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Articles from MacroBusiness

Aussie interest rate bulls run wild

December 11, 2025 - 00:05 -- Admin

Tuesday’s interest rate decision saw the RBA leave the official cash rate on hold at 3.60%. In its media statement accompanying the decision, the RBA noted that the recent rise in CPI inflation had been partly driven by temporary factors, though the extent was uncertain. The RBA also noted that Australia’s labour market remains “a

Macro Afternoon

December 10, 2025 - 16:00 -- Admin

The latest Chinese inflation numbers were slightly higher than expected which has seen the potential for a BOC RRR cut next year move lower, also pushing mainland shares down as well. All other Asian markets are in the red as well with the risk complex awaiting tonight’s FOMC meeting to see what is in store

Upside panic hits silver market

December 10, 2025 - 13:00 -- Admin

From the Market Ear: Stuck SPX remains stuck inside the range that has been in place since September. Bull flag and a break out, or a double top? We aren’t getting excited until we break out of the range. Until then, treat this as a mean-reverting market. Stability… …at these levels, but dealers turn short

Australia needs 1.9m new homes ASAP

December 10, 2025 - 12:00 -- Admin

When Australia closed the book on the 20th century, the median home at a national level could be purchased by a household with a median household income. The typical mortgage consumed 25% of gross income, assuming they had the cash for a 20% deposit, stamp duty, and other transaction costs. This marked the last ‘hurrah’

Unemployment jumps amid “labour market stagnation”

December 10, 2025 - 11:00 -- Admin

The latest Statement of Monetary Policy from the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) forecast that the official unemployment rate would remain around its current level until the end of 2027: With “full employment” being one of the RBA’s mandates (the other being “price stability”), an increase in unemployment significantly above the forecast implies an increased

Trade war goes global

December 10, 2025 - 10:30 -- Admin

When China first began its meteoric rise to unparalleled industrial superpower, there were nations around the world who saw the Middle Kingdom’s rise as an opportunity, a new market in which to sell their goods. And for a while, the relationship between China and, in particular, Europe was heavily defined by the rise of the

Beware the inflation head fake

December 10, 2025 - 10:00 -- Admin

Before Tuesday’s interest rate decision, financial markets anticipated that the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) would deliver one more 25-bp rate hike in 2026 amid rising inflation concerns. Tuesday’s NAB Business Survey for November suggested that Australia’s inflation is not as broad-based as thought and also pointed to a further softening of the labour market—both

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