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Articles from MacroBusiness

Australia inflation shocked higher by electricity prices

September 24, 2025 - 11:56 -- Admin

The Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) has released the monthly CPI indicator for August, which recorded a jump in headline inflation to 3.0%—the highest result since July 2024. In better news, the policy-relevant trimmed mean inflation moderated to 2.6% in August, down from 2.7% in July. The main driver of the rise in headline CPI

Climate change is not Australia’s biggest environmental threat

September 24, 2025 - 11:30 -- Admin

Australia’s government and media want us to believe that climate change is the most serious environmental concern. They say that Australia must reach its net zero promises to avoid “dangerous climate change”, ignoring the reality that Australia is a tiny (1%) emitter on the global stage. Last week, Prime Minister Anthony Albanese unveiled Labor’s long-awaited

Iron ore $20?

September 24, 2025 - 11:00 -- Admin

The ferrous complex plods on. Caught between the approach of Simandou, Capanema, Gara Gjeblet on one hand and the shutdown of Chinese green steel on the other. The balance is unusually solid blast furnace output for the season. Honestly, if you had shown me that chart in 2019, I would have told you iron ore

Labor ignites house price bonfire

September 24, 2025 - 10:00 -- Admin

With the implementation of the Albanese government’s 5% deposit scheme for first home buyers just over a week away, social media is filled with promotional material from the Albanese government crowing about how their achievement will help prospective home buyers. It’s certainly true that some first home buyers will benefit because they will be able

Tech bubble vibes ripple across markets

September 24, 2025 - 09:00 -- Admin

From the Market Ear: Tech spending Without tech spending the US economy would be close/in a recession. DB points out: 1. Good news: The AI super-cycle — with NVIDIA effectively carrying the US economy — is offsetting demand (tariffs) and supply (immigration) shocks. 1. Bad news: The cycle can’t last without parabolic capex. With hyperscaler

Productivity Commission fumbles the ball on productivity

September 24, 2025 - 08:00 -- Admin

The Productivity Commission (PC) released its quarterly Bulletin, which explored the structural decline in Australia’s ‘capital deepening’, which has contributed significantly to the nation’s productivity malaise. “Labour productivity tends to increase when workers have more or better capital (such as computers and buildings) to work with, which is known as ‘capital deepening’”, PC Deputy Chair

Australia’s ‘rust bucket’ economy threatens national security

September 24, 2025 - 00:05 -- Admin

Former Labor leader Bill Shorten warned that Australia’s declining economic complexity is the single biggest threat to national security. Shorten noted that the Harvard Kennedy School’s Economic Complexity Index ranked Australia 105th out of 145 nations. “Our near neighbours are Botswana, Panama, Namibia and Togo”, he said. “This is not an academic curiosity; it is

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