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Renew Economy Thursday, August 29, 2024 - 13:39 Source
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MacroBusiness Thursday, August 29, 2024 - 13:30 Source

Some have been determined to go down with the ship. With China’s economic momentum subdued since March amid the real estate downturn and a tight fiscal policy stance, the investment bank now expects gross domestic product to expand 4.6% in 2024, down from an earlier estimate of 4.9%. For next year, UBS sees growth at

The post More folks abandon Chinese Titanic appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Thursday, August 29, 2024 - 13:00 Source

Treasurer Jim “chicken” Chalmers, the wholesale wrecker of Australian living standards does not have a leg stand on when criticising others: Jim Chalmers has ruled out the Greens’ $514bn “Robin Hood tax” on big businesses, accusing them of “making up numbers”. …But the Treasurer dismissed their plan and argued the government’s “methodical approach” is better

The post Loony Greens better than worst ever Treasurer appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Thursday, August 29, 2024 - 12:30 Source

Ponzi Pallas, the Victorian Treasurer, has spent many years making Victorians poorer: The Victorian treasurer says the federal government’s deep cuts to international university student numbers will devastate his state’s economy from next year. Tim Pallas called on the Albanese government to reconsider the reforms and warned the move to cap enrolment numbers could have

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MacroBusiness Thursday, August 29, 2024 - 12:05 Source

Last night NVIDIA reported and sold off as the market was disappointed with the Q3 forecasts. As the bellwether stock for the AI sector, it will be difficult to have an AI boom if NVIDIA is not taking part. Today we dig into the result and look at what is being extrapolated. Can’t make it

The post MB Fund Podcast: NVIDIA Result – Bellwether For The AI Boom? appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Thursday, August 29, 2024 - 12:00 Source

This is what is ahead for iron miners. ALL OF THEM. Mineral Resources: “This was the biggest year of development in our history, culminating with the start-up of the transformational Onslow Iron project. “Onslow Iron achieved first ore on ship ahead of schedule in May, just 11 months after we broke ground at the Ken’s

The post Mineral Resources battens down for long iron ore winter appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Thursday, August 29, 2024 - 11:49 Source
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MacroBusiness Thursday, August 29, 2024 - 11:30 Source

For years, we have been fed the lie that international education is Australia’s fourth largest export, worth a fantastical $48 billion a year. Unbelievably, the lobby group for Australia’s universities—Universities Australia—is now trying to claim that international education is Australia’s second largest export, behind mining: “Curtailing growth in the $48 billion international education sector risks

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MacroBusiness Thursday, August 29, 2024 - 11:00 Source

Honestly, it’s like this country had a lobotomy in recent years. The Australian Energy Market Operator is out with its ten-year outlook for the National Electricity Network and the media is in full celebration because power reliability has risen. The only issue is that it has risen directly and exclusively because the energy transition is

The post AEMO: Energy transition on track because it is off track appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Thursday, August 29, 2024 - 10:30 Source

Australian housing construction indicators continue to falter, jeopardising the Albanese government’s fantastical target of building 1.2 million homes over five years. Dwelling approvals, commencements, and completions are each tracking around decade lows, roughly one-third below the government’s target. On Wednesday, the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) released data on the value of construction work done

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MacroBusiness Thursday, August 29, 2024 - 10:00 Source

The Marker Ear reports. Second lower high? NASDAQ continues losing momentum and risks putting in a big second lower high. NASDAQ is trading below the 50 day once again. 100 day is down at 19k. Source: Refinitiv King tech Tech remains king when it comes to sector flows, but is that a “reversal”? Source: JPM

The post Stocks double top in play appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Thursday, August 29, 2024 - 09:47 Source
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Renew Economy Thursday, August 29, 2024 - 09:47 Source
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Cheeseburger Gothic Thursday, August 29, 2024 - 09:45 Source

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MacroBusiness Thursday, August 29, 2024 - 09:30 Source

My initial reaction to Wednesday’s monthly CPI inflation indicator was lukewarm, noting that inflation remains sticky for services and non-tradeable items. However, analysis by Stephen Wu at CBA showed that “the disinflationary impulse continued to broaden”. In particular, “the number of items in the CPI basket with annual inflation below 2% continued to rise and

The post Good news on the inflation front appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Thursday, August 29, 2024 - 09:00 Source

The share market bears are sniffing around the woods although the post close NVIDIA earnings surprise might re-embiggen risk spirits later tonight. Wall Street faltered again as bond markets again lead the risk charge, although it was net no change in yields for US Treasuries despite some big auctions recently. The USD initially firmed against

The post Macro Morning appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Thursday, August 29, 2024 - 09:00 Source

SHFE and SGX futures flamed out yesterday: Mad Dalian faded overnight: Coking coal too: Scuttlebutt is strange: “The valuation of the ferrous market has recovered a bit thanks to the persistent price rally and futures prices of steel products and iron ore are slightly higher than their counterparts in the spot market,” said Cheng Peng,

The post Iron ore onwards and downwards! appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Thursday, August 29, 2024 - 07:31 Source

DXY bounced off support last night: AUD is hitting resistance: Noth Asia rolled: Oil is in trouble: Metals flamed out: Miners puked: This is not your grandfather’s EM rally: Junk is fine: The curve steepened: Stocks are toying with a nasty double top: NVDA passed the test but it still may not be enough: At

The post Australian dollar flames out with commodities appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Thursday, August 29, 2024 - 07:11 Source
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MacroBusiness Thursday, August 29, 2024 - 07:00 Source

For years, I have called on the federal government to crack down on the international education sector via the following types of reforms: Raise financial barriers to entry (i.e., how much funds a student must have available before arriving in Australia). Significantly increase entrance requirements (e.g. English language proficiency and academic testing). Raise pedagogical standards.

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Your Democracy Thursday, August 29, 2024 - 06:17 Source

Some US commentators are advocating a recalibration of America’s full-spectrum global posture, while others, including Condoleezza Rice, energetically beg to differ – naturally for the good of the world.

 

American reflections on global hegemony    By Richard Cullen

 

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Your Democracy Thursday, August 29, 2024 - 05:41 Source

WASHINGTON (AP) — Special counsel Jack Smith on Tuesday filed a new indictment against Donald Trump over his efforts to undo the 2020 presidential election that keeps the same criminal charges but narrows the allegations against him following a Supreme Court opinion conferring broad immunity on former presidents.

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Your Democracy Thursday, August 29, 2024 - 05:22 Source
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MacroBusiness Thursday, August 29, 2024 - 00:10 Source

The chief economist at IFM Investors, Alex Joiner, posted the below chart on Twitter (X) showing the massive divergence in household debt between Australia and Canada on the one hand and the United States on the other: As you can see, the United States deleveraged significantly after the Global Financial Crisis, whereas Australia and Canada

The post Canada and Australia bet on housing and lost appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Thursday, August 29, 2024 - 00:05 Source

Just how dumb are we going to get? If it is up to the AFR, it will vegetable stupid: Headline inflation is expected to fall sharply again in August as more consumers receive $300 federal government energy bill credits, potentially sending headline inflation below 3% and back into the RBA’s target band. But the latest

The post RBA out-dumbs Treasury appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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The Australian Independent Media Network Wednesday, August 28, 2024 - 21:38 Source

By Bert Hetebry It is often quite a surprise when I open my Messages file in the morning: I get strange quotations and links to some angry podcasts which seem to promote religious supremacy or some other form of exceptionalism which puts some people a bit, some times quite a bit above, somehow better than…

The post Who are the narcissists? appeared first on The AIM Network.

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MacroBusiness Wednesday, August 28, 2024 - 18:00 Source

  ‘The Road at Eltham’ Walter Withers, 1913 National Gallery of Victoria     AUD/USD EUR/USD USD/JPY   Gold WTI Brent Australia 200 US S&P 500 UK 100 Japan 225  

The post Macro Afternoon 28 August, 2024 appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Wednesday, August 28, 2024 - 15:33 Source
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Renew Economy Wednesday, August 28, 2024 - 15:33 Source
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Prosper Australia Wednesday, August 28, 2024 - 15:14 Source

The following opinion piece was written by Gareth Hutchens and published in the ABC on Sunday 31st March, 2024. It is reproduced here with permission. This piece of writing was part of a 3-part series, awarded the 2024 E.J. Craigie Writing Award.

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