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MacroBusiness Friday, August 30, 2024 - 14:00 Source

The Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s unexpected 0.25% cut to the official cash rate was an admission that the economy is deteriorating considerably faster than the central bank had anticipated. New Zealand’s per capita GDP has fallen by 4.3% from its late 2022 peak, following six straight consecutive declines: High-frequency indicators continue to show that

The post Reserve Bank fights worsening recession appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Friday, August 30, 2024 - 13:30 Source

Terry McCrann is presumably retiring. This is it. My final regular column. It completes a journey that I embarked on 46 years ago, when in 1978 I first started writing a daily business and economic commentary column. And I continued, writing, for most of that time, six columns a week, unbroken since. Albeit, with along

The post Farewell Mr McCrann appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Friday, August 30, 2024 - 13:15 Source
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Renew Economy Friday, August 30, 2024 - 13:13 Source
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Renew Economy Friday, August 30, 2024 - 13:13 Source
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Renew Economy Friday, August 30, 2024 - 13:12 Source
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MacroBusiness Friday, August 30, 2024 - 13:00 Source

I have always described the higher education industry as the “middleman” of Australia’s immigration ponzi, effectively ‘clipping the ticket’ and privatising the gains from high numbers of foreign students while socialising the costs on the broader economy. In a similar vein, Alan Kohler noted last week that “most of Australia’s migrant intake has been outsourced

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MacroBusiness Friday, August 30, 2024 - 12:30 Source

Recall that failed Home Affairs Minister Clare O’Neil, who drove the rental crisis by overseeing the largest immigration spike in the nation’s history, was appointed Australia’s Housing Minister because she excels at spin. She [O’Neil] remains in cabinet and has now moved to minister for housing and homelessness — a portfolio that needed a stronger

The post Australia’s new housing minister spins more lies appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Friday, August 30, 2024 - 12:00 Source

Mike Cannon-Brookes, the do-gooder billionaire, who would send Aussie sunshine to Singapore, is becoming a laughing stock. Bloomberg: You can’t fault the scale of Cannon-Brookes’s ambitions. SunCable could generate about four times more electricity than the Northern Territory currently consumes. Excess power would flow 4,300 kilometers (2,700 miles) through the world’s longest and deepest undersea

The post Sunshine thief pilloried appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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The Australian Independent Media Network Friday, August 30, 2024 - 11:55 Source

Independent Tertiary Education Council Australia (ITECA) Media Release Australia’s independent Registered Training Organisations (RTOs) that deliver high-quality training to international students face an existential threat due to the Australian Government’s failure to provide clear and consistent guidance concerning the international education sector’s future. The Independent Tertiary Education Council Australia (ITECA) is warning that business closures…

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MacroBusiness Friday, August 30, 2024 - 11:30 Source

Westpac with the note. Capex Spending Plans Today’s release also provided an update on expected capex spending over the 2024-25 FY. Estimate 3 for the 2024-25 FY came in at $170.7bn, around 8.2% higher than the same estimate last year. When considering how plans translate into actual capex spending, we need to adjust by measures

The post Aussie capex epectations hold up appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Friday, August 30, 2024 - 11:00 Source

Australia is already experiencing a prolonged per capita recession. As illustrated in the following chart, Australia’s per capita GDP has fallen for five consecutive quarters and six times in the last seven quarters: Next week, the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) will release the Q2 national accounts, which will show that per capita GDP fell

The post Deep Australian recession locked in appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Friday, August 30, 2024 - 10:30 Source

The Market Ear on scary seasonality. The upcoming buyback fade In markets it is always about the “change”…and this bid is going to fade soon. There is $6.62B worth of daily purchasing power until the closed window (where it normally gets cut in half or even more). Blackout starts on the 13th, which is only

The post Stocks brace for scary September appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Friday, August 30, 2024 - 10:00 Source

Anybody with half a brain would recognise that lowering international student numbers (and migration generally) will alleviate the rental crisis. The correlation between the surge in international students and temporary migration is obvious. Temporary visa numbers in Australia have surged by around 400,000 higher than the pre-pandemic peak, as illustrated in the next chart from

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xkcd.com Friday, August 30, 2024 - 10:00 Source

During the day it also activates for neat clouds and pretty sunsets.

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MacroBusiness Friday, August 30, 2024 - 09:40 Source

SHFE and SGX fuutres are opening a new set of jaws: Given steel mills are already losing money, this only increases the likelihood of further shut-ins and reduced iron ore demand. Dalian is looking toppy and coking coal has rolled: The Angry Dragon is not happy: “The current rise in iron ore prices lacks fundamental

The post Angry China lashes iron ore appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Friday, August 30, 2024 - 09:20 Source

There’s a great piece at Bloomberg today on how Japan is destroying Australia using our own gas against us: Every six hours, somewhere in the world, a shipment of liquefied natural gas controlled by a Japanese company leaves a port. The vessels — giant, floating thermoses that keep the fuel super-chilled — cross the globe,

The post Japanese gas Godzilla destroys Australia appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Friday, August 30, 2024 - 09:00 Source

The USD saw a surge overnight due to a better than expected initial jobless print but also a revision in US 2nd quarter GDP but it didn’t stick completely against all the majors as it faded towards the end of the session. This kept Wall Street on edge while European markets took benefit from the

The post Macro Morning appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Friday, August 30, 2024 - 09:00 Source

The Australian Energy Market Operator has released new forecasts regarding electricity supply and demand over the next decade. AEMO says that a slower uptake of battery-electric vehicles is set to reduce pressure on the electricity grid. In December, AEMO forecast that seven million electric vehicles would be sold over the next ten years, but it

The post Australians fall out of love with EVs appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Friday, August 30, 2024 - 08:11 Source
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MacroBusiness Friday, August 30, 2024 - 07:30 Source

On 12 December 2023, Victorian Premier Jacinta Allan ignored expert advice and signed the first tunnelling contract to build the $200 billion, 90-kilometre Suburban Rail Loop (SRL) to nowhere. “We are full steam ahead with the Suburban Rail Loop – by 2026, tunnel boring machines will be in the ground and Victorians will be hard

The post Jacinta Allan must resign over SRL debacle appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Your Democracy Friday, August 30, 2024 - 07:25 Source

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MacroBusiness Friday, August 30, 2024 - 00:10 Source

Yarra Capital Management chief economist Tim Toohey warned that the $300 billion in extra savings accumulated during the pandemic may have run out, curtailing household spending. Toohey estimates that households probably spent the last of their pandemic-era buffers around March 2024, as younger consumers struggling with cost-of-living pressures pulled back on saving to pay for essentials.

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MacroBusiness Friday, August 30, 2024 - 00:05 Source

Unbeknownst to all of Australia, the Australia Energy Market Operator (AEMO) has its finger on the answer to everything: Favorable weather conditions toward the end of winter and reduced gas generation demand have allowed Iona to start refilling its storage capacity. Iona inventory is currently sitting at 44% or 10,736 TJ, while Newcastle LNG is

The post Energy superidiot can fix itself overnight appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Thursday, August 29, 2024 - 17:30 Source

A fairly mixed session for Asian share markets following the dip on Wall Street overnight as the post close NVIDIA earnings muddy the AI/tech waters with Chinese shares and their Australian satellites down. The USD is fighting back somewhat against most of the majors with Euro retracing below the 1.12 handle but the Australian dollar

The post Macro Afternoon appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Thursday, August 29, 2024 - 16:22 Source
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The Australian Independent Media Network Thursday, August 29, 2024 - 14:15 Source

This week the Australian Government announced measures to secure intravenous (IV) fluid products amid a global supply shortage. An RMIT expert comments on supply chain issues around critical healthcare products. Dr Priyabrata Chowdhury, supply chain expert: “The current shortages of IV fluid products in Australia have posed significant challenges to the healthcare system. “To address…

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Renew Economy Thursday, August 29, 2024 - 14:11 Source
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MacroBusiness Thursday, August 29, 2024 - 14:00 Source

Victoria is the capital of homelessness in Australia. Victoria has the lowest proportion of social housing in Australia, accounting for only 2.8% of total dwellings. This is much lower than the 4.1% national average, which is already low by worldwide standards. Last year, The Guardian reported that Victoria’s social housing stock expanded by only 74

The post Victorian homeless are the forgotten people appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Thursday, August 29, 2024 - 13:45 Source
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