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Articles from MacroBusiness

RBA shocks consumer

November 22, 2025 - 12:28 -- Admin

So much for the consumer recovery. Last week’s Roy Morgan consumer confidence number lifted slightly, but since the RBA held, it has wiped out over a year of gains. The Westpac alternative consumer sentiment measure mysteriously jumped hugely last month. But get ready for the great retracement as its credit card tracker pulls the handbrake.

MB Fund October 2025 Performance

November 22, 2025 - 07:53 -- Admin

The 12 months ending 31 October were volatile. But, after all was said and done, our international fund finished up 25%, our Australian fund finished up over 10%. Our tactical growth finished up around 15%. All of our funds look attractive relative to their benchmarks, especially as they were all significantly less volatile than the

Weekend Reading and MB Media Appearances

November 22, 2025 - 00:05 -- Admin

International Reading: Top Economist Warns Trump Tariffs Effectively Impose Tax Rate On Low-Income Households That Is Triple Of High-Income Ones – Bezinga ‘China was playing chess while the rest of us were playing checkers’: Bombshell study finds $200 billion of secret loans to U.S. businesses over 25 years  – Fortune Low-income Americans being priced out

Macro Afternoon

November 21, 2025 - 16:30 -- Admin

Not quite a bath of blood on Asian equity markets today but it has been a pretty broad selloff in response to the volatility on Wall Street overnight. Currency land was more sanguine with even the Japanese Yen relatively stable amid a new big stimulus package announced by the Japanese government while local shares hit

New Zealand tenants rejoice as rents collapse

November 21, 2025 - 14:00 -- Admin

New Zealand provides a textbook example of why lowering immigration below the nation’s home building capacity lowers rents, benefiting tenant households. As illustrated in the following chart, New Zealand’s net overseas migration slowed to only 10,628 in the year ending August 2025, well below the decade average of 49,000 and around 120,000 fewer than the

Where did the PC’s “growth mindset” go?

November 21, 2025 - 13:30 -- Admin

This is right, but for the wrong reason. Former Liberal treasurer Peter Costello has accused the Productivity Commission of failing to use its statutory independence to tell “inconvenient truths” to the Albanese government about the causes of the nation’s waning productivity, declaring the agency had become “politically correct”. Blaming the “arcane” award system for a raft of

Australia risks a populist uprising

November 21, 2025 - 13:00 -- Admin

A new report from The Australian Population Research Institute (TAPRI) contends that Australia may be on the brink of a political realignment, similar to movements in the UK, France, and the US, driven by populist challenges to mainstream policies on immigration, cultural diversity, net zero, and free trade. While commentators dismiss this possibility, the authors

The never-ending lies of Treasurer Jim Chalmers

November 21, 2025 - 12:00 -- Admin

On Thursday, I lambasted Treasurer Jim Chalmers for boasting that Labor has delivered the “longest period of consecutive real wage growth in almost a decade” following eight consecutive quarters of annual real wage growth: Chalmers’ boast came despite real wages falling by 0.5% in Q3 2025, tracking at mid-2011 levels. Australian real wages have only recovered

China throws kitchen sink at property

November 21, 2025 - 11:30 -- Admin

The ferrous complex is still paralysed by the jaws. However, China is going to throw the kitchen sink at property. China is weighing a new round of measures to revive its ailing property market, a sector so central to the country’s economy that its continued slide threatens broader financial stability. Policymakers are discussing nationwide mortgage subsidies for

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