel is in freefall again. This does not include yesterday, when rebar fell another 1.4% and HRC 1.2%. The ferrous jaws must close. Simandou is getting coverage everywhere now. Some nice images here from Bloomberg. But the AFR has a much better piece with some great detail. …most analysts are sceptical about the potential for

The post Bottom falls out of iron ore market appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Thursday, November 6, 2025 - 10:00 Source

DXY is breaking out still. AUD rebounded in its fading trend. CNY meh. Gold trying to hold. AI metals a better day. The chosen one bounced. EM too. Junk held. But there’s trouble in them thar yields. Stocks rose anyway. I remain cautious on the crap complex—commodities, EM, AUD—while the bond backup and rising DXY

The post UBS thumps AUD table. Hurts fist appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Thursday, November 6, 2025 - 09:30 Source

Exclusively from Gerard Minack. Australia remains stuck in a macro rut as anaemic investment spending is stretched by a fast growing population.  The result is sluggish capital-to-labour growth and – remarkably – falling labour productivity.  The implication is that real wages cannot rise without creating inflation pressures.  Macro stagnation has gone together with falling corporate

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MacroBusiness Thursday, November 6, 2025 - 09:00 Source

Risk markets were in buy the dip mode overnight as Wall Street rebounded after speculation that tariff relief maybe around the corner alongside better than expected US economic data. European stocks also came back slightly while a build up in US domestic supplies saw oil prices pushed back to weekly lows. The USD had small

The post Macro Morning appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Thursday, November 6, 2025 - 00:05 Source

Cotality’s house price results for October noted that values are growing more strongly at the lower-to-middle end of the market. Across the combined capital cities, dwelling values in October rose by 1.4% across the middle market and by 1.2% across the lower quartile, while the upper quartile values increased by only 0.7% over the month.

The post Property investors front-run first home buyers appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Wednesday, November 5, 2025 - 22:22 Source
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Wednesday, November 5, 2025 - 17:48
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Club Troppo Wednesday, November 5, 2025 - 17:48 Source

Is there anyone at home? Is the chess program on your phone conscious? Is ChatGPT5 a conscious agent? Will ChatGPT9 be conscious? Most people would answer “no” to the first question, “don’t think so” to the second and “don’t know” … Continue reading →

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MacroBusiness Wednesday, November 5, 2025 - 16:30 Source

The fallout from last night’s selloff on Wall Street has hit most of Asian markets in today’s session although local shares escaped the carnage following yesterday’s hold from the RBA. The USD reversed slightly against some of the major currency pairs particularly the Australian dollar although the Canadian Loonie couldn’t find any support as the

The post Macro Afternoon appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Wednesday, November 5, 2025 - 14:43 Source
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MacroBusiness Wednesday, November 5, 2025 - 14:00 Source

The past month has seen a procession of opinion polls proving that Australians reject excessively high immigration levels. Polling by Macquarie University’s Housing and Urban Research Centre showed that two-thirds (66%) of respondents believe that Australia should reduce the rate of immigration to address the housing crisis: Resolve Political Monitor’s polling of 1,800 Aussies from

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Renew Economy Wednesday, November 5, 2025 - 13:40 Source
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MacroBusiness Wednesday, November 5, 2025 - 13:30 Source

There is nothing gold likes less than a strong DXY supported by a hawkish central bank. The Market Ear. Watching $3900 Gold putting in another big down candle. $3900 is the line in sand level to watch (50 day comes in slightly lower). A close below that area and things could accelerate further to the

The post Into the golden toilet appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Wednesday, November 5, 2025 - 13:00 Source

In the world of economics, a recession is often defined as two consecutive quarters of declining economic growth in inflation-adjusted terms. But in the realm of housing supply, the role of inflation is played by demand growth. By this metric, Australia’s housing supply growth has been in a recession in net terms for over four

The post Australia’s housing recession appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Wednesday, November 5, 2025 - 12:49 Source
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MacroBusiness Wednesday, November 5, 2025 - 12:30 Source

I reported earlier this week that the number of temporary visa holders in Australia (excluding visitors) hit a record high of 2,547,000 in the September quarter of 2025, up 83,200 on the prior year’s record: The share of Australia’s population on temporary visas has also ballooned to a record high of 9.2%, up from 7.2%

The post Indians exploit Australia’s visa system appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Wednesday, November 5, 2025 - 12:00 Source

The problem with wind and solar power is that they are weather-dependent and intermittent. Renewables don’t balance supply with demand. They supply too much power when it isn’t needed (e.g., in the middle of the day) and minimal power at other times, including the evening peak. This solar glut can also force energy regulators to

The post Albo launches new energy gimmick appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Wednesday, November 5, 2025 - 11:30 Source

Mike Burgess, director-general of the Australian Security Intelligence Organisation (ASIO), warned that a foreign government might attempt to kill a dissident on Australian territory, and the majority of outlets carried his warning overnight. In a speech to Sydney’s Lowy Institute think tank yesterday night, the head of ASIO stated that there was a “realistic possibility”

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MacroBusiness Wednesday, November 5, 2025 - 11:00 Source

The jaws must shut to restore steel mill profitability. The range trade must break down. Scuttlebutt is nasty. Iron ore prices typically rebound from early November to February before easing. However, significant losses from winter stockpiling in recent years, along with current high operating rates, may curb stockpiling enthusiasm this year, said Chinese broker Zhongtai

The post Iron ore threatens breakdown appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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xkcd.com Wednesday, November 5, 2025 - 11:00 Source

The package weighs 7 kg 9 oz.

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MacroBusiness Wednesday, November 5, 2025 - 09:00 Source

Wall Street corrected sharply overnight led mainly by tech stocks as the NASDAQ fell back nearly 2% in response to a variety of concerns – mainly the looming spectre of stagflation – but also some disappointment around earnings at the orc-stronghold of Palantir. The USD is pushing higher against all the majors with the Canadian

The post Macro Morning appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Tuesday, November 4, 2025 - 19:44 Source
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Renew Economy Tuesday, November 4, 2025 - 19:40 Source
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Renew Economy Tuesday, November 4, 2025 - 15:35 Source
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Renew Economy Monday, November 3, 2025 - 14:58 Source
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