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Renew Economy Wednesday, June 4, 2025 - 14:14 Source
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MacroBusiness Wednesday, June 4, 2025 - 14:00 Source

There goes the hope for curing all of the East Coast’s energy problems. Prime Minister Anthony Albanese has praised Western Australia’s domestic gas reservation scheme and says his government already has the power to force producers to sell to the local market on the east coast. …Albanese on Tuesday sought to distance any arrangement Labor

The post Aaaaand, it’s back to gas permacrisis appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Wednesday, June 4, 2025 - 13:30 Source

On Tuesday, the Fair Work Commission (FWC) decided to lift the national minimum wage and award wages by 3.5% from 1 July this year. The key justification given for the decision was to provide some real wage catch-up. Business groups met the decision with their usual backlash, claiming that higher minimum and award wages would

The post Business groups wrong about wages and productivity appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Wednesday, June 4, 2025 - 12:51 Source

Today’s Q1 national accounts from the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) revealed that Australians lurched back into recession, with per capita GDP growth declining by 0.2% over the quarter: Per capita GDP has declined in nine of the last 11 quarters, down a total of 1.7% over that period. The overall economy also grew by

The post Australians slide back into recession appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Wednesday, June 4, 2025 - 12:16 Source
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MacroBusiness Wednesday, June 4, 2025 - 12:00 Source

NSW Opposition Leader Mark Speakman has accused Premier Chris Minns of blaming federal tobacco taxes for the fact that the illegal tobacco trade in the state is “out of control”. Minns has suggested that cutting tobacco taxes would lead to a reduction in black market tobacco activity, leaving NSW Police with more resources to combat

The post Less is more with tobacco taxes appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Wednesday, June 4, 2025 - 11:30 Source

It’s goodbye, Chinese steel prices. No good news. Despite the tariff reduction after the US-China trade talks in Geneva, the headline Caixin manufacturing PMI fell notably to 48.3 in May from 50.4 in April, contrary to market expectations of an uptick. Among the major sub-indexes, the output sub-index decreased the most, followed by the new

The post Steel goes into the abyss appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Wednesday, June 4, 2025 - 10:38 Source
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Renew Economy Wednesday, June 4, 2025 - 10:25 Source
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Renew Economy Wednesday, June 4, 2025 - 08:57 Source
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Renew Economy Wednesday, June 4, 2025 - 07:46 Source
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MacroBusiness Wednesday, June 4, 2025 - 07:00 Source

Financial markets believe that the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) will deliver another three 25 bp cuts to the official cash rate (OCR) in 2025, taking the OCR to 3.10% by year end. However, the market ascribed roughly a 70% probability of the RBA cutting the OCR at its next meeting in July. Belinda Allen,

The post RBA readies July rate cut appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Tuesday, June 3, 2025 - 17:35 Source
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MacroBusiness Tuesday, June 3, 2025 - 17:14 Source

Tonight I will be appearing on DFA Live with Martin North from 8.00pm AEST, where we will discuss everything to do with the housing market and economy. The YouTube feed is below. I hope to see you there.

The post Join me tonight on DFA Live with Martin North appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Tuesday, June 3, 2025 - 14:31 Source
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Renew Economy Tuesday, June 3, 2025 - 14:26 Source
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Renew Economy Tuesday, June 3, 2025 - 13:59 Source
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Renew Economy Tuesday, June 3, 2025 - 13:56 Source
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Renew Economy Tuesday, June 3, 2025 - 12:55 Source
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MacroBusiness Tuesday, June 3, 2025 - 12:30 Source

Via ANZ. ANZ-Indeed Australian Job Ads fell 1.2% m/m in May, following a downwardly revised 0.3%m/m decline in April. In trend terms, the series was down 0.6% m/m. ANZ-Indeed Australian Job Ads is now at its lowest level since March 2021, but has remained in a tight range of 114 to 117 (rounded to the

The post Job ads still fading appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, June 3, 2025 - 12:10 Source

This is a good decision. The Fair Work Commission has awarded an increase of 3.5% to up 2.6 million workers on minimum award rates to allow for low-paid workers to catch up on real wage cuts suffered during the pandemic. The increase will lift the national minimum wage from $24.10 an hour, or $915.90 a

The post Real wages get welcome boost appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, June 3, 2025 - 12:00 Source

NSW Premier Chris Minns aims to alleviate Sydney’s housing crisis by expediting the supply of shoebox apartments. Minns last week accused previous governments of being “timid” due to “the NIMBY [Not In My Backyard] backlash” but argued that the conversation had changed to “opening the gates to more urban consolidation and development”. “I think Sydneysiders

The post Minns gaslights Sydneysiders on housing crisis appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, June 3, 2025 - 10:30 Source

It’s bloody painful, but slowly iron ore is being ground down. The PMIs were no help at all. The NBS manufacturing PMI increased from 49.0 in April to 49.5 in May. The new export order sub-index, which dropped from 51.8 in March to 49.2 in April, climbed to 49.8 in May. But, the NBS construction

The post Iron ore ground down with steel appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, June 3, 2025 - 10:00 Source

The official Q1 CPI inflation print from the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) showed that the policy-important trimmed mean inflation rate declined to 2.9% year-on-year, within the Reserve Bank of Australia’s (RBA) inflation target of 2% to 3%. RBA Governor Michele Bullock’s media appearance following last month’s 0.25% rate cut suggested that she was less

The post Australia’s inflation continues to fall appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, June 3, 2025 - 00:05 Source

Cotality’s (formerly CoreLogic) latest housing affordability report showed that the cost of purchasing and renting a home in Sydney was the worst on record at the end of 2024, as well as the highest in the nation. As illustrated above, Sydney’s dwelling value-to-income rate was 9.8 at the end of 2024. It required a typical

The post Sydney’s housing market eats its young appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Monday, June 2, 2025 - 21:20 Source
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MacroBusiness Monday, June 2, 2025 - 14:00 Source

Last week, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand lowered the official cash rate (OCR) to 3.25%, down 2.25% from the recent peak. The vote in favour of cutting rates was overwhelming, with five members voting for and only one against. The Reserve Bank’s guidance, presented below, suggests that the OCR will bottom at around 2.75%.

The post Reserve Bank sees disinflation ahead appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Monday, June 2, 2025 - 13:23 Source
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Renew Economy Monday, June 2, 2025 - 13:14 Source
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MacroBusiness Monday, June 2, 2025 - 13:00 Source

University of Melbourne associate professor Milad Haghani argues that utes and SUVs should pay higher registration fees to account for the damage they do to roads because of their weight. “Bigger cars mean bigger costs for everyone else – it’s only fair those costs are reflected in how we price their use of public roads”,

The post Electric vehicles must pay higher registration fees appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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