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MacroBusiness Wednesday, February 26, 2025 - 14:00 Source

Deutsche with the note. We wrote yesterday that our conviction level on the bearish EURUSD view had declined largely on consistent signalling of a more conservative fiscal policy from the US administration than what we had assumed since the start of the year. This is the primary reason behind the recent rally in US Treasuries,

The post Australian dollar pivot to Europe? appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Wednesday, February 26, 2025 - 13:51 Source

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Renew Economy Wednesday, February 26, 2025 - 13:42 Source
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MacroBusiness Wednesday, February 26, 2025 - 13:30 Source

Domain is upset with Peter Dutton. Peter Dutton has made $30 million of property transactions across 26 pieces of real estate over 35 years, making him one of the country’s wealthiest-ever contenders for prime minister as the major parties battle to convince voters they can fix Australia’s housing affordability crisis. Since buying his first home

The post Domain upset by Dutton’s property portfolio appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Wednesday, February 26, 2025 - 13:11 Source
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MacroBusiness Wednesday, February 26, 2025 - 13:00 Source

By Stephen Saunders In America, Kamala Harris = word-salad is a national meme. Australia’s Harris of Demography has been at it again, garbling at great length for The Conversation.  Americans exercise certain democratic rights to roast Harris. But Allen, along with Abul Rizvi and Laura Tingle, exists in rarefied space as an immigration whisperer to

The post Meet Liz Allen: Immigration wolf in sheep’s clothing appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Your Democracy Wednesday, February 26, 2025 - 12:44 Source

Dan Bongino, a former US Secret Service agent and far-right podcaster has been chosen to serve as United States FBI deputy director.

US President Donald Trump announced the appointment on his Truth Social platform, praising Bongino as a "man of incredible law and passion for our country".

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MacroBusiness Wednesday, February 26, 2025 - 12:30 Source

The ferrous complex rolled over yesterday. Scuttlebutt is straightforward. A bipartisan group of U.S. lawmakers is introducing a legislation to address the impact of Chinese-supported companies moving portions of their production to other countries to circumvent American duties. The legislation would also toughen anti-dumping rules. This comes after the U.S. announced 25% tariffs on all

The post What’s not to hate about iron ore? appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Wednesday, February 26, 2025 - 12:03 Source

The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) would be happy with Wednesday’s monthly CPI indicator from the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS). The ABS reported an annual headline CPI of 2.5% in January (versus 2.6% expected) and the policy-relevant trimmed mean inflation of 2.8% (within the RBA’s target of 2% to 3%). The following chart from

The post RBA vindicated as inflation falls within target appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Wednesday, February 26, 2025 - 12:00 Source

The Albanese government’s target of building 1.2 million homes over five years remains hopelessly out of reach. On Tuesday, the Housing Industry Association (HIA) reported that new home sales increased by 4.1% in the month of January 2025, offsetting weaker sales in November and December 2024. While sales rebounded in January, the following chart from

The post Australian homebuilders remain trapped in recession appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Wednesday, February 26, 2025 - 11:30 Source

Something I have not much focused on is the implications of the Guinean Pilbara killer mine on QLD. Simandou produces such high-quality iron ore that it can and will be used as direct injection feedstock into electric-arc furnaces (EAF). These typically use gas, not coking coal, as the reducing agent. If all of Simandou output

The post The Pilbara killer is also a QLD killer appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Wednesday, February 26, 2025 - 11:00 Source

The Australian’s Judith Sloan argues that Labor’s $22.7 billion Future Made in Australia (FMIA) policy is badly planned and badly executed. Labor has promoted FMIA as a plan to create new jobs and opportunities by maximising the economic and industrial benefits of moving towards net zero emissions. Sloan argues that it is, in fact, a

The post Expensive energy guarantees no Future Made in Australia appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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RNA

xkcd.com Wednesday, February 26, 2025 - 11:00 Source

 RNA formed the basis for life each of the five known times it arose on the early Earth.

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MacroBusiness Wednesday, February 26, 2025 - 10:30 Source

The Market Ear with the latest on the puke. That was quick SPX has gone from the upper part of the range to closing in on the lower part of the range in a few sessions. Note we are below the 100 day as of writing and RSI is at the most oversold levels in

The post BTFD? appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Wednesday, February 26, 2025 - 10:00 Source

Former immigration department bureaucrat turned influencer, Abul Rizvi, was interviewed this month by Joseph Walker. In the interview, Rizvi said the quiet part out loud and explicitly admitted that slowing population ageing comprised about “80%” of the motivation for the 2001 changes, which massively increased Australia’s intake of migrants, especially international students. Until spending about

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Renew Economy Wednesday, February 26, 2025 - 09:33 Source
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MacroBusiness Wednesday, February 26, 2025 - 09:30 Source

My god, we are helpless. Australia was unaware Chinese warships were set to conduct live-fire exercises off its east coast until its security authorities were alerted via a Virgin Australia pilot who heard radio communications about the drills, according to a top air traffic official. In short, the Chinese cruiser could have fired off nuclear-armed HN missiles

The post My god, we are helpless appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Wednesday, February 26, 2025 - 09:00 Source

Wall Street continues to flail while European stocks try hard to push forward, buoyed by more defense spending promises while the cuts in US federal spending and employment loom large amid a the Canadian/Mexican tariffs that are still on the table. The USD was pushed back by Euro and Yen again overnight while the Australian

The post Macro Morning appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Your Democracy Wednesday, February 26, 2025 - 08:18 Source

Peter Dutton has made $30 million of property transactions across 26 pieces of real estate over 35 years, making him one of the country’s wealthiest-ever contenders for prime minister as the major parties battle to convince voters they can fix Australia’s housing affordability crisis.

 

26 properties in 35 years: Peter Dutton’s extensive property portfolio revealed

 

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Renew Economy Wednesday, February 26, 2025 - 07:20 Source
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Renew Economy Wednesday, February 26, 2025 - 07:18 Source
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Renew Economy Wednesday, February 26, 2025 - 07:15 Source
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Your Democracy Wednesday, February 26, 2025 - 06:54 Source

WHEN EGOS WERE FAR LESS FRAGILE THAN IN TODAY'S GLASSWARE, VERBAL DISPUTE ACCOMPANIED WITH PACKETS OF INSULTS WERE THE GO... LAWYERS HAVE SINCE SEEN A LUCRATIVE INCOME IN SETTLING DEFAMATIONS OF FAR LESS SCOPE THAN SAY "The Flyting of Dunbar and Kennedie"...

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MacroBusiness Wednesday, February 26, 2025 - 06:51 Source

DXY is still falling. EUR is not exactly soaring post-German election. The AUD rocket is in danger of a crash landing. Lead boots is stable. Gold and oil got puked. Another dirt bubble goes pop. Woe is miners. EM deepsuckered. Junk nailed to the floor. The bond bid is back. As stocks freak about growth.

The post Australian dollar rocket crash lands appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Your Democracy Wednesday, February 26, 2025 - 06:14 Source

What President Donald Trump has been saying about his friends and our allies recently clearly suggests that both the AUKUS arrangement (it is not a treaty), along with last month’s down payment of some $US500k, has been and will prove to be a terrible mistake.

 

Trump has ruled out allies, implying too that with AUKUS we have bought a ‘pig in a poke’    By Andrew Farran

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Your Democracy Wednesday, February 26, 2025 - 05:44 Source

Dark night for Germany: Elections will change little, and nothing for the betterDespite the establishment’s historic losses, it will still form a coalition and lead the country deeper into despair

For anyone following German politics, it may be counterintuitive, but things can get even worse. 

 

BY Tarik Cyril Amar

 

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Renew Economy Wednesday, February 26, 2025 - 04:01 Source
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MacroBusiness Wednesday, February 26, 2025 - 00:10 Source

The Australian Bureau of Statistics’ (ABS) latest annual national accounts reported that Australia’s land was valued at $9.2 trillion in 2023-24, with residential land accounting for 84% ($7.7 trillion). As illustrated below, residential land values have skyrocketed from 1.1 times Australia’s GDP in 1989 to 2.9 times GDP as of 2023-24. The total value of Australia’s

The post The great Sydney land bubble appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Your Democracy Tuesday, February 25, 2025 - 20:58 Source

I think Trump is sincere in wanting to broker a peace deal with Russia, but I do not think he has grasped the fact that Russia has no desire to end the war with Ukraine until it is defeated, along with NATO, or the United States accepts the conditions President Putin presented last June. Europe is a different matter entirely. The European Union bureaucrats and the leaders of France, Germany and the UK want to keep the war going.

 

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Your Democracy Tuesday, February 25, 2025 - 19:29 Source

Construction of former President Barack Obama's long-awaited library and museum in Chicago began with ambitious plans for diversity, equity and inclusion (DEI) but is now plagued by huge cost overruns, delays and a $40.75-million, racially charged lawsuit filed by a minority contractor.

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